Bright Africa 2015 Drivers, enablers and managers of investment on the continent riscura.com/BrightAfrica.

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Presentation transcript:

Bright Africa 2015 Drivers, enablers and managers of investment on the continent riscura.com/BrightAfrica

Continent can be divided into 9 meaningful markets 2 Source: RisCura Central Africa East Africa Egypt & Sudan Francophone West Africa Maghreb region Nigeria Other West Africa South Africa Southern Africa excl. SA

Domestic consumption is fairly well diversified 3 GDP (nominal GVA) output by region (2014) Source: BMI Research, RisCura analysis Franco- phone W. Africa

Large reliance on extractive industries for exports 4 Breakdown of regional exports (2013) Source: Trade Map, RisCura analysis Franco- phone W. Africa

STATE OF INFRASTRUCTURE AS AN ENABLER

Consistent income crucial for infrastructure 6 Sources of government funding (2014) Source: BMI Research, IMF WEO October 2014, Heritage Index of Economic Freedom, OECD - Development Aid at a Glance 2. Africa (2014 edition), RisCura analysis Franco- phone W. Africa

Maghreb leads the pack on paved roads 7 Road infrastructure (latest available information) Source: CIA World Factbook, RisCura analysis

Rail infrastructure in Africa lags its peers 8 Km of rail per km 2 of land area (latest information available)) Source: CIA World Factbook, RisCura analysis Franco -phone W. Africa South- ern Africa

Significant energy infrastructure needed 9 Energy (MW) per million people (latest available information) Source: CIA World Factbook, IMF WEO October 2014, RisCura analysis Franco- phone W. Africa South- ern Africa

PENSIONS, INSURANCE AND DFIs DRIVE GROWTH THROUGH INVESTMENT

African pension assets growing quickly 11 Annualised growth rates (local currency) vs. Asset as a % of GDP Source: Regulator annual reports and websites, other industry sources, EAC review of pension sector (Callund Consulting), Towers Watson Global Pension Study 2015, RisCura analysis

Significant allocation to fixed income in Nigeria and E. Africa 12 Asset allocation of pension funds across Africa Source: Regulator annual reports and websites, other industry sources, EAC review of pension sector (Callund Consulting), Towers Watson Global Pension Study 2015, RisCura analysis

Potential for insurance growth 13 Penetration and expected annual growth in AUM by region Source: Swiss Re, UN Population Division, IMF, African Insurance Organisation, NKC Research, S&P Capital IQ, RisCura analysis Franco- phone W. Africa

Significant growth in insurance AUM expected 14 AUM by region in 2012 and 2018 (projected) Source: Swiss Re, UN Population Division, IMF, African Insurance Organisation, NKC Research, S&P Capital IQ, RisCura analysis Franco- phone W. Africa

AFRICA’S LISTED EQUITY MARKETS

Liquidity still poor, but improving 16 Number of companies listed vs number of companies traded Source: ASEA (African Stock Exchange Association), RisCura analysis

Listing allowance of Africa indices 17 Source: MSCI Indices; S&P Dow Jones Indices; RisCura Analysis

AFRICA’S UNLISTED EQUITY MARKETS

South Africa losing dominant deal position 19 Number of private equity entry transactions by region Source: RisCura

Uptick in deals in Energy investment 20 Number of private equity entry transactions by sector Source: RisCura

THANK YOU riscura.com/BrightAfrica

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