Emerging challenges of expanding medical supply in the UK Dr Graham Willis, CfWI.

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Presentation transcript:

Emerging challenges of expanding medical supply in the UK Dr Graham Willis, CfWI

If nothing changes by 2020

England will have at least 60% more medical consultants

The pay bill will rise by over £2 billion

We still will not have enough GPs

Some trainees starting out today will not get jobs

Some specialties will have too few consultants some too many

Geographical inequalities will still exist

The UK has never had consultant unemployment

Nor a consultant delivered service

A view from Scotland...

Foundation Exit : Scottish Foundation Trainee Destinations Source : 2009/10 NES F2 Cohort Survey; N=689, 86.3% Response

Scottish Medical Graduate Opportunities

Entry to Specialty Training : Applicants 2010 Source : NES Review of ST Applications applicants, 2740 applications, 749 posts (Round 1)

Trajectory if undergraduate numbers reduced from 2011

Is this a problem or an opportunity?

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