CfWI produces quality intelligence to inform better workforce planning, that improves people’s lives A methodology for scenario generation using system.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
OCLC Online Computer Library Center Scanning for Planning Alane Wilson, MLIS, Senior Library Market Consultant SLA 2006 Alane Wilson Senior Library Market.
Advertisements

Introduction to the presentation Objective: To provide a framework to analyse your foresight exercise and compare it to possible foresight methods. Concept.
Learning from Existing Evaluation Practices on the Impacts and Effects of Intellectual Property on Development Geneva 6th/7th October 2011 Evaluation Section.
Epidemiological and sociological models of life course research, and their relevance to development studies Peter Lloyd-Sherlock School of International.
Teaching uncertainty: the case of climate change Centre for Active Learning, University of Gloucestershire, UK Brendan M. Hall ?
Workforce Planning: Applying the Inform Model to the City of London Corporation Nicky Johnson, City of London Marcus Morrison, Inform Impact.
Forward-looking Information in Policy- making CERF Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures Fiona Lickorish Head of Centre.
Helen Humphrey – Chair Dan Tyte – Vice Chair Advisory Group Fit for the Future.
Maria do Rosário Partidário, SEA for strategic assessment SEA for strategic assessment - the critical factors approach Maria do Rosário Partidário IST-
EEA - Reporting on the state of, trends in and prospects of the enviroment SCENARIOS 1 - [THE] – GECAFS Scenario Workshop Environmental Scenario Analysis.
Police Leadership Review Horizon Scanning and Interpretation January 2015 Professor Harry Scarbrough.
1 History as a launch pad for foresight: Robert Textor, Ethnographic Futures -- the rubber band effect. Paul Saffo, Technological Forecasting -- twice.
What is systems thinking? Unit One Tools for Systems Thinking.
What is systems thinking? Unit 1 Tools for Systems Thinking.
OPEN:EU Initial Seminar Scenarios and Policy Analysis Katy Roelich - Stockholm Environment Institute Doris Knoblauch - Ecologic Institute.
Binary Decision Diagrams1 BINARY DECISION DIAGRAMS.
Time horizon of knowledge developing new product concepts
Modelling eLearning systems: UML v CHAT Dr Angela Triki ć
Institutional and Policy Mapping for Small-Scale Producer inclusion in Modern Markets.
Capacity building is a strategy and capacity gain is an outcome Capacity building as a strategy needs to be evaluated so that judgements can be made about.
1 Forecasting the Future (of.....) Your Name Here Note: This is a basic framework for a presentation. You may add as many slides as you need.
1 Scenario Planning: An Alternative Way of Dealing with Uncertainty.
Approaches to Employer Engagement: Kingston University’s Strategy Neil Latham Pro Vice-Chancellor Employer Engagement.
Urban Dynamics Case Study – Sydney One Large City in the Developed World.
A Futures Toolkit Approach Observatory of Innovation Cardiff Business School.
The conceptual framework WP 8 SCENARIOS What is needed for planning is not a set of isolated trends, but multidimensional models that interrelate social,
What is Health Communication?. Learning Objectives Be able to –Define health communication –Identify examples of health communication.
International Relations Theory- Images Realism Pluralism Globalism.
Policy Rules and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in Canada Pierre Duguay Deputy Governor.
Power of evidence on multidimensional poverty and poverty dynamics Panel aim Interplay between evidence and policy Relative palatability of different types.
Underdevelopment and the Economics of Corruption: A Game Theory Approach John MacRae World Development 10,8 (1982):
FUTURE GENERATION in association with Waverley Management Consultants Brian Brader Alister Wilson Strategic Futures Coaching National Council for Higher.
1 Chapter 5 Modeling and Analysis. 2 Modeling and Analysis n Major component n the model base and its management n Caution –Familiarity with major ideas.
Presentation on Issues and Challenges in Evaluation of Agent-Oriented Software Engineering Methodologies By: kanika singhal.
Engineering and Technology for INNOVATION in Portugal: A study on the dynamics of technological change Center for Innovation, Technology and Policy Research,
Environment analysis has 3 basic objectives-  Under taking of current & potential changes.  Should provide inputs for strategic decision making.  Rich.
Alan Dunster Associates Past Present and Future Insight.
Part 2 Foresight studies
Current Trends in Leadership Research and Implementation Dr. Paul Chinowsky University of Colorado-Boulder.
Global Environmental Change and Food Systems Scenarios Research up to date Monika Zurek FAO April 2005.
Lesson 4 ODOT Best Practices. Best Practices Our Challenge: Best Practices for Action-Focused and Resource-Focused analyses are distinct Distinct best.
Requirements Engineering-Based Conceptual Modelling From: Requirements Engineering E. Insfran, O. Pastor and R. Wieringa Presented by Chin-Yi Tsai.
1 UNIT 6: STRATEGIC ANALYSIS: EXTERNAL ANALYSIS. 2 Two sets of factors primarily shape a company’s strategy: -External factors (macro environment, industry,
1 Systems Analysis and Decision Support Prof. Raimo P. Hämäläinen Group: Dr. Kai Virtanen M.Sc. Sanna Hanhikoski, Juho Kokkala, Ville Mattila, Jirka Poropudas,
Horizon Scanning: future skills and competences of the health workforce in Europe MATT EDWARDS and JOHN FELLOWS WP6, EU JA on Health Workforce Planning.
Forecasting and Scenario Planning The Challanges of Uncertainty and Complexity.
EPRC Conference conclusions - Collaboration initiative for sustainable regional Arctic development ARC-NET 1.
Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE) Bob O’Boyle & Tana Worcester Bedford Institute of Oceanography Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, Canada.
© 2017 Cengage Learning®. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Role of Universities in supporting Cluster development How the tertiary education sector can contribute Prof. Dr. Peter Heydebreck Brno, May 30th 2005.
Current Exposure- Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Future Exposure- Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity Natural Science Social Science.
Innovativeness-performance link. Discovery Define product innovation and technology strategy Prepare profit pool maps Perform an environmental context.
FAOCGIARWMO. How will Global Environmental Change affect the vulnerability of food systems in different regions? How might food systems be adapted to.
Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Bristol Case Study: Health Economics of Health Improvement? March 2012 Pat Diskett (Deputy DPH) Nick Smith (JSNA Project.
Dynamic Roadmapping for Uncertain Times
E3G - Third Generation Environmentalism 2ºC Global Scenarios Prepared for: Department of Energy and Climate Change August 2011.
Identifying the impact of the winter 2013/14 storms and subsequent remediation work on the sediment at Chesil Beach Dr David Graham Department of Geography.
Copyright ©2006 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning. All rights reserved 1 CHAPTER TWO CHAPTER TWO Organization Environments and Culture Prepared.
First International Capacity Building Workshop in Romania - January 26, 2004, Bucharest 1 International Workshop on FORESIGHT Bucharest, Romania – January.
OUR FOCUS FOR 2011 TO 2012 The CfWI produces quality intelligence to inform better workforce planning, that improves people’s lives.
UOP BSHS 305 W EEK 5 DQ 2 Check this A+ tutorial guideline Assignment-Ethical-Decision-Scenario-Worksheet.
Principles of Management Learning Session # 20 Dr. A. Rashid Kausar.
PRESENTATION TO CHIETA CHAMBERS ON 9 FEBRUARY 2017 ON CHIETA POLICY ON CHIETA SCENARIOS AND STRATEGIC RESPONSE FRAMEWORK Mr Trevor Channing CHIETA Executive.
Ombudsman Services Good for consumers – Good for business
Future Studies Techniques – Scenario Planning and Foresight
Articulate how the practice of management has evolved
أنماط الإدارة المدرسية وتفويض السلطة الدكتور أشرف الصايغ
WP6 – HWF mobility-related information
Horizon Scanning - Key Activities
Risk Assessment in Deception: Presenting DARN and DRAT
Presentation transcript:

CfWI produces quality intelligence to inform better workforce planning, that improves people’s lives A methodology for scenario generation using system dynamics Dr Graham Willis

Immediate decisions System changes Future strategy 1 to 5 yrs5 to 10 yrs+10 yrs Context NumbersKey dynamics Trends Uncertainty Scenarios

Scenario generation Influence diagram Politicised – actors can effect causality Clustered into themes Used as starting point for scenarios Plausible, traceable

Horizon Scanning Key trends & dynamics Horizon Scanning Key trends & dynamics Workforce Analysis Evidence-based Workforce Analysis Evidence-based Scenario Generation Possible futures Assumptions Scenario Generation Possible futures Assumptions Workforce Modelling Numbers Uncertainty Workforce Modelling Numbers Uncertainty Future framework

Questions?