Natural Gas and Power Generation The GHG Solution Is At Hand Jack Fusco President & Chief Executive Officer Calpine Corporation November 15, 2010.

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Presentation transcript:

Natural Gas and Power Generation The GHG Solution Is At Hand Jack Fusco President & Chief Executive Officer Calpine Corporation November 15, 2010

11 Safe Harbor Statement Forward-Looking Statements The information contained in this presentation includes certain estimates, projections and other forward-looking information that reflect Calpine’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These estimates, projections and other forward-looking information are based on assumptions that Calpine believes, as of the date hereof, are reasonable. Inevitably, there will be differences between such estimates and actual results, and those differences may be material. There can be no assurance that any estimates, projections or forward-looking information will be realized. All such estimates, projections and forward-looking information speak only as of the date hereof. Calpine undertakes no duty to update or revise the information contained herein. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the estimates, projections and other forward-looking information in this presentation as they are based on current expectations and general assumptions and are subject to various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those set forth in Calpine’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009, Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2010, and in other documents that Calpine files with the SEC. Many of these risks, uncertainties and other factors are beyond Calpine’s control and may cause actual results to differ materially from the views, beliefs and estimates expressed herein. Calpine’s reports and other information filed with the SEC, including the risk factors identified in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009, and Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2010, can be found on the SEC’s website at and on Calpine’s website at Reconciliation to GAAP Financial Information The following presentation includes certain “non-GAAP financial measures” as defined in Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of Schedules are included herein that reconcile the non-GAAP financial measures included in the following presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.

22 National Portfolio of nearly 29,000 MW Geographic Diversity Dispatch Flexibility 1 Note: Projects Under Advanced Development include Russell City Energy Center and upgrade at existing Los Esteros Critical Energy Facility. 1 Based on estimated generation for 2009.

3 Source: SNL Financial. Modern Efficient Scale Calpine’s focus on clean technologies makes it a unique independent power producer Calpine is the nation’s largest baseload renewable, natural gas and cogeneration power provider Calpine is the nation’s largest baseload renewable, natural gas and cogeneration power provider Introduction to Calpine Source: Energy Velocity (2008, adjusted for asset purchases/divestitures). IPP PEERS Exclusively Gas and Geothermal Source: 2009 SEC filings Generation (MWh) Source: Energy Velocity (2009). Not adjusted for steam, and excluding non-fossil fuel generation. Our steam-adjusted heat rate is 7,263 Heat Rate (btu/KWh)

4 Increased use of natural gas generation could catapult the US to a cleaner future starting today Environmental Advantages of Gas Generation Virtually Zero SO2CO 2 : Less than Half our Peers’ Emissions per MWh NOx: A Fraction of our PeersVirtually Zero Mercury Emissions Calpine’s emissions statistics illustrate the potential for natural gas generation to lower the power sector’s environmental footprint. IPP PEERS PEERS Sources: Peer data based on Energy Velocity CEMS (2008, adjusted for divestitures). Industry averages based on EIA Electric Power Annual 2007, released January 21, 2009 and EIA Annual Energy Outlook, April 2009.

5 Increased utilization of existing gas-fired capacity could single- handedly reduce power sector CO2 emissions by 20% Since gas combined cycles emit less than half the CO2 of coal plants per MWh, switching to gas could significantly reduce power sector emissions, even without incremental capital investment. Environmental Advantages of Gas Generation Reflects EIA estimates of gas combined cycle capacity (~190GW), average utilization (<40%), and power sector emissions (EIA Annual Energy Outlook, April 2009). The estimate of potential CO2 reduction reflects the impact of increasing the utilization of existing gas plants (to 85%, displacing higher emitting generation).

Gas-Fired Generation: A Solution for Tomorrow, Today Otay Mesa Energy CenterNuclear PlantWind Farm Cost ($/KW)~$950$3,000 - $4,500$1,900 - $2,200$4,500 - $6,000 Construction Period 1 29 mos.60 – 84 mos.12 – 18 mos.12 – 24 mos. Land Usage1/20 th acre / MWUp to 2 acres / MWUp to 83 acres / MWUp to 10 acres / MW Water usage 2 ~15 gal/ MWhUp to 750 gal / MWhNegligibleUp to 800 gal / MWh Subsidies Required 3 NoneLargestLargeLarger In a world of scarce natural and financial resources, gas-fired generation offers a path to a cleaner footprint with lower capital requirements In a world of scarce natural and financial resources, gas-fired generation offers a path to a cleaner footprint with lower capital requirements 6 Sources: EIA, E3, AWEA, DOE, CEC, Calpine, Public data. 1 Does not include permitting period. 2 Otay Mesa features air cooled system. Nuclear usage assumes recirculating cooling system. 3 Assuming natural gas price of $6 - $8/mmbtu. Solar Field (CSP)

7 Wholesale power prices have returned toward 10-year lows, due in large part to abundant shale gas supplies Wholesale On Peak Electricity Prices and Residential Rates Source: Calpine, Platts, and EIA data. Prices reflect wholesale rolling 12-month forward average on peak prices for PJM-East, Texas (ERCOT- Houston), and California (NP-15). Residential rates reflect annual average retail price of electricity to end-users. High prices from 2005 to mid-2008 reflected lower expectations of domestic natural gas supplies. The proliferation of advanced shale drilling techniques increased domestic gas supplies, leading to a sharp drop in spot and forward natural gas prices. Upcoming residential rate decline?