Development of air quality models in Chile First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003 by Rainer Schmitz Department.

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Presentation transcript:

Development of air quality models in Chile First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003 by Rainer Schmitz Department of Geophysics University of Chile Research Center Karlsruhe IMK-IFU, Germany

Use of air quality models in Chile Institutions and their respective models:  CENMA (Casmassi)  University of Santiago (Neural Networks)  Chilean Weather Office (MM5)  CONAMA/CENMA (AIRVIRO, HIRLAM/MATCH)  Catholic University (UAM, CAMx, CALMET)  University of Chile Department of Geophysics (CADM, MM5, MM5/Chemistry (MCCM), WRF) Center for Mathematical Modelling (HIRLAM/MATCH)  Others (KAMM/DRAIS) First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Santiago de Chile 40km First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Santiago de Chile Typical synoptic situations Winter Summer 20  S 50  S Garreaud et al., 2002 First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Problems for winter air quality forecast EmissionsSurface winds at 21 hrs (LT) PM10 concentrations between June 20-22, 2000 First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Actual Forecast Diagnostic air quality data Diagnostic meteorology data Subjective meteorological forecast Multiple regression analysis Neural network Forecast First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Model development PM10 Concentrations in Pudahuel and Parque O'Higgins Mixing layer height according to MM5 forecast First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Diagnostic air quality data Diagnostic meteorology data Prognostic meteorological data from NWP Multiple regression analysis Neural network Forecast Model development PM10 First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Dynamical models with forecasting potential CADM (Chilean Air pollution Dispersion Model) Off-line Meterology:MM5 Gas phase: RADM2 Aerosols: MADE/SORGAM MM5/Chemistry (MCCM) On-line Meteorology:MM5 Gas Phase: RADM2 Aerosols: MADE/SORGAM WRF/Chemistry On-line Meteorology:WRF Gas Phase: RADM2 Aerosols: MADE/SORGAM First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

CADM (CO) First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

CADM (Ozone)  g/m3 First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003 Las Condes Seminario Observation Simulation

Problems for summer air quality forecast First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003 Emission inventories Model validation

WRF/Chemistry First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003 PM10PM2.5 (from NOAA/FSL)

MM5/Chemistry Ozone Aerosols First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Computational infrastructure Linux Cluster –10 nodes with dual Pentium 4 processors –SCALI interconnect Digital alpha 4100 First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003

Resources Economic resources –Present: Funding from CONAMA –Future: Research projects, private sources Human resources –Master students First Air Quality Workshop for the GURME Latin America project, Santiago de Chile, 2003