CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON Jim Weyman Director/Meteorologist in Charge Central Pacific Hurricane Center/WFO Honolulu.

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Presentation transcript:

CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON Jim Weyman Director/Meteorologist in Charge Central Pacific Hurricane Center/WFO Honolulu

Central North Pacific 2006 Season Summary 5 Tropical Cyclones 5 Tropical Cyclones Hurricane Daniel (24-26 July) moved in from the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Daniel (24-26 July) moved in from the Eastern Pacific – Remnants brought gusty winds and enhanced showers to Maui and the Big Island Hurricane Ioke (20-27 August) Hurricane Ioke (20-27 August) – First named storm to form in the Central Pacific since 2003 – Rapid Intensification – Record-breaking intensity and longevity

Central North Pacific 2006 Season Summary Three Tropical Depressions formed in the Central Pacific Three Tropical Depressions formed in the Central Pacific – TD Two-C – Lifetime of 48 hours (19-20 Sept) – TD Three-C – Lifetime of 12 hours (26-27 Sept) – TD Four-C – Lifetime of 18 hours (13-14 Oct) Remnants fueled heavy rain and flooding over the Big Island 3 days later Remnants fueled heavy rain and flooding over the Big Island 3 days later

Hurricane Ioke Rapid Intensification to Hurricane in 24 hours Rapid Intensification to Hurricane in 24 hours 5 th Category 5 storm recorded in the Central Pacific 5 th Category 5 storm recorded in the Central Pacific Category 4 or higher intensity for 9 days Category 4 or higher intensity for 9 days Estimated 920 mb lowest pressure on record for Central Pacific storms Estimated 920 mb lowest pressure on record for Central Pacific storms Significant impact to Johnston and Midway Islands Significant impact to Johnston and Midway Islands

2006 Season Highlights CPHC activated for 13 days CPHC activated for 13 days Track Forecast Errors Track Forecast Errors – 48 hr error of 89.6 nm well below 111nm GPRA Goal – year running mean at 48, 72, 96, and 120 hr was 16, 27, 20, 10% respectively below 2004 Track and error cone graphics Track and error cone graphics – Also producing graphics for WFO Guam webpage for Western Pacific tropical systems

Versus “Best” Models

Other Items of Interest Re-besting Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Updating Climatology for Central Pacific Re-besting Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Updating Climatology for Central Pacific – Working with Dr. Pao-Shin Chu – Publication Pending NCDC Data Rescue Project for CPHC archives NCDC Data Rescue Project for CPHC archives List-Serv notification for 2007 season List-Serv notification for 2007 season Requirement for Storm Surge Modeling for Hawaii – Working with U of Hawaii for funding Requirement for Storm Surge Modeling for Hawaii – Working with U of Hawaii for funding

Good News – Bad News Deputy Director CPHC/Director of Operations Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Deputy Director CPHC/Director of Operations Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Andy Nash – Selected for Meteorologist in Charge (MIC), Burlington VT Andy Nash – Selected for Meteorologist in Charge (MIC), Burlington VT Warning Coordination Meteorologist of CPHC/WFO Honolulu Nezette Rydell – Selected as MIC WFO Brownsville TX Warning Coordination Meteorologist of CPHC/WFO Honolulu Nezette Rydell – Selected as MIC WFO Brownsville TX Great opportunities for motivated people Great opportunities for motivated people

Questions ?