PREDICTION MODELS FOR SITE SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS Agriculture Extension View Point Dr. Muhammad Anjum Ali Director General Agriculture (Extension & AR)

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Presentation transcript:

PREDICTION MODELS FOR SITE SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS Agriculture Extension View Point Dr. Muhammad Anjum Ali Director General Agriculture (Extension & AR) Punjab, Lahore

FERTILIZER OFFTAKE BY NUTRIENTS PAKISTAN (000 TONS) YearNP2O5P2O5 K2OK2OTotal % NFDC Reports

FERTILIZER OFFTAKE BY NUTRIENTS PUNJAB (000 TONS) YearNP2O5P2O5 K2OK2OTotal

FERTILIZER NUTRIENTS RATIOS IN PAKISTAN (% TOTAL OFFTAKE) YearNP2O5P2O5 K2OK2O

CROP USAGE OF FERTILIZER IN PAKISTAN (000 NUTRIENT TONS) YearWheatCottonSugarcaneRiceMaizeOthersTotal %

TOTAL NITROGEN USE ALL SOURCES FERTILIZER000 TONSPERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASIS UREA CAN DAP NP MAP NPK

TOTAL PHOSPHORUS USE ALL SOURCES FERTILIZER000 TONSPERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASIS DAP SSP TSP NPK MAP NP

TOTAL POTASH USE ALL SOURCES FERTILIZER000 TONSPERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASIS SOP MOP NPK

FERTILIZER OFF TAKE (000 N/TONS) Economic Survey of Pakistan

USE EFFICIENCY OF DIFFERENT NUTRIENTS MACRO-NUTRIENTSMICRO-NUTRIENTS Parameter Use Efficiency (%) Parameter Use Efficiency (%) N40 – 60Zn4 – 5 P20 – 30B6 – 8 K75 – 85Fe11 – 15

FERTILIZER USE EFFICIENCY Long term study conducted by IFA for India, China and Pakistan revealed less grain yield due decline in N use efficiency because of imbalance use of fertilizer nutrients India China Pakistan Kg Grains per Kg of N used

BALANCED USE OF FERTILIZER (Ha) CropN OnlyNPK% Increase Wheat2,5214,12063 Rice2,8004,49460 Maize2,1105,08414 Sugarcane56,515126, Kg/ha NFDC Reports

FERTILIZER VALUE Fertilizer Annual Consumption (000 Tons) Value (US $ per Ton) Total Cost Million US $ Fertilizer Use efficiency (% age) Deficit Million US $ Urea 5, , , DAP 1, Potash

COST OF PRODUCTION AND FERTILIZER SHARE (Rs. / acre) Years COTTONSUGAR CANEMAIZE Total Cost. Fert.%Age Total Cost. Fert.%Age Total Cost. Fert.%Age ,3361, ,6363, ,2491, ,6712, ,4924, ,7551, ,3192, ,0083, ,0101, ,8472, ,6003, ,2163, ,5052, ,4283, ,8273, ,6765, ,0068, ,83912, ,5094, ,5498, ,54711, ,3605, ,7447, ,49613, ,8507, ,2829, ,09319, ,9238, ,05412, ,50622,

COST OF PRODUCTION AND FERTILIZER SHARE (Rs. / acre) Years WHEATRICE Total Cost. Fert.%AgeTotal Cost. Fert.%Age ,0281, ,7411, ,1981, ,4691, ,5241, ,7161, ,2641, ,0871, ,6263, ,1542, ,5474, ,0643, ,1873, ,8983, ,4285, ,2404, ,1496, ,3515, ,4906, ,8106,

FERTILIZER USE EFFECIENCY

SOIL ANALYSIS

SITE SPECIFIC FERTILIZER APPLICATION!

BALANCED NUTRITION

SITE-SPECIFIC NUTRIENT MANAGEMENT FOR CROPPING SYSTEMS

Nutrient Expert for Hybrid Maize Software

Extension Viewpoint Develop and deploy latest communication tools to raise farmers’ awareness about the economic, social and environmental benefits of adoption of IPNM. Conduct field demonstrations applying locally-adapted IPNM techniques and prepare literature/media campaign with the results from the local demonstrations. Assist farmers in making the best decisions for managing crop nutrients at the field and farm levels. Provide farmers with all necessary products, services and information to successfully implement IPNM. Training of the extension agents for best use of modern gadgets and techniques to assist farmers

THANKS