Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 1 Project Planning  Documentation to DOE June 1  DOE Review ~July 22 Documents Summary Project Overview,

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Presentation transcript:

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 1 Project Planning  Documentation to DOE June 1  DOE Review ~July 22 Documents Summary Project Overview, Summary Resource Loaded Schedule and Luminosity Projection Performance Models 1.1. Tevatron Modeling 2.2. Antiproton Production Subproject Technical Status and Plans 1.Slip-Stacking Studies 2.Slip-Stacking Beam Loading Compensation 3.Antiproton target Station Upgrade 4.Lithium Lens Upgrade 5.AP2 and Debuncher Acceptance Upgrade 6.Accumulator Stacktail Cooling Upgrade 7.Electron Cooling 8.Rapid Transfers 9.Increased Beam Separation and Active Beam-Beam Compensation in Tevatron

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 2 RLS Methodology  Each project leader defines their WBS (at an appropriate level for their planning – typically level 4-6)  Over 550 tasks  Estimates M&S costs (document>$200K), task duration and links and assigns resources (named where possible) (study shifts are a resource)  “Quality of Estimate” assigned to each task Interpretation: (a)=eng concept or vendor info – 20% (b)=initial concept design or done similar before – 40% (c)=guess, but we know this sort of thing – 60% (d)= scope not yet fully defined  place holder – 100% WBS at project level 3

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 3 RLS Methodology  Contingency rolled up (45% M&S, 47% Labor) and is assigned by FY with a bias to later years  No schedule contingency is included  Labor costs are actual Beams Div SWF by “resource category” corrected to 2004  Access to tunnels allowed for 1 day jobs, otherwise fit in lab’s shutdown schedule FTE

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 4 M&S Cost Estimate  $9.4M Base + $4.3M Contingency = $13.7M Total  Cost Drivers…

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 5 M&S Cost Drivers Slip Stacking PAs ($0.5M) Stacktail Upgrade TWTs ($1M) Long Separators ($1.3M) ($0.6M) ($0.3M)

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 6 Labor Cost Estimate  $12.7M Base + $6.1M Contingency = $18.8M Total

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 7 Cost Profile  Contingency weighted to later years

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 8 Milestones and Phases  Milestones  Interim progress  Subproject completion  Program phases  Program/scope evaluation  these are “project milestones”, not “reporting milestones”  Phases 1.Debuncher upgrade and MI dampers in FY03 plan 2.Slip-stacking, some Acc 3.RR+e-cool and Rapid Transfers 4.Upgrade to stacktail cooling 5.Final Acc and Tev helix + beam-beam Nov-04 Feb-05 Nov-5 Apr-07

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 9 Milestones and Phases Completion milestone for each subproject Shutdowns  Fermilab draft long range schedule

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 10 Milestones and Phases Evaluate Tevatron upgrade plan Evaluate RR & e-cool commissioning Evaluate integration plan for RR & e-cool

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 11 Milestones and Phases Slip-Stacking (stack in Accumulator) RR & e-cool (stack in RR, but stacktail rate limited) Stacktail Upgrade Tevatron Upgrades AP2&DB Upgrades

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 12 Luminosity Projection (work in progress) Recipe:  Combine  the parametric modeling (pbar production and Tevatron)  the schedule (phase milestones)  Add ramp-up following each shutdown and as a learning curve for the start of each phase Sensitivity to parameters  Determine sensitivity to key parameters  there are many – so at least a few key ones Put it together…

Director’s Review 5/5/03 Spalding DRAFT RLS 13 Conclusion  Define(d) scope for the upgrades  Developed Phased Plan  Plan reaches peak luminosity of ~2.9x10 32 cm -2 s -1 with a stacking rate of 40x10 10 /hr  Schedule, cost and luminosity estimates ~bottom up  Overall scale of the cost and effort is in line with the Run IIb Plan (Dec 2001)  Preparing Documentation  And making good technical progress on the projects!