AP Statistics Section 11.4 B

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Presentation transcript:

AP Statistics Section 11.4 B

A significance test makes a Type I error when ___________________________________ P(Type 1 error ) = ___ A significance test makes a Type II error when __________________________________.

Type II errors are always computed at a particular value for Type II errors are always computed at a particular value for .     Calculating the probability of a Type II error by hand is possible but unpleasant. It’s better to let technology do the work for you. You will not be expected to find P(Type II error) on the AP exam.

If the probability of a Type II error for a particular Ha is high, this means that the test is not sensitive (or tuned-in) enough to regularly detect that Ha.

EXAMPLE: If you learned that the power of a EXAMPLE: If you learned that the power of a .05 significance test in the paramedic response time example against the alternative value was .81, explain what that would mean in this setting.

Calculations of p-values and calculations of power both tell us what would happen if the test were repeated many times. A p-value tells us what would happen supposing that the ___________, while power describes what would happen supposing a particular __________.

When planning a study that will include a significance test, a careful user of statistics decides what alternative values of the parameter the test should detect and checks that the power is adequate. The power depends on which particular parameter value in we are interested in. To calculate power, we must fix an so that there is a fixed rule for rejecting .

Increasing the Power High power is always desirable Increasing the Power   High power is always desirable. Along with ____ confidence intervals and ____ significance tests, ____ power is becoming a standard.

The best advice for maximizing the power of a test is to choose as high an ___level as you are willing to risk AND as large a sample size as you can afford.