Food Security, Human Health and Climate Variability Pietro Ceccato, Madeleine Thomson, Stephen Connor The International Research Institute for Climate and Society, The Earth Institute, Columbia University

IRI Climate Forecast Products

IRI Application Sectors

When we think about health we have to have a broad perspective and include food security which impacts nutrition and immunity level to diseases Human Health & Food Security

Case surveillance alone = late warning Flag 1 – Flag 2 – Flag 3 Alert & Response Malaria Early Warning System

Malaria and Climate Variability

Very Low incidence (Jan/Oct peaks) Moderate incidence East (Jan peak) Moderate incidence West (Oct peak) High incidence (Oct peak) Low incidence (Jan/Oct peak) Malaria distribution in Eritrea Ceccato et al., 2006 in Am. Soc Trop Med & Hyg Eritrea Case StudyMalaria and Climate Variability

Data and Products Malaria

Minimum Air Temperature Monitoring MODIS LST night (highlands in Ethiopia)

Malaria: Vectorial Capacity V = ma 2 P n /-lnP Temperature MODIS LST Rainfall TRMM VCAP Vectorial Capacity

Vectorial Capacity (USGS-IRI)

Malaria Transmission

Integrate the data and dynamical maps within: UN WHO OpenHealth/ Vector Control Decision Support UN WHO OpenHealth/ Vector Control Decision Support NASA SERVIR NASA SERVIR Improve Accessibility and Diffusion of Data

Integration IRI Malaria Products IRI Map Room translated into layers for WMS integrated within WHO Vector Control Decision System

SERVIR Integration

IRI Summer Institute (2 weeks) … In Countries: Brazil, Colombia, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Kenya, Madagascar, Uruguay Build and Train Community of Practice

International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI)