Heat waves trend in Slovak Carpathian region for 1961 -2010 period Pavol Nejedlík 1, Milan Lapin 2, Pavel Šťastný 1, Peter Kajaba 1, Oliver Bochníček 1,

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
AGENZIA REGIONALE PER LA PROTEZIONE DELLAMBIENTE DELLA SARDEGNA ARPAS Andrea Motroni Climate, climate change and desertification.
Advertisements

12th EMS Annual Meeting & 9th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC) Łódź, Poland, 10 – 14 September 2012 The estimation of cloudiness and incoming.
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN INDIA- A PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS ON IMPACT AJAY SINGH, ANAND PATWARDHAN, ABHIJAT ABHYANKAR and NANDLAL SARDA.
Climate Change Effects and Assessment of Adaptation Potential in the Russian Federation. Julia Dobrolyubova Expert on Climate Change and Kyoto Protocol.
Centre for Atmospheric Sciences Indian Institute of Technology Delhi Hauz Khas, New Delhi – S K Dash Some Evidences of Climate Changes in India.
Climatology Climatology is the study of Earth’s climate and the factors that affect past, present, and future climatic changes. Climate describes the long-term.
Tenth Session of SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM Monitoring results and evaluation of the SEECOF-9 outlook for JJA 2013 Goran Pejanović, Dragan.
CLIMATE CHANGE AND DROUGHT MONITORING IN REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA IN THE XXI CENTURY Suzana Alcinova Monevska Silvana Stevkova Hydrometeorological Institute.
Variability of Atmospheric Composition associated with Global Circulation Patterns using Satellite Data A contribution to ACCENT-TROPOSAT-2, Task Group.
Lesson Overview Lesson OverviewClimate Lesson Overview 4.1 Climate.
Air humidity in Cracow (Poland) in the period – daily data quality control and homogenization methods Agnieszka Wypych, Katarzyna Piotrowicz.
12th EMS Annual Meeting & 9th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC), Łódź, September 2012 Rajmund Przybylak, Aleksandra Pospieszyńska.
Interannual and Regional Variability of Southern Ocean Snow on Sea Ice Thorsten Markus and Donald J. Cavalieri Goal: To investigate the regional and interannual.
NATIONAL OBSERVATORY OF ATHENS INSITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Manifestation of climatic change from long term observations.
CLAVIER: region of interest-Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania Climate ChAnge and Variability: Impact on Central and Eastern EuRope Coordination: Daniela Jacob,
Scientific benefits from undertaking data rescue activities: some examples of what can be achieved with long records Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit.
Climate Change Tendencies in Georgia under Global Warming Conditions Mariam Elizbarashvili 1 Marika Tatishvili 2 Ramaz Meskhia 2 Nato Kutaladze 3 1. Ivane.
Projection of uncertainties of the climate change scenarios into the estimates of future agrometeorological conditions and crop yields? M. Trnka (1,2),
Capacity Building Support for Climate Change and Adaptation Activities in Kenya Pavel Stastny 1, Janka Szemesova 1, Helena Princova 1, Bernard Siska 1,
Comparative analysis of climatic variability characteristics of the Svalbard archipelago and the North European region based on meteorological stations.
Weather Temporary behavior of atmosphere (what’s going on at any certain time) Small geographic area Can change rapidly.
EARTH’S CLIMATE. Latitude – distance north or south of equator Elevation – height above sea level Topography – features on land Water Bodies – lakes and.
The trend analysis demonstrated an overall increase in the values of air temperatures as well as an increase in the occurrence of extremely hot days, but.
Tourism and Environment Reporting Mechanism Country experience - SLOVAKIA Pavol Weiss.
Influence of the blended ship log book and station SLP data set on Mediterranean temperature & precipitation back to 1750 June Jürg Luterbacher.
Objectives –climatology –climate –normal Vocabulary –tropics –temperate zone –polar zone Recognize limits associated with the use of normals. Explain.
The growing season in Carpathian region during Olesya Skrynyk 1, Yurii Nabyvanets 2, Valeriya Savchenko 3 and Oleg Skrynyk 2 1 National University.
Chapter 3 Physical Geography: Climate and Vegetation
Upward trends in time series of basic characteristics of air temperature at selected meteorological stations in Slovakia AIR TEMPERATURE TRENDS AT SELECTED.
Photo: F. Zwiers Assessing Human Influence on Changes in Extremes Francis Zwiers, Climate Research Division, Environment Canada Acknowledgements – Slava.
Meeting of the CCl/OPACE2 Task Team on National Climate Monitoring Products How might NCMPs contribute in future IPCC reports ? Fatima Driouech TT on national.
Institute of Hydrology Slovak Academy of Sciences Katarína Stehlová 6 th ALPS-ADRIA SCIENTIFIC WORKSHOP 30 April - 5 May, 2007 Obervellach, Austria Assessment.
Quality control of daily data on example of Central European series of air temperature, relative humidity and precipitation P. Štěpánek (1), P. Zahradníček.
11th EMS/ 9th ECAM Berlin, Germany September 12–16, 2011 Trends in the frequency of extreme climate events in Latvia as influenced by large-scale atmospheric.
Outline The goal The goal Types of archives Types of archives Methods and data Selected results Quality of archives European temperatures Regional impact.
France John A. Borkowski/Malcolm G. Peters. Thermohaline Circulation: part of the large-scale ocean circulation that is driven by global density gradients.
Recent climatic variability in Spain and its impacts on tourism Peter Domonkos 1 Juan Antonio Duro 2 and Xavier Farré 2 1 University Rovira i Virgili,
Indo-UK Programme on Climate Change Impacts in India : Delhi Workshop, Sep. 5-6, 2002 Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources G.B. Pant INDIAN INSTITUTE.
The Climate of the Carpathian Region – Climate Atlas of the region. CARPATCLIM project Sandor Szalai 1, Pavel Stastny 2, Pavol Nejedlik 2, Ingeborg Auer.
WMO-JMA Public Forum Workshop of the World Conference on Disaster Reduction: Reducing Risks of Weather, Climate and Water Extremes through Advanced Detecting,
1Climate Change and Disaster Risk Science and impacts Session 1 World Bank Institute Maarten van Aalst.
European Climate Assessment & possible role of the CHR ‘Workshop and Expert Meeting on Climatic Changes and their Effect on Hydrology and Water Management.
14.1 – Defining Climate. Climatology Study of Earth’s climate and the factors that affect past, present, and future climate changes Long-term weather.
Extreme precipitation over the Ukraine and global climate change Vyshkvarkova O., Voskresenskaya E. Marine Hydrophysical Institute National Academy of.
Factors that Affect Climate Weather is the short term (day to day) conditions of the atmosphere which include: Temperature Temperature Precipitation.
Regional Patterns of Climate Change Kenneth Hunu & Bali White EESC W4400 Dynamics of Climate Variability and Climate Change December 5, 2006.
Changes in the South American Monsoon and potential regional impacts L. Carvalho, C. Jones, B. Bookhagan, D. Lopez-Carr UCSB, USA A.Posadas, R. Quiroz.
Homogenization of daily data series for extreme climate index calculation Lakatos, M., Szentimey T. Bihari, Z., Szalai, S. Meeting of COST-ES0601 (HOME)
The growing season in Ukrainian Carpathian region under modern climate conditions Olesya Skrynyk 1, Yurii Nabyvanets 2, Oleg Skrynyk 2 1 National University.
Indicators for Climate Change over Mauritius Mr. P Booneeady Pr. SDDV Rughooputh.
© Crown copyright Met Office ETC – DRR CCA 1° Core Team Meeting ETC Technical Paper on Extreme Weather and Climate Events Peter Dempsey, ,
Actions & Activities Report PP8 – Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany 2.1Compilation of Meteorological Observations, 2.2Analysis of.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE TEACHERS’ CONFERENCE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE TEACHERS’ CONFERENCE, Borki Molo, Poland, 7-10 February 2007 Projection of future climate.
Use of climate data and information for EEA climate change assessment Blaz Kurnik (Air and climate change programme - EEA)
March Outline: Introduction What is the Heat Wave? Objectives Identifying and comparing the current and future status of heat wave events over.
Heat wave By Kayla, Anais and Kerryn. What is a heat wave? A heat wave is a very long period of really hot weather. which may be accompanied by high humidity.
PROGRAM B – Project B6.3 ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH FOEHN-LIKE WINDS IN EASTERN VICTORIA J.J Sharples, R.O Weber School of Physical,
Andreas Hoy1,2, Stephanie Hänsel 2
Extreme Hot Events Associated to Drought Occurrence
Guided Notes for Climate
Inna Khomenko, Oleksandr Dereviaha
Climate and Terrestrial Biodiversity
HYDROCARE Actions & Activities Report and
Climate Connections.
CLIMATE Climate- the characteristic weather of a region.
Hydrologic response of Pacific Northwest Rivers to climate change
Snow cover trends and climate change scenarios in mountainous regions
An Analysis of Possibilities of Forecasting the AVISO Agrometeorological Model Input   Münster P. Chuchma F.
Weather & Climate Mr. Nero CGC1D1.
ECA&D Current status and future Maarten van der Hoeven
Presentation transcript:

Heat waves trend in Slovak Carpathian region for period Pavol Nejedlík 1, Milan Lapin 2, Pavel Šťastný 1, Peter Kajaba 1, Oliver Bochníček 1, Katarína Mikulová 1 1 Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, 2 Comenius University, Bratislava Background With the current concern for global warming it is reasonable to suppose that heat waves may increase in frequency, severity, duration, or areal extent in the future. The period from May to August 2003 gives the example, when heat waves affected large areas of Europe. There was evidence that this period of high temperature had large impact on mortality. Such waves cause serious problems in the health sector also in Slovak territory. Some expected changes in the regime of heat waves regime in Slovak Carpathian region are analyzed in the paper. The data used in this analysis are the output of harmonized daily datasets in the frame of the CARPATCLIM project. The number of 22 climatological stations from the period of was selected from Slovak territory; regularly represent all altitude and terrain scales. The MASH software was used for data quality control, missing data completion and homogenization of daily data series. References: Szentimrey, T., Bihari, Z., Lakatos, M. (2010): Quality control procedures in MISH-MASH systems, European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC), September 2010, Zürich, Switzerland Rothfusz, L. P. (1990): The heat index equation (or, more than you ever wanted to know about heat index). NWS South. Reg. Techn. Attachm., SR/SSD 90-23, Fort Worth, TX. Acknowledgement : The authors thank to the Join Research Centre of the EC for supporting the project “CLIMATE OF THE CARPATHIAN REGION”. Methods Combined temperature - humidity ap­proach was used to analyse the defined impacts of heath waves. The first method was originated on thermal influence only - the number of days with mean temperature more than 20°C and number of summer and tropical days were taken into account like a thermal stress indices. The second method was based on the muggy day definition. The muggy day was considered in the case, when meteorological condition for muggy feeling was reached. The occurrence of water vapour pressure 18.8 hPa and more at any observ­ing term during the day was taken into the consideration. The third method used the heat index (HWI) criteria (Rothfusz, 1990). The heat index is a combination of ambient temperature (T) and relative humidity (U) that approximates the environmental aspect of the thermal regime of a human body. The day with HWI ≥ 80 °F was taken into account for this analyse. Results Two stations with reliable meteorological data were used to show different temperature conditions in southern and northern part of Slovakia. Hurbanovo station (115 m a.s.l.) represents the warmest region of Slovakia in lowland position. The Poprad station (694 m a.s.l.) in the northern part of the country lies in the basin position of moderately cool region at the foot of the High Tatras mountains. Presented results show significant increase in number of summer days, tropical days and days with high daily means (more than 20 °C) in changed climate (Fig. 1 and 2). Only thermal approach is not sufficient for the heat stress assessment. The analyse of muggy days and days with HWI≥ 80 °F showed significant increase of the number of both heat stress indices. The example of both heat stress indices courses is showed for Hurbanovo station (lowland condition) (Fig. 3). Spatial analyse of heat stress indices showed highest mean number of muggy and HWI≥ 80 °F days in lowland conditions especially in the eastern part of Slovakia (Fig. 4 and 5). The occurrence of heat stress is rare in position more than 700 m a.s.l. in our region. Fig.1: Annual number of summer (SU), tropical (TR) and warm (>20°C) days in Hurbanovo Fig.2: Annual number of summer (SU), tropical (TR) and warm (>20°C) days in Poprad Fig.3: Number (N) of muggy days (D) and days with HWI-80 indices (left) and mean T in WHY (right) Fig.4: Mean annual number of muggy days (with water vapor pressure 18.8 hPa and more) for 1961 – 2010 period Fig.5: Mean annual number of days with heath wave index HWI ≥ 80 °F for 1961 – 2010 period