Registered charity number Climate Change: the threat to civilisation; the challenge to engineers; the role of Professional Institutions Gordon Masterton, Immediate Past President, ICE 31 st May 2007

Global Temperature Rise Predictions

European Summer temperatures

ICE/ASCE/ CSCE - Engineering a Sustainable Future  Our current approach to development is unsustainable  Transparent procurement  Informed citizenship  Appropriate social, technical and economic tools  Continuing development  Engineers can bridge the gap between aspiration and practicality  Action plans to deliver sustainable development including Millennium Development Goals  We must respond to greatest risk – Climate Change Signed July, 2006 at ICE London. Gordon Masterton ICE Dennis Martensen ASCE Alistair Mackenzie CSCE

Energy efficiency and security of supply

Sustainable Flood Management

Global poverty

Urbanisation

Transportation

Integrated solutions

WIndfarm – 5gCO2eq/kWh

Nuclear – 5gCo2eq/kWh

 80% world’s energy from fossil fuel  Energy sustains growth and social wellbeing  Deep energy cuts could lead to massive reduction in what we now define as quality of life  billion tons CO2 worldwide  2030 – 40 billion tons CO2 worldwide  China overtakes USA as largest producer of CO2 by 2009?  Renewables won’t bridge this energy gap  “Nuclear power is the only green solution?”

Taxing the bads – not the goods!  Road-charging  Landfill tax  Eco-taxation  Road tax based on fuel efficiency  Water metering  Environmental rating tax for households  Tax deductions for energy efficiency  Tax credits for sustainable construction  Low carbon technologies made freely available

The Energy Hierarchy 1.Energy conservation 2.Energy efficiency 3.Use of renewable, sustainable resources 4.Use of non-sustainable resources using best available technologies consistent with cost 5.Legacy resources and technologies

Collaboration the Key  Climb out of the silos  Inter-disciplinary exchange  Cross-cultural collaboration  New ways to look at old problems  Pan-engineering; pan-scientific; pan-cultural groupings  Far-sighted politicians

Joseph Bazalgette

Schrodinger’s Illustration of the Quantum Jump 1 - isomeric level 1 (State 1) 2 - isomeric level 2 (State 2) 3 - Energy threshhold

Sunset technology or sunrise technology?

ICE/ IMechE Collaboration – Waste as a Resource

Waste and resource management

Royal Academy of Engineering/ The Engineering Institutions  Engineering Led Response to Climate Change  Response to the Stern Report proposing detailed study  A sound evidence base  An optimal approach  Identification of pinch-points  Professional Skills  Public acceptability  Decarbonising existing buildings  Decarbonising power supply  Transport  Technologies required in near term  Advice to government

Our time is short

Climate Change “The only thing necessary for evil to flourish is for good men to do nothing” “The only thing necessary for global catastrophe to occur is for well-informed engineers to do nothing.”