Climatological Research Collaborations Between NWS Tallahassee and the Florida State University Tim Barry and Irv Watson National Weather Service Tallahassee, Florida Climatological Research Collaborations Between NWS Tallahassee and the Florida State University Tim Barry and Irv Watson National Weather Service Tallahassee, Florida

Florida as well as other Gulf Coast Locations Unique Summertime Sea Breeze Patterns of convection depend on moisture and low-level flow Use of Lightning, Radar, and Precipitation Climatologies in GFE Florida as well as other Gulf Coast Locations Unique Summertime Sea Breeze Patterns of convection depend on moisture and low-level flow Use of Lightning, Radar, and Precipitation Climatologies in GFE

Lightning distributions over the Florida peninsula Todd P. Lericos (SCEP), Henry E. Fuelberg, and A. I. Watson Weather & Forecasting, Lightning distributions over the Florida peninsula Todd P. Lericos (SCEP), Henry E. Fuelberg, and A. I. Watson Weather & Forecasting, All Flows Combined 850 mb Mean Height Field Lightning Flash Density >2.4 Flashes per km 2 per regime day May through September during years of Lightning Data

24-hr loop All Flows/ All Regimes 24-hr loop All Flows/ All Regimes

Incorporating Mesoscale Lightning Climatologies in the NWS IFPS/GFE Forecast Routine along the Gulf Coast Jessica R. Stroupe (SCEP), Henry E. Fuelberg, Andrew I. Watson Michael C. Koziara, and Stephen K. Rinard Incorporating Mesoscale Lightning Climatologies in the NWS IFPS/GFE Forecast Routine along the Gulf Coast Jessica R. Stroupe (SCEP), Henry E. Fuelberg, Andrew I. Watson Michael C. Koziara, and Stephen K. Rinard 14 years of Lightning Data

24-hr loop All Flows/ All Regimes 24-hr loop All Flows/ All Regimes

Patterns of convection depend on moisture and low-level flow

Calm Wind Regime Hourly Animation Calm Wind Regime Hourly Animation

Figure 6. By means of a procedure in the Edit Actions Dialog Box, lightning data are converted into a QPF forecast. Spatial Editor Grid Manager Use of Lightning Climatologies in GFE

Radar Climatologies High resolution historical database of gage/radar precipitation for the state of Florida and southern Georgia Participants: The Florida Department of Environmental Protection (FDEP); Prof. Henry Fuelberg (FSU Department of Meteorology); WFO Tallahassee, Southeast River Forecast Center (SERFC), NWS Hydrology Laboratory; and U.S. Geological Survey - FL. Currently 4 years of WSR-88D data for SE U.S. Radar Climatologies High resolution historical database of gage/radar precipitation for the state of Florida and southern Georgia Participants: The Florida Department of Environmental Protection (FDEP); Prof. Henry Fuelberg (FSU Department of Meteorology); WFO Tallahassee, Southeast River Forecast Center (SERFC), NWS Hydrology Laboratory; and U.S. Geological Survey - FL. Currently 4 years of WSR-88D data for SE U.S. Greg Quina and Bryan Mroczka

Mobile, AL Jacksonville Miami, FL April-September Winter Composites are also completed!

Precipitation Climatologies COMET Partners Project To develop 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-hr Precipitation Frequencies Using Hourly Precipitation Data (HPD) For all NWS Southern Region For approximately 30 years Matthew Sitkowski (NHC SCEP) Undergraduate Assistant Dr. Henry E. Fuelberg Florida State University Precipitation Climatologies COMET Partners Project To develop 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-hr Precipitation Frequencies Using Hourly Precipitation Data (HPD) For all NWS Southern Region For approximately 30 years Matthew Sitkowski (NHC SCEP) Undergraduate Assistant Dr. Henry E. Fuelberg Florida State University

January UTC 24-hr

January UTC 12-hr – UTC

January UTC 12-hr – UTC

July UTC 6-hr – UTC

July UTC 3-hr - July

Coastal Waters Temperatures Air temperatures over water – new weather element Forecasters were not familiar with this Training had to be done to introduce forecasters Start with climatologies Data readily available from NDBC Data goes back many years at some buoys Coastal Waters Temperatures Air temperatures over water – new weather element Forecasters were not familiar with this Training had to be done to introduce forecasters Start with climatologies Data readily available from NDBC Data goes back many years at some buoys

Coastal Waters Temperatures Buoy 42039

Ongoing Studies The Tallahassee Area Minimum Temperature Study Understand temperature variability across Tallahassee Will collect data through this Spring Will include a Winter Frontal Passage Study Fog Study Fog Climatology for KTLH completed by Mark Jarvis (WFO Louisville) Current work includes assessment of UPS Fog Study Road weather study includes instrumented communication towers along I-10. One tower (Quincy) has a visibility sensor Ongoing Studies The Tallahassee Area Minimum Temperature Study Understand temperature variability across Tallahassee Will collect data through this Spring Will include a Winter Frontal Passage Study Fog Study Fog Climatology for KTLH completed by Mark Jarvis (WFO Louisville) Current work includes assessment of UPS Fog Study Road weather study includes instrumented communication towers along I-10. One tower (Quincy) has a visibility sensor

Other Collaborations NWS Class taught each Spring Semester 21 students in class Student Career Experience Program (SCEP) Work-Study Program 3 SCEPs currently working in WFO Internship Class – One student per semester Volunteer Program – Two volunteers NWS Class taught each Spring Semester 21 students in class Student Career Experience Program (SCEP) Work-Study Program 3 SCEPs currently working in WFO Internship Class – One student per semester Volunteer Program – Two volunteers

New Studies with Florida State University COAPS – Relationship between CG lightning across the U.S. during El Nino, La Nina, and Neutral Phases using 15 years of NLDN data The development of forecast confidence measures using NCEP ensembles and their real-time implementation within NWS graphical forecasts – COMET Cooperative Proposal by Dr. Robert Hart New Studies with Florida State University COAPS – Relationship between CG lightning across the U.S. during El Nino, La Nina, and Neutral Phases using 15 years of NLDN data The development of forecast confidence measures using NCEP ensembles and their real-time implementation within NWS graphical forecasts – COMET Cooperative Proposal by Dr. Robert Hart