II. Characterization of Random Variables. © Tallal Elshabrawy 2 Random Variable Characterizes a random experiment in terms of real numbers Discrete Random.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Let X 1, X 2,..., X n be a set of independent random variables having a common distribution, and let E[ X i ] = . then, with probability 1 Strong law.
Advertisements

Continuous Random Variables Chapter 5 Nutan S. Mishra Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of South Alabama.
CS433: Modeling and Simulation
ฟังก์ชั่นการแจกแจงความน่าจะเป็น แบบไม่ต่อเนื่อง Discrete Probability Distributions.
Continuous Probability Distributions.  Experiments can lead to continuous responses i.e. values that do not have to be whole numbers. For example: height.
Continuous Random Variable (1). Discrete Random Variables Probability Mass Function (PMF)
Continuous Random Variables. For discrete random variables, we required that Y was limited to a finite (or countably infinite) set of values. Now, for.
Sep 16, 2005CS477: Analog and Digital Communications1 LTI Systems, Probability Analog and Digital Communications Autumn
Probability Theory Part 2: Random Variables. Random Variables  The Notion of a Random Variable The outcome is not always a number Assign a numerical.
Probability Distributions – Finite RV’s Random variables first introduced in Expected Value def. A finite random variable is a random variable that can.
Probability Distributions
Today Today: Chapter 5 Reading: –Chapter 5 (not 5.12) –Suggested problems: 5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.15, 5.25, 5.33, 5.38, 5.47, 5.53, 5.62.
SUMS OF RANDOM VARIABLES Changfei Chen. Sums of Random Variables Let be a sequence of random variables, and let be their sum:
Samples vs. Distributions Distributions: Discrete Random Variable Distributions: Continuous Random Variable Another Situation: Sample of Data.
Summarizing Measured Data Part I Visualization (Chap 10) Part II Data Summary (Chap 12)
Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 5-1 Chapter 5 Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions Statistics.
CSE 221: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Continuous random variables Uniform and Normal distribution (Sec. 3.1, )
Probability and Statistics Review
2. Random variables  Introduction  Distribution of a random variable  Distribution function properties  Discrete random variables  Point mass  Discrete.
Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions
Ya Bao Fundamentals of Communications theory1 Random signals and Processes ref: F. G. Stremler, Introduction to Communication Systems 3/e Probability All.
Review of Probability and Random Processes
Week 51 Theorem For g: R  R If X is a discrete random variable then If X is a continuous random variable Proof: We proof it for the discrete case. Let.
Review of Probability Theory. © Tallal Elshabrawy 2 Review of Probability Theory Experiments, Sample Spaces and Events Axioms of Probability Conditional.
CMPE 252A: Computer Networks Review Set:
Short Resume of Statistical Terms Fall 2013 By Yaohang Li, Ph.D.
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Dr. Hugh Blanton ENTC 4307/ENTC 5307.
PROBABILITY & STATISTICAL INFERENCE LECTURE 3 MSc in Computing (Data Analytics)
Statistics for Engineer Week II and Week III: Random Variables and Probability Distribution.
Traffic Modeling.
Theory of Probability Statistics for Business and Economics.
1 Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow Leadership in Engineering EMIS 7370/5370 STAT 5340 : PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR SCIENTISTS AND ENGINEERS Systems.
 Review Homework Chapter 6: 1, 2, 3, 4, 13 Chapter 7 - 2, 5, 11  Probability  Control charts for attributes  Week 13 Assignment Read Chapter 10: “Reliability”
Discrete Random Variables. Numerical Outcomes Consider associating a numerical value with each sample point in a sample space. (1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4)
One Random Variable Random Process.
Math b (Discrete) Random Variables, Binomial Distribution.
1 Continuous Probability Distributions Continuous Random Variables & Probability Distributions Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow Leadership in Engineering.
Basic Concepts of Probability CEE 431/ESS465. Basic Concepts of Probability Sample spaces and events Venn diagram  A Sample space,  Event, A.
MATH 2400 Ch. 10 Notes. So…the Normal Distribution. Know the 68%, 95%, 99.7% rule Calculate a z-score Be able to calculate Probabilities of… X < a(X is.
EEE Probability and Random Variables Huseyin Bilgekul EEE 461 Communication Systems II Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Eastern.
Continuous Random Variables. Probability Density Function When plotted, discrete random variables (categories) form “bars” A bar represents the # of.
Review of Probability. Important Topics 1 Random Variables and Probability Distributions 2 Expected Values, Mean, and Variance 3 Two Random Variables.
CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES
Random Variables. Numerical Outcomes Consider associating a numerical value with each sample point in a sample space. (1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5) (1,6)
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Dr. Hugh Blanton ENTC 4307/ENTC 5307.
MATH Section 3.1.
Central Limit Theorem Let X 1, X 2, …, X n be n independent, identically distributed random variables with mean  and standard deviation . For large n:
1 Review of Probability and Random Processes. 2 Importance of Random Processes Random variables and processes talk about quantities and signals which.
7.2 Means & Variances of Random Variables AP Statistics.
Unit 4 Review. Starter Write the characteristics of the binomial setting. What is the difference between the binomial setting and the geometric setting?
Business Statistics, A First Course (4e) © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 5-1 Chapter 5 Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions Business Statistics,
1 Dr. Jerrell T. Stracener, SAE Fellow Leadership in Engineering EMIS 7370/5370 STAT 5340 : PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR SCIENTISTS AND ENGINEERS Systems.
디지털통신 Random Process 임 민 중 동국대학교 정보통신공학과 1.
Random Variables By: 1.
Week 61 Poisson Processes Model for times of occurrences (“arrivals”) of rare phenomena where λ – average number of arrivals per time period. X – number.
4. Overview of Probability Network Performance and Quality of Service.
MECH 373 Instrumentation and Measurements
Probability.
Cumulative distribution functions and expected values
ETM 607 – Spreadsheet Simulations
Outline Introduction Signal, random variable, random process and spectra Analog modulation Analog to digital conversion Digital transmission through baseband.
CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES
Chapter 7: Sampling Distributions
Means and Variances of Random Variables
Probability Review for Financial Engineers
Chapter 3 : Random Variables
Further Topics on Random Variables: 1
Introduction to Probability: Solutions for Quizzes 4 and 5
1/2555 สมศักดิ์ ศิวดำรงพงศ์
Continuous Random Variables: Basics
Presentation transcript:

II. Characterization of Random Variables

© Tallal Elshabrawy 2 Random Variable Characterizes a random experiment in terms of real numbers Discrete Random Variables The random variable can only take a finite number of values Continuous Random Variables The random variable can take a continuum of values

© Tallal Elshabrawy 3 Probability Mass Function Only Suitable to characterize discrete random variables

© Tallal Elshabrawy 4 Cumulative Distribution Function

© Tallal Elshabrawy 5 Probability Density Function Used to characterize Continuous Random Variables

© Tallal Elshabrawy 6 Uniform Random Variable a b a b 1

© Tallal Elshabrawy 7 Gaussian Random Variable Many physical phenomenon can be modeled as Gaussian Random Variables most popular to communication engineers is … AWGN Channels mean standard deviation

© Tallal Elshabrawy 8 Exponential Random Variable Commonly encountered in the study of queuing systems

© Tallal Elshabrawy 9 How to Characterize a Distribution Client: Tell me how good is your network? Salesman: Well, P(Delay<1)=0.1, P(Delay<2)=0.3, P(Delay<3)=0.2, …… Client: Hmmm So what does this really mean? Salesman: How can I explain this?

© Tallal Elshabrawy 10 Mean of Random Variables Client: Tell me how good is your network? Salesman: Well, The average delay per packet is 1 sec Client: Hmmm So what does this really mean? Salesman: If you need to send 100 packets, they will most likely take 100 seconds

© Tallal Elshabrawy 11 Mean of a Random Variable Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable

© Tallal Elshabrawy 12 Consider a Network where the delay ‘D’ is either 1 or 5 seconds i.e., P[D = 1] = 0.3, P[D =5] = 0.7 P[D = 0, 2, 3, 4] = 0, P[D = 6, 7, 8, 9, …] = 0 What is the mean delay? Let assume 100 packets, then most likely 30 packets will be delayed for 1 sec 70 packets will be delayed for 5 sec Therefore 100 packets will most likely take 30x1+70x5 = 380 sec Average Delay = 380/100 = 3.8 sec E[D] = 1xP[D=1]+5xP[D=5] = 3.8 sec Example

© Tallal Elshabrawy 13 Moments of a Random Variable Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable

© Tallal Elshabrawy 14 Central Moments Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable

© Tallal Elshabrawy 15 Variance Variance is a measure of random variable’s randomness around its mean value

© Tallal Elshabrawy 16 Conditional CDF Define F X|A [x] as the conditional cumulative distribution function of the random variable X conditioned on the occurrence of the event A, then Remember Bayes’s Rule

© Tallal Elshabrawy 17 Conditional CDF: Example Consider a uniformly distributed random variable X with CDF Calculate the conditional CDF of X given that X<1/2. In other words we would like to compute F X|X<1/2 [x] x FX[x]FX[x] 0 1 1

© Tallal Elshabrawy 18 Conditional CDF: Example Calculate the conditional CDF of X given that X<1/2. In other words we would like to compute F X|X<1/2 [x] x FX[x]FX[x] Consider a uniformly distributed random variable X with CDF

© Tallal Elshabrawy 19 Conditional CDF: Example Calculate the conditional CDF of X given that X<1/2. In other words we would like to compute F X|X<1/2 [x] x FX[x]FX[x] Consider a uniformly distributed random variable X with CDF

© Tallal Elshabrawy 20 Conditional CDF: Example Calculate the conditional CDF of X given that X<1/2. In other words we would like to compute F X|X<1/2 [x] x FX[x]FX[x] x FX[x]FX[x] 0 1/2 1 Consider a uniformly distributed random variable X with CDF

© Tallal Elshabrawy 21 Exercise For some random variable X and given constants a, b such that a<b

© Tallal Elshabrawy 22 Conditional PDF Define f X|A [x] as the conditional probability density function of the random variable X conditioned on the occurrence of the event A, then

© Tallal Elshabrawy 23 Conditional PDF: Example Consider a uniformly distributed random variable X with CDF Calculate the conditional PDF of X given that X<1/2. In other words we would like to compute f X|X<1/2 [x] x fX[x]fX[x] x f X|X<1/2 [x] 1 2 1/2

© Tallal Elshabrawy 24 Exercise For some random variable X and given constants a, b such that a<b

© Tallal Elshabrawy 25 Conditioning on a Characteristic of Experiment Conditioning does not necessarily have to be on the numerical outcome of an experiment It is possible to have qualitative conditioning based on a characteristic of an experiment Example: Consider a random variable X that represents the score of students in a given course Conditioning based on experiment outcome The distribution of grades given it is greater than 80% (i.e., F X|X>80 [x]) Conditioning based on experiment characteristic The distribution of grades given the gender of students (i.e., F X|M [x])

© Tallal Elshabrawy 26 Conditioning on a Characteristic of Experiment Consider a set of N mutually exclusive events A 1, A 2,…, A N. Suppose we know F X|An [x] for n=1, 2, …, N. Then The unconditional CDF/PDF is basically the conditioned CDF averaged across the probability of occurrence of conditioning events Example: For a bit b sent over a communication channel and the received voltage r P[r<0]=P[r<0|b=1]*P[b=1]+P[r<0|b=0]*P[b=0]

© Tallal Elshabrawy 27 Conditioning on a Characteristic of Experiment Consider a set of N mutually exclusive events A 1, A 2,…, A N. Suppose we know F X|An [x] for n=1, 2, …, N. Then Discrete Random Variable For a continuous random variable P [X=x|A n ]= 0, P [X=x]= 0 resulting in an undetermined expression

© Tallal Elshabrawy 28 Conditioning on a Characteristic of Experiment Consider a set of N mutually exclusive events A 1, A 2,…, A N. Suppose we know F X|An [x] for n=1, 2, …, N. Then for a continuous random variable

© Tallal Elshabrawy 29 Conditional Expected Value The expected value of a random variable X conditioned on some event A Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable