LIQUIDITY AND MARKET STRUCTURES Eric Bushell, Chief Investment Officer Signature Global Asset Management.

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Presentation transcript:

LIQUIDITY AND MARKET STRUCTURES Eric Bushell, Chief Investment Officer Signature Global Asset Management

AGENDA 1) Regulatory reform - Volcker Rule - New risk weights for trading assets - Dealer adaptation 2) Changes to exchange trading - High-frequency trading - Smaller orders, higher volume - Overwhelming the system 3) Impact on market participants - Higher costs - Lower liquidity - Higher volatility 4) Signature’s approach - Expect market dislocations - Be a liquidity provider

Source: Bloomberg LEVERAGE LIQUIDATION SWAMPED MARKET CAPACITY

VOLCKER CLOSES THE CASINO IN DEPOSIT TAKING INSTITUTIONS

Source: International Monetary Fund BANK CAPITAL CHARGES WITH NEW RISK WEIGHTS

DEALERS’ WAREHOUSE CAPACITY SHRINKS

Source : Citi Volatility to increase U.S. CREDIT FUNDS VS. DEALER INVENTORY

Source: Morgan Stanley DEALERS ADAPT TO NEW REGULATIONS

RISE OF ELECTRONIC TRADING ALGORITHMIC TRADING SPLINTERS ORDERS

Source: Bloomberg RISE OF ELECTRONIC TRADING BLOCK TRADES % OF U.S. TRADING

Source: Bloomberg TRADING VOLUME BY INVESTOR TYPE

Source: Bloomberg EXCHANGE MARKET SHARE OVER TIME

CI SPONSORS EXCHANGE COMPETITION IN CANADA

Leverage ratio hurts bond liquidity Wall Street to exit commodities trading OTC derivatives overhaul More margin (cost) for users WHO IS NEXT? – COMMODITY AND DERIVATIVE MARKETS

INVESTMENT IMPLICATIONS Expect market dislocations Be a liquidity provider Seize scarce liquidity events Be tactical – active Structurally high cash levels

All charts and illustrations in this guide are for illustrative purposes only. They are not intended to predict or project investment results. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. ®CI Investments, CI Investments design, Signature Global Asset Management are registered trademarks of CI Investments Inc. Thank You FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY