NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES Office of the Federal Coordinator 25-26 July 2000 Bethesda, MD.

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Presentation transcript:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES Office of the Federal Coordinator July 2000 Bethesda, MD

Product List Domestic - CONUS New Products What Will it Take? International Products Promising Programs OUTLINE

Product List Domestic (CONUS) !TAFS !TWEBS !Area Forecast !AIRMETs/SIGMETs: icing, turbulence, IFR, volcanic ash !Convective SIGMETs - thunderstorms (1hr.) !New: CCFP - thunderstorms outlook (2/4/6 hrs) !Low Level SIGWX

Convective SIGMETS valid at 1600UTC 28 June Traditional Operational Products (CONUS) - text and polygons

The Forecast Area at AWC 7X24 Surveillance CCFP (Summer 98, 99, 2000) Global Graphics Area Forecasts

What will it take? The TEGO Discipline ! TEST ! EXPERIMENTAL ! GUIDANCE ! OPERATIONAL

Location:PDTs, otherFAA TestbedAWC Ops.NWS research labs Distribution:UncertainADDS/AWCADDS/AWCNWS, NCEP, home pagehome page,ADDS/AWC aviation net.home page, aviation net. Availability:Uncertain5 X 87 X 24Highest Backed-upLong-term Quality:R&DPromisingHigh QualityBEST T E G O

New Products (July 2000) CCFP (Collaborative Convective Forecast Product) #C-11Operational (16hrs/day; 7 months/yr) (1 April 2000) CDMNet NCWF (National Convective Weather Forecast) #C-7Guidance Product (5 mins; 24hrs/day) (6 May 2000) CDMNet CDMNet (Collaborative Decision Making Network)

New Products (July 2000) IIDA (Integrated Icing Detection Algorithm) #I-6Experimental Product  Guidance (FY2001) ADDS ITFA (Integrated Turbulence Forecast Algorithm) #T-5Experimental Product  Guidance (FY2002) ADDS MWAVE (Mountain Wave Turbulence) #T-2Test  Experimental Product  Guidance (FY2001) AWC Homepage IIFA (Integrated Icing Forecast Algorithm) #T-8Test ? ADDS (Aviation Digital Data Service) Experimental 1997 Supported by AWC (FY2001)

CCFP NCWF New Products in FY2000 CCFPPOD0.4 BIAS2.4 NCWFPOD0.2 BIAS0.4 C-SIGMETSPOD 0.4 BIAS1.2

What will it take? The Testbed Idea Cooperation Technical personnel - implement (meteorologists) “ “ - evaluate (meteorologists) “ “ - transfer (systems engineers) Offline evaluation teams Consensus of experts On line verification (RTVS) Operational environment for reliable delivery Hardware, software, input data, product delivery Training Cooperation

FAA Aviation Weather Research Program University Research FAA Hughes Tech Center NWS Tech. Develop. Lab NCAR- RAP NOAA Forecast Systems Lab FAA Lincoln Labs/ MIT Aviation Weather Center Connections to Partner Research NASA AWIN WxAP

The Concept of an Aviation Testbed AAWU AWC

Cooperative Roles of Operations and Research model output NCEP observations Technology Transfer Research Products 21 CWSU’s 121 WFO’s Operations User Feedback Clients  FAA Ops.  Air Transportation  Regional  Business  General Aviation  FSL  NCAR  Universities  Lincoln Labs  FAA Tech Center

The AWC Testbed is the ANVIL on which convective, turbulence, icing, ceiling visibility products are evaluated and prepared for operational applications

International Responsibilities International Products Tropical Desk Global Graphics High Level SigWx IFFDP

Promising Programs Weather Service Offices (WFOs): ! Dallas- Ft. Worth Collaborative Aviation Forecast Study (DCAFS) ! Airport Specific TAF Amendment Criteria (ASTAC) Center Weather Service Units (CWSUs): ! New equipment ( RTA Replacement) to provide FAA personnel with more accurate information ! Traffic Management Unit (TMU) Needs Document - FAA and NWS forming a Team to address the goals - Future NWS products for Air Route Traffic Control Center traffic managers - Involvement from other NOAA agencies, such as FSL - Could change products for the terminal area that would be available for the aviation community.

NWS Development Activities Summary NWS response to clients and users: ! The National Weather Service has delivered research products into an operational environment ( CCFP, NCWF, ADDS). ! Aviation weather products are now readily available on AWC Homepage, ADDS, and CDMNet. ! Activities are underway to improve terminal forecasts and services to the ARTCCs ! Continuing success depends on collaboration, partnership, and resources.