Global Adoption, Impact and Future Prospects of Commercialized I S A A A Global Adoption, Impact and Future Prospects of Commercialized GM/Biotech Crops, 1996 - 2007 Istanbul Forum, Turkey, April, 2008 by Clive James, Chair, ISAAA Board of Directors International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA) http://www.isaaa.org

A Food, Feed, & Fiber Strategy to Double Global Production by 2050 NO SINGLE APPROACH will allow food, feed, and fiber production to be doubled SUSTAINABLY by 2050 for 9 billion people Conventional crop improvement ALONE will not double crop production by 2050 – GM/BIOTECH CROPS NOT A PANACEA but important Successful strategy must have MULTIPLE APPROACHES that address all the principal issues that include: Population Stabilization Improved food distribution systems A Technology Component is ESSENTIAL-- A crop improvement STRATEGY THAT INTEGRATES the BEST of CONVENTIONAL AND the BEST of BIOTECH to optimize productivity to CONTRIBUTE to food feed, fiber & biofuel security

International Cereal Prices 2006-2008 US$/tonne Rice Wheat Maize 2006 2007 2008 Source: FAO, Feb. 2008

Global Area (Million Hectares) of Biotech Crops, 2007: by Country

Accumulated Global Area of Biotech Crops, 1996 to 2007 (Million Hectares) 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 666 million hectares = 1.6 billion acres M Acres 1729 1235 988 494 741 247 1482 1976 Source: Clive James, 2007

2007 Highlights -- Area continues to soar 114.3 million hectares planted globally 12.3 million ha increase - 12% - 2nd highest in 5 years 114.3 m. has in 23 countries, Chile and Poland new countries in 2007 Fastest adoption rate of any crop technology 12 mill. Farmers planted biotech crops in 2007 , - 90% or 11mill. are resource-poor farmers – 1st time to exceed 10 million small farmers in dev. countries Of 6.5 billion global population 55%, equivalent to 3.6 billion, lived in the 23 biotech countries in 2007 Source: Clive James 2008

Impact of Biotech Crops Source; Compiled by Clive James , 2008 IMPROVED PRODUCTIVITY AND INCOME – Increased yields of 5 to 50%. Farm income gains of $7 billion in 2006 & $34 billion 1996-2006; $17.5 billion in industrial, $16.5 billion in dev countries PROTECT BIODIVERSITY - Double crop production on same area of land - save the forests/biodiversity - 13m ha loss/year in DCs ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT - Reduce need for external inputs - Saving of 289,000 MT a.i. pesticides from 1996 to 2006 - Saved 15 bill kg C02 in 2006- 6.5m less cars - climate change - Conservation of soil & WATER = SUSTAINABILITY SOCIAL BENEFITS - Contribution to alleviation of poverty of 11 million small farmers in 2007, compared with 9.3 million in 2006 Improved environment & socio-economic benefits More affordable food, feed, fiber and fuel

Biotech Crops – Global Economic Benefits: 1996 to 2006, and 2006 – Lead countries 1996-2006 2006 ALL COUNTRIES USA Argentina China Brazil India Canada Others Source: Brookes and Barfoot 2008 $ 33.7 billion $ 15.9 billion $ 6.6 billion $ 5.8 billion $ 1.9 billion $ 1.3 billion $ 1.2 billion $ 1.0 billion $ 7.0 billion $ 2.9 billion $1.3 billion $0.8 billion 0.6 billion $0.3 billion

Projections for the 2nd Decade, 2006 - 2015 2007 2015 # of Biotech Countries # of Farmers Planting Biotech Crops Global Biotech Area 23 12 million 114 million hectares ~ 40 up to 100 million ~ 200 million hectares Source: Clive James, 2007

GLOBAL AREA OF BIOTECH CROPS Increase of 12%, 12.3 million hectares (30 million acres), between 2006 and 2007. Source: Clive James, 2007. GLOBAL AREA OF BIOTECH CROPS Million Hectares (1996 to 2007) 23 Biotech Crop Countries 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Total Industrial Developing