Hopeful signs of change amid struggle The Revised Birth Data: The NAPHSIS/NCHS Collaboration Past Successes and Future Challenges Salt Lake City, UT June.

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Presentation transcript:

Hopeful signs of change amid struggle The Revised Birth Data: The NAPHSIS/NCHS Collaboration Past Successes and Future Challenges Salt Lake City, UT June 3 rd -7 th, 2007

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Center for Health Statistics National Vital Statistics System Authors/Acknowledgments Joyce Martin Stephanie Ventura The Birth Team: Brady HamiltonFay Menacker Sharon KirmeyerMartha Munson Marian MacDormanPaul Sutton TJ Mathews

MT WY ID WA OR NV UT CA AZ ND SD NE CO NM TX OK KS AR LA MO IA MN WI IL IN KY TN MS AL GA FL SC NC VA WV OH MI NY PA MD DE NJ CT RI MA ME VT NH AK HI DC Revision Status, 2007 Revised Unrevised NYC

Key items on both revised & unrevised birth certificates Prenatal care Cesarean delivery Checkboxes items Diabetes and hypertension Today’s Topics

Methods Total 2005 revised states (12) (1.3 m births) Excludes mid-year revisers Trends - states which revised in 2004 (5) or 2005 (3) Excludes mid-year revisers

Prenatal Care Source ? = mom, records Unrevised:

Prenatal Care Source = prenatal records, mom ? Revised:

Percent of Records with Not Stated Day & Month of 1st prenatal visit: 12 Revised States, 2005 Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System

Percent of Records with Not Stated Day of 1st Prenatal Visit: 12 Revised States, 2005 Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System

NCHS Calculation of Month Prenatal Care Began  Difference between Date of 1st PNCV & Date of last normal menses  If day of 1st PNCV = unk, impute day from last record w/ same month of 1 st PNCV  SAS code to calculate now available from NCHS

1 st Trimester Prenatal Care by Revised Status: 3 Revised states, 2004 and 2005 State BState CState A Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System

Percent change in 1 st Trimester Prenatal Care, Unrevised and Revised Reporting Areas: Unrevised Revised Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System

Timing of Prenatal Care  Large discontinuity between unrevised and revised PNC data Revised levels much less favorable Some difference was expected Changes in question & sources of data? Studies show moms tend to over-report Wide differences in unknown levels by reporting area

Cesarean Delivery 3 commonly used measures:  Total cesarean delivery rate  Primary cesarean rate  Vaginal birth after previous cesarean (VBAC)

Cesarean Delivery  Total cesarean rate Very comparable between revisions Revised Unrevised

Cesarean Delivery - Revised Primary cesarean VBAC/Repeat cesarean Need info on both current and previous deliveries - derived from 2 separate items:  “Method of delivery”  “Pregnancy risk factors”  “Mother had a previous cesarean” (from mom’s prenatal records)

Cesarean Delivery- Revised

Primary Cesarean Delivery Rates for Unrevised States and for States which Revised in 2005: Reporting Area, State BReporting areaState CState A Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System

VBAC Rates for Unrevised States and for States which Revised in 2005: Reporting Area, State BReporting areaState CState A Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System

Primary Cesarean Delivery and VBAC Rates by Revised Status: Reporting area, 2005 Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System Primary VBAC

Cesarean Delivery  NCHS no longer considers Primary Cesarean and VBAC data comparable across revisions  Revised data may be improved  Revised rates higher than unrevised (previously thought under-reported) Better agreement w/other sources

Cesarean Delivery BUT, possible under-reporting of # previous cesareans Developing enhanced instructions forreporting if mom had a previous cesarean using prenatal and other medical records

Pregnancy Risk Factors Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System  Diabetes  Unrevised = Total Diabetes only  Revised = Pre-pregnancy + gestational diabetes  Possible change in source of data  Gestational hypertension  No change except possibly to sources of data

Total Diabetes (Pre-pregnancy + Gestational) for states which revised in 2004 and 2005: Reporting Area, BDECA Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System F G H

Gestational Hypertension Rates for States which Revised in 2004 and 2005: Reporting Area, BDECA Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System F G H

Diabetes and Pre-pregnancy Hypertension: Unrevised Reporting Area: Pre-pregnancy hypertension Diabetes Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System

New Report Source: NCHS/CDC/National Vital Statistics System Begins to demonstrate the tremendous analytic potential of the revised data

Summary  Prenatal care Large discontinuities; higher levels of unknowns; revised data may still be more accurate  Primary, Repeat and VBAC Not comparable; developing improved instructions for hospitals  Very encouraging signs of improved data quality for checkbox items Need validation studies !!!  Need validation studies !!!