USING INDICATORS OF STOCK STATUS WHEN TRADITIONAL REFERENCE POINTS ARE NOT AVAILABLE: EVALUATION AND APPLICATION TO SKIPJACK TUNA IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC.

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Presentation transcript:

USING INDICATORS OF STOCK STATUS WHEN TRADITIONAL REFERENCE POINTS ARE NOT AVAILABLE: EVALUATION AND APPLICATION TO SKIPJACK TUNA IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN Mark Maunder and Rick Deriso

Problems with the EPO skipjack assessment High and variable productivity (i.e. annual recruitment is a large proportion of total biomass) Difficult to detect the effect of fishing on the population with standard fisheries data and stock assessment methods. Continuous recruitment and rapid growth mean that the temporal stratification needed to observe modes in length-frequency data make the current sample sizes inadequate. Not known whether catch per day fished for purse-seine fisheries is proportional to abundance Lack of age-frequency data and the limited tagging data. Possible dome-shaped selectivity curve yield per recruit (YPR) maximized by catching the youngest skipjack in the model Neither biomass- or fishing mortality-based reference points or the indicators to which they are compared are available

2002 assessment

2004 assessment

Methods Identify data based indicators –CPUE –Standardized effort –Average weight –Catch Develop reference levels –5th and 95th percentiles Compare with previous assessment results Investigate compatability with simple population dynamics model

Indicators from the 2004 assessment

Exploitation rates from assessment model and standardized effort

IndicatorLower reference levelUpper reference level CPUEUndesirableHealthy, but may be due to increased catchability Average weight Undesirable, but may be due to large recruitment Healthy, but may be due to poor recruitment EffortHealthyUndesirable CatchAmbiguous

Average weight Recruitment Cohort moves through fishery

CPUE

Exploitation rate indicator based on standardized effort

Catch

IndicatorLower reference levelUpper reference level CPUEUndesirableHealthy, but may be due to increased catchability Average weight Undesirable, but may be due to large recruitment Healthy, but may be due to poor recruitment EffortHealthyUndesirable CatchAmbiguous

Summary of indicators Average weight near lower reference level - Undesirable, but may be due to large recruitment Exploitation rate near upper reference level - Undesirable CPUE near upper reference level - Healthy, but may be due to increased catchability Catch near upper reference level - Ambiguous

Simple stock assessment model Data –Catch –CPUE FO UA –Average weight

Conclusions Contradiction between the recent CPUE increase and the changes in the standardized effort (increase) and average weight (decrease) Can be explained by – a parallel increase in both exploitation rate and abundance OR –increasing catchability

Indicators of stock status for skipjack tuna compared to estimates of exploitable biomass and exploitation rate from the 2004 assessment