1 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Status Briefing to IHST September 25, 2006 Mark Liptak FAA ANE-110 Jack Drake HAI

2 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Status Briefing Objective: background information and interim status of the JHSAT activity to interested parties

3 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Goal Provide intervention strategies to the IHST and Joint Helicopter Safety Implementation Team (JHSIT) that maximize the likelihood of reducing worldwide helicopter accident rates by 80 percent by 2016.

4 JHSAT - October 2006 In the U.S., our focus was set by the White House Commission on Aviation Safety 1.1 Government and industry should establish a national goal to reduce the aviation fatal accident rate by a factor of five within ten years and conduct safety research to support that goal 1.2The FAA should develop standards for continuous safety improvement, and should target its regulatory resources based on performance against those standards 5.3-2

5 JHSAT - October 2006 The National Civil Aviation Review Commission (NCARC) on Aviation Safety Provided Additional Direction FAA and the aviation industry must develop a strategic plan to improve safety, with specific priorities based on objective, quantitative analysis of safety information and data Government should expand on their programs to improve aviation safety in other parts of the world 5.3-3

6 JHSAT - October 2006 In Response Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) was created, adopted concepts of Boeings Accident Prevention Strategy (APS) APS refined for use with CAST problem set Ongoing Industry and FAA Safer Skies initiatives were combined into CAST CAST supported by Government and Industry with Worldwide Recognition IHST initiative will be driven by the same process that produced measurable success in the part 121 arena

7 JHSAT - October 2006 CAST Goals l Reduce the U.S. commercial aviation fatal accident rate by 80% by 2007 l Work together with airlines, JAA, ICAO, IATA, FSF, IFALPA, manufacturers, other international organizations and appropriate regulatory/ government authorities to reduce worldwide commercial aviation fatal accident rate IHST initiative driving for same level of helicopter accident reduction by 2017

8 JHSAT - October 2006 So how will this help helicopters? Mature and flexible process adapted for analysis of helicopter accidents Utilize helicopter community experts and stakeholders Process recognized internationally by industry and regulators Proven track record in reducing hazardous events Results tracked by targeted metrics

9 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Team Members Mark Liptak (FAA ANE) JHSAT co-chairJack Drake (HAI) JHSAT co-chair Barry Rohm (Rolls Royce) Ray Wall (Bristow) Roy Fox (Bell) Tony Alfalla (Sikorsky) Ed Stockhausen (Airmethods)Joe Syslo (Eurocopter) Laura Iseler (IHST)Sandy Hart (NASA) Clark Davenport (FAA ASW)Matt Rigsby (FAA ASW) Ann Azevedo (FAA Risk consultant) Steve Gleason (Schweizer) Ron Luhmann (Silver State Helicopters)Joan Gregiore (Turbomeca) The JHSAT team membership represents the cross-section of interests and expertise needed to adequately analyze accident data and recommend safety improvements.

10 JHSAT - October 2006 Charter Final charter developed and agreed to by team, posted on JHSAT web site: Goal: Provide a prioritized assessment of the most safety critical hazards to commercial, private and military rotorcraft in worldwide operations as derived from selected rotorcraft data sources. Provide intervention strategies to the IHST and Joint Helicopter Safety Implementation Team (JHSIT) that maximize the likelihood of reducing worldwide helicopter accident rates by 80 percent by Provide a JHSAT report documenting the team’s findings to the IHST by 1Q 2007.

11 JHSAT - October 2006 Web Site The JHSAT has established a web site at Id=jhsat, password=helicoptersafe This is an access controlled site, please limit to only the IHST and those with a need to know. The JHSAT is using it to post NTSB data, team analysis results, meeting minutes, agendas, action lists, etc.

12 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Process Modeled after the CAST/JSAT process Basic tenets: Engaging stakeholders/experts from the helicopter community Findings based on real world helicopter accident data Recommendations ranked by a structured scoring method JHSAT has successfully modified the basic CAST process for use with helicopter data while upholding the basic tenets of the process.

13 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Basic Process Flowchart Charter Development Establish Team Select Data Set Review NTSB Docket Data Develop Event Sequence Identify Problems (what/why) Assign Std Problem Statements Score Problem Validity & Importance Identify Intervention Strategies Score Intervention Ability/Usage Prioritize by Overall Effectiveness Technical Review & Expert Validation Conflicts? Report Results No Yes IHST JHSIT

14 JHSAT - October 2006 JHSAT Dataset Selection The initial dataset selected for JHSAT analysis is year 2000 NTSB accidents. This will serve as the basis for the 1Q 07 report out. The JHSAT will conduct a detailed analysis of these accidents. There are approximately 190 accidents to be analyzed. This NTSB dataset is nearly fully populated with final narrative causal/factual information. Also, less likely to encounter litigation constraints with this dataset. Consideration of accident causal factor trends for the last 24 years gives the team high confidence that detailed analysis of year 2000 events will yield high value recommendations that will mitigate long standing trends (see next slides) Future JHSAT activity will target year 2001, 2002, etc.

15 JHSAT - October ,294 Worldwide Civil Helicopters Source: Rotor Roster 2006

16 JHSAT - October 2006

17 JHSAT - October year look back – Relative stability in helicopter accident causal factors Final causal data not yet fully developed US dataset represents 50% of worldwide fleet

18 JHSAT - October 2006 Coordinating JHSAT US, International and Military Sources The IHST safety targets are worldwide. We must interact effectively with the worldwide community to be able to meet the targeted 80% reduction in accidents. The JHSAT team is starting to develop contacts and coordinate this activity. Matt Rigsby from FAA-ASW will be acting as the contact point for identifying overseas and military partners. Any entity that possess large helicopter accident datasets that could be processed by the JHSAT method should be considered. EASA and Canada moving toward partnering with us in this process. On-going effort to identify other partners from Asia, South America, Oceania, etc.

19 JHSAT - October 2006 IHST Safety Initiative Analysis, Implementation and Metrics Management Structure IHST Executive Committee JHSAT Lead Group JHSIT Lead Group Canada JHSAT EASA JHSAT Canada JHSIT EASA JHSIT Region X, Y, Z JHSIT US/CAN/EASA Consolidated Recommendations JHSAT sends recommendations to JHSIT US/CAN/EASA/X,Y,Z Implementation Results JHSAT/JHSIT cross-talk Need to maintain a strong communication/feedback loop between IHST – JHSAT - JHSIT Process development using US NTSB data represents 48% of worldwide fleet Measure Accident Reductions Effectiveness Measure Implementation Effectiveness Regions X, Y, Z defined as those pockets of operation not able to staff a full JHSAT team and are willing to work implementation of US/CAN/EASA findings to benefit their fleets Others?

20 JHSAT - October 2006 US Civil Dataset Selection (1/2 of helicopters Worldwide) JSAT Process Understanding Refining JHSAT Analysis Identify FCAA & Military Partners Train FCAA & Military Partners in JHSAT Process FCAA & Military Partners conduct JHSAT analyses on their accident data Expert Review/ Validation Mitigation Recs - Global Mitigation Recs FCAA & Mil Coordinating JHSAT US and International Efforts First Set US Mitigation Recs Mar/Apr 06 May/June 06 May-Dec 06 Jan 07 1Q 07 1Q 08 TBD 07 TBD 06/07 Sept 06 Tech Review Jan 07 IHST

21 JHSAT - October 2006 Using Existing Safety Reports JHSAT is reviewing the recommendations of the following reports: NASA - U.S. Civil Rotorcraft Accidents, 1963 Through 1997 NASA - Analysis of US Civil Rotorcraft Accidents from 1990 to 1996 and Implications for a Safety Program NASA - ASRS Rotorcraft Incident Study - Draft Data Summary Aviation Safety Reporting System NASA - Helicopter Accident Analysis Team AMPA - A Safety Review and Risk Assessment in Air Medical Transport CRS - Report for Congress - Military Aviation Safety OGP - Safety Performance of Helicopter Operations in the Oil and Gas Industry Data TSB Canada - Lessons Learned from TSB Investigation of Helicopter Accidents ( ) Bell Textron - History of Helicopter Safety Other NTSB and international reports may be considered. Status: The team has extracted what it believes to be the most important recommendations from the above reports. We are currently drafting narrative statements that give background and context to the recommendations. Our intent is to pass these recommendations to the IHST in November so that the JHSIT will have several well founded general recommendations to work with while the JHSAT completes its accident analysis work.

22 JHSAT - October 2006 Please forward questions to Mark Liptak, JHSAT co-chairperson.Mark Liptak This document was prepared in September 2006