Forestry South Africa Roundwood Sales Analysis for the 2009 Financial Year Roger Godsmark Forestry South Africa February 2010

Analysis of Roundwood Sales and Income Generated 2009

Salient Points to Note Tonnage sales of mt were not only t below the budget of 14.9 mt but a massive t (14.4%) less than the corresponding figure for Sales across all species were down in comparison to 2008, the biggest decrease being attributable to eucalyptus sales which were over 1.7 mt or 19.6% down on last year. In terms of sales per product, all products saw a decline in sales as compared to 2008, the biggest decrease being attributable to pulpwood with a drop in sales of over 1.9 mt (15.5%). Year on year, the biggest decline was that of Euc Pulpwood which dropped 1.4 mt or 17.7%. Despite the levy having increased by 16.4% between 2008 & 2009 (110 cents to 128 cents per ton), total income generated of R17.85 million was actually R less than that generated the previous year. It was also over R1.2 milion (6.4%) less than that budgeted for in Overall levy coverage, as one would have expected given the depressed market conditions, decreased from 94% in 2008 to 82% in 2009 *. *Note: Caution should, however, be exercised with this comparison as it compares DWAF figures for 2007/8 with FSA’s 2009 figures. The SA Forestry Industry did not escape the ravages of the international economic crisis that came to a head in September 2008.

Roundwood Sales by Species 2009 Total Sales – tons

Roundwood Sales by Product 2009 Total Sales – tons

Pulpwood Sales by Species 2009 Total Sales – tons

Sawlog Sales by Species 2009 Total Sales – tons

Other Roundwood Sales by Species 2009 Total Sales – tons

Sales Comparisons 2008 vs Product Diff tonsDiff % Sawlogs: Soft % Sawlogs: Hard % Sawlogs % Pulpwood: Soft % Pulpwood: Hard % Pulpwood % Mng: Timber : % Poles :Soft % Poles: Hard % Poles % Woodchips: Soft % Other: Hard % Grand Total %

Roundwood Sales by Contributor 2009 Total Sales – tons

Roundwood Sales per Month 2009 by Species Highest sales-March t Lowest sales-July t

Roundwood Sales per Month 2009 by Product Highest sales-March t Lowest sales-July t

Roundwood Sales per Month 2009 Budget vs. Actual Highest surplus-March t Highest deficit-July t

Contributions Generated by Contributor Total Income Generated – R

Levy Income Generated per Month 2009 Budget vs. Actual Highest Income-March R Lowest Income-July R

Budgeted FSA Expenditure vs. Actual Levy Income Accumulated deficit by year end - R (Excludes approved but unbudgeted expenditure nor attributable income)

Tonnage & Levy Income Comparison 2009 Budget vs. Actual Ton Deficit R Deficit 128 cents per ton t 75 cents per ton t

Roundwood Sales Comparisons 2007/08 DWAF vs FSA by Species Sales ex Plantations 2007/08 (DWAF) m tons FSA based sales m tons 93% of DWAF 66% of DWAF 156% of DWAF Overall coverage 82% (94% last yr)

Roundwood Sales Comparisons 2007/08 DWAF vs FSA by Product 97% of DWAF 54% of DWAF 61% of DWAF 94% of DWAF 85% of DWAF Sales ex Plantations 2007/08 (DWAF) m tons FSA based sales m tons

Analysis of Roundwood Sales and Income Generated

Roundwood Sales per Year Lower levy excludes a contribution to the ICFR

Sales Comparisons per Species

Roundwood Sales Eucalyptus

Roundwood Sales Softwood

Roundwood Sales Wattle

Roundwood Sale Comparisons per Species 2008 vs Down t % Down t -19.6% Down t - 7.4% Overall decrease of t or 14.4%

Sales Comparisons per Product Pulpwood growth over period tons + 2.3% Sawlog decline over period tons % MT & Other growth over period tons +13.6%

Roundwood Sales Pulpwood

Roundwood Sales Sawlogs

Roundwood Sales Mining Timber & Other

Roundwood Sale Comparisons per Product 2008 vs Down t -15.4% Down t -15.5% Down t - 9.7% Overall decrease of t or 14.4%

Levy Income Generated per Year Levy income in 2009 actually R less than in 2008 and R under budget

Sales Tonnage per Contributor 2008 vs Down t -13.0% Up 2 000t +09% Down t -22.4% Overall decrease of t or 14.4%

Income Generation per Contributor 2008 vs Up R % Up R % Down R % Overall decrease of R or 0.3%