CBRN Terrorism Mitigation: One Science for Global Cooperation Scenario CBRN Post-Attack 100 Days: Recovery, Risk and Communication Prof. F. STEINHÄUSLER, PhD Div. of Physics and Biophysics Government Radiological University of Salzburg Measurements Laboratory Salyburg, Austria

Topics Recovery post-attack 100 days Risk post attack 100-days Communication post attack 100-days

1. Recovery Post-attack 100 Days

Chemical Terror Attack Surviving Victims: Spezialised medical care 2. Target Population: Emergency food and water supplies for evacuated population located in camps outside city area perimeter 3. Environment: Clean-up procedures of contaminated areas

Biological Terror Attack Surviving Victims: Spezialised medical care 2. Target Population: Nation-wide network of health effect indicators (clusters, time delay, age distribution, seasonality, co-morbidity) Large surge capacity for health services Establishment of quarantine for selected population groups

Radiological Terror Attack Surviving Victims: Spezialised medical care at selected clinics 2. Target Population: Psychological care 3. Environment: Clean-up procedures of contaminated areas (Hot Zone + areas with minor radioactive contamination)

Nuclear Terror Attack Surviving Victims: Spezialised medical care nationwide 2. Target Population: Provision of basic services (food, water, energy, communication) for remaining residents from outside Emergency food and water supplies for evacuated population located in camps outside city perimeter

Nuclear Terror Attack (cont.) 3. Environment: Clean-up procedures at Ground Zero (R = 1 km of total destruction & radioactive contamination) Clean-up procedures at blast- and fire-damaged areas (R = few kilometers) Clean-up procedures in fallout-contaminated areas (R = tens of kilometers)

2. Risk Post Attack 100-Days

Chemical Terror Attack Health Risk for Survivors: Survival rate dose-dependent Long-term health risk for high dose-group (cancer) Risks to Target Society: Traumatisation (fear of another attack) Stigmatisation of survivors Property devaluation in target area, even after clean up Environmental Risks: Residual toxicity entering bio-food chain

Biological Terror Attack Health Risk for Survivors: Survival rate dose-dependent Continuingly rising number of infected may overwhelm public health system Risks to Target Society: Change of characteristics of biological agent over time Inadequate quarantine procedures Traumatization (fear of uncontrolled spread of infection) Threat to business continuity Social unrest

Radiological Terror Attack Health Risk for Survivors: High probability of survival Long-term health risk for high dose-group (cancer) Risks to Target Society: Traumatisation (fear of another attack) Stigmatisation of survivors Property devaluation in target area, even after clean up

Nuclear Terror Attack Health Risk for Survivors: Survival rate dose-dependent Long-term health risk for high dose-group (cancer) Risks to Target Society: Social unrest Traumatisation (large number of victims, fear of another attack) Stigmatisation of survivors

Nuclear Terror Attack (cont.) Risks to Target Society (cont.): Property devaluation in fallout-affected area, even after clean up Significant financial losses due impaired business continuity Environmental Risks: Fallout entering bio-food chain

3. Communication Post Attack 100-Days

Communication Pathways Scientific community – Public Scientific community – Political decision makers Scientific community - Media

Scientific Community – Public Compassionate message Clear and understandable language Avoiding scientific lingo Comparisons with known and/or accepted risks Preferential use of photos instead of technical/scientific graphics

Scientific Community – Political Decision Makers Short, decisive messages Avoiding scientifically correct, but unwarranted statements on inherent uncertainties Reference to legal constraints (limits)

Scientific community - Media Use of previously established network Message targeted for specific media (electronic, print) Key content presented as Bullet Graphics, photos, videos