Use of Terminal Forecasts in TFM Planning One Airline Rep’s Perspective Tom Fahey, Mgr. Meteorology, Delta Air Lines, Inc. FPAW Segment 9 01 Nov 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

Use of Terminal Forecasts in TFM Planning One Airline Rep’s Perspective Tom Fahey, Mgr. Meteorology, Delta Air Lines, Inc. FPAW Segment 9 01 Nov 2012

TAF & Wind Impact on ATM KXYZ Z 0109/ KT 3/4SM -RADZ OVC004 FM G30KT P6SM BKN020 FM KT P6SM VCSH OVC050 PROB30 TS KXYZ = Hub Airport Wind: 24005KT, 30018G30KT, 32010KT Plan: Runway(s) to be used. Known: Approx Airport Capacity (arrival/departure rate) Known: Volume of Flights Scheduled Important Factors: Wx -Wind Values & Direction Shift Timing, Impact calculations - Crosswinds, etc. Missing: Winds Above the Surface. Compression Issues.

TAF & Cig/Vis Impact on ATM KXYZ Z 0109/ KT 3/4SM -RADZ OVC004 FM G30KT P6SM BKN020 FM KT P6SM VCSH OVC050 PROB30 TS Vis & Ceilings: 3/4SM, P6SM & OVC004, BKN020, OVC050 Plan: Visual or Instrument Approaches Known: Airport Capabilities/Limitations Known: Operator Capabilities/Limitations Important Factors: Timing & Values, Estimated Impact Missing: RVR, but can be inferred

TAF & Present Wx Impact on ATM KXYZ Z 0109/ KT 3/4SM -RADZ OVC004 FM G30KT P6SM BKN020 FM KT P6SM VCSH OVC050 PROB30 TS Present Weather: -RADZ, VCSH, TS Plan: Convection at/near airport, Winter Precip at airport Known: Approximate impact on air traffic Known: Approximate Operator capability Important Factors: Timing - Tstrms & Winter Precip Tstrms in vicinity (VC = 5 to 10nm), Winter Precip - Intensity Missing: Tstrm - Beyond 10 nm & Coverage/Location

Conclusion TAF is not the only source of Forecast info Future Focus for TAF or Other Products –All Variables: More detailed timing. –Tstrms & Winds: TRACON area