Development of Electricity Technology Roadmap (TRM) in Korea Young Eal LEE Policy Research Group Korea Electric Power Research Institute

Contents 1.Understanding of TRM 2.Preliminary Activities of Development of Electricity TRM in Korea 3.Major Activities of Development of Electricity TRM in Korea

Understanding Technology Roadmap (TRM)

Time dimension of technological progress Plans driven by the projected needs of future market Approach to “Selection & Concentration” 1 2 Short-term Goal Mid-term Goal Long-term Goal 4 Final Goal 3 1 What is TRM ? Forecasts of what is possible or likely to happen as well as plans that articulate a course of action (example)example

EPRI – Electricity TRM (1999)

Why is TRM important ? Now & Future Market (Customer) Driven Opportunity Based Strategy (TRM, Top Down Approach) Needs  Product  Technology Competitive Market, Mid/long term planning Yesterday Technology Driven Resource Based Strategy (Technology Tree, Bottom Up Approach Technology  Product  Needs Non-competitive Market, Short / mid term planning Strategic planning method of R&D or technology is being changed because time-to-market is shortening and reduced R&D budgets are making impossible to develop all the technologies to meet future market needs “ Selection and Concentration”

What is differ from Others ? Satisfaction with Market Needs Development of Technology Creation of Product Other Planning Methods Technology Driven Planning Identification of Market Needs Development of Technology ForecastingMarket TRM Market Driven Planning

Establish the purpose and the goals of TRM Define the customer needs based on market projection Specify the major areas to be explored steering committee vision & target Phase I Action plan Detailed roadmap Phase II specify technology How to produce TRM

Preliminary Activities of Development of Electricity TRM in Korea

– (8 months) USD 60,000 Periods / Budget Purposes Define the industry and the needs of its customers in the future Specify the major areas of technology to be explored How and for What Guide for roadmapping Where we are now Suppliers Where we want to be Build-up of Competitive Electricity Market Stabilization of Power Supply Environmental Friendliness of Technology Innovation of Technology Time Key Issues

‘ ‘ 02.2 ‘ 02.4 ‘ ‘ 02.6 Consult about process of roadmapping Consult about process of roadmapping 1 st - Internal review 2 nd - Experts interview 2 nd - Experts interview 3 rd - Working group WS 4 th - Senior group WS 4 th - Senior group WS Analysis on technology trends / Identify future demands / Define vision / Specify technology Finalize the area of technology of TRM Consult with economists about future industry Consul t about electric ity industr y Consul t about electric ity industr y Consult about roadmap guide Consult about roadmap guide Establish guide of roadmap report Procedure of Roadmapping

Major Areas to be Developed

Major Activities of Development of Electricity TRM in Korea

– (18 months) / USD 320,000 Roadmapping of electricity industry (Electric Power System, Energy, Power Generation) Establish strategic plans of technology development National guide for the selection of long-term R&D project using Electricity Industry Infrastructure Fund Periods / Budget Purposes How and for What Results will be used for

Working Group 8 개분야 90 여명

Establish a roadmap procedure Establish a steering committee Notify a purpose and guide of roadmapping Define the customer needs based on the market projection Specify the technology to be explored Roadmapping and Report Phase I Selection of Major Area Phase II Detail Planning of Tech. Development Identify the strategic plan of technology Procedure of Roadmapping

Mission/ Vision Define the industry and what future customers are likely to demand Mission/ Vision Define the industry and what future customers are likely to demand Goal Define the what industry must develop to attain its vision Goal Define the what industry must develop to attain its vision Objective Define the obstacles Analyze the SWOT Objective Define the obstacles Analyze the SWOT Strategy Identify tech. alternative s and their develop- ment timelines Strategy Identify tech. alternative s and their develop- ment timelines Perform-ance Measure Specify the performa- nce targets to meet the customer demands Perform-ance Measure Specify the performa- nce targets to meet the customer demands TRM Report Roadmapping Expected Results

Statement of TRM Report 1. Vision & Goal in A Tech. Area 2. Identify A Tech. Area 2.1 Status of technology & market 2.2 Trend of tech. development 2.3 Technology break-down (A.1, A.2,    ) 2.4 Portfolio 1. Vision & Goal in A Tech. Area 2. Identify A Tech. Area 2.1 Status of technology & market 2.2 Trend of tech. development 2.3 Technology break-down (A.1, A.2,    ) 2.4 Portfolio 3. A.1 Technology 3.1 Current & future of technology 3.2 Quantitative target 3.3 Strategic plan of tech. development 3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure 3.5 Technology break-down (A.1.1, A.1.2,    ) 3. A.1 Technology 3.1 Current & future of technology 3.2 Quantitative target 3.3 Strategic plan of tech. development 3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure 3.5 Technology break-down (A.1.1, A.1.2,    ) 3. A.1.1 Technology 3.1 Current & future of technology 3.2 Quantitative target 3.3 Strategic plan of tech. development 3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure 3.5 Technology break-down (A.1.1.1, A.1.1.2,   ) 3. A.1.1 Technology 3.1 Current & future of technology 3.2 Quantitative target 3.3 Strategic plan of tech. development 3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure 3.5 Technology break-down (A.1.1.1, A.1.1.2,   ) Expected Results

Roadmapping

Pay attention to the role of electricity industry Pay attention to the role of electricity industry  vision & goal according to the economic and scientific trend  Consist of u nbiased steering committee  economists & socialists as well as engineers Adopt the proper procedure within budget & period Adopt the proper procedure within budget & period  Keep in mind the reason of roadmapping and the guide for technology selection  Suggest the validity and basis of technology selection  Suggest the follow-up process & update Conclusion & Consideration