Afrobarometer Namibia 2003 Christiaan Keulder Institute for Public Policy Research.

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Presentation transcript:

Afrobarometer Namibia 2003 Christiaan Keulder Institute for Public Policy Research

The Afrobarometer A cross-national survey on attitudes towards markets and democracy 15 African countries that have multi-party elections; and implemented market reforms Started in 1999 Coordinated by IDASA, CDD, Michigan State University– East Lansing

The Namibian Surveys (1) Nationally representative sample (1,200) Probability-Proportional-To-Size (PPS) Two tier stratification: urban/rural; male/female Gender quota Citizens of voting age Face-to-face interviews Three surveys – 1999, 2002, 2003

The Namibian Surveys Field work: Research Facilitation Services Funding: Royal Netherlands Embassy

Themes (1) Preference for democracy Preference for non-democratic alternatives Performance of the democratic regime Demand and supply model Legitimacy State capacity and government performance

Themes (2) Political Trust Responsiveness Corruption Partisanship and Political Mobilisation

Preference for Democracy

Preference for Non-Democratic Alternatives

Performance of the democratic regime (1) Quality of democracy

Performance of the democratic regime (2) Current vs. Past %% Freedom to say what you think Freedom to join any political organisation you want Fear of being arrested when you are innocent Freedom to choose who to vote for without feeling pressured The ability of ordinary people to influence what government does Safety from crime and violence Equal and fair treatment for all people by government

Performance of the democratic regime (3) Satisfaction with democracy

Demand and Supply (1)

Demand and Supply (2)

Legitimacy

State Capacity and Performance (1) Capacity to solve existing problems

State Capacity and Performance (2) Current vs. Past

State Capacity and Performance (3) People’s Agenda

State Capacity and Performance (4) Performance select policy areas

Political Trust

Government Responsiveness (1)

Government Responsiveness (2) Contact with Representatives

Perceptions on Corruption

Access to Documents and Services

Response to delays

Actual Bribes Paid

Partisanship and Cognitive Mobilisation (1) High Partisanship: Those who feel close or very close to a party. Low Partisanship: Those who do not feel close to a party. Cognitive ability: Level of education + Interest in public affairs (6-point scale) Low cognitive ability (<3) High cognitive ability (>3)

Partisanship and Cognitive Ability (2) General Typologies Apoliticals: Low partisanship and low cognitive abilities Ritual Partisans: High partisanship and low cognitive abilities Apartisans: Low partisanship and high cognitive abilities Cognitive partisans: High partisanship and high cognitive abilities

Partisanship and Cognitive Ability (3) Namibian Typologies Apoliticals 2002 (15.9%) 2003 (11.4%) Ritual Partisans 2002 (39.7%) 2003 (17.2%) Apartisans 2002 (11.1%) 2003 (24.2%) Cognitive Partisans 2002 (33.2%) 2003 (46.8%)