2015 INDUSTRIAL, AGRICULTURAL AND LARGE COMMERCIAL (IALC) ROADMAP PUBLIC EVALUATION WEBINAR Presentation November 18, 2015 Kay Hardy, Kris Bradley

AGENDA – NOVEMBER 18, 2015 »Discuss CPUC and PA custom program evaluation efforts »Introduction -- Kay Hardy »2015 IALC Roadmap studies -- Kris Bradley »2015 Roadmap studies -- PAs »2016 Roadmap Studies – Kay Hardy »2016 Roadmap Studies -- PAs »Group discussion and wrap up

2015 CPUC IALC STUDIES Study Title: Impact Study -- Custom MeasuresBudget: $2,500,000 Completion Date: Q1 2017Study Manager: CPUC staff Description: Ex post measurement and verification of program and measure impacts Objective:  Produce ex post gross and net savings estimates (kWh, kW and therms) for custom measure Claims Key Research Questions:  What are the realized energy savings, load reductions and factors in driving the decision to install energy efficient equipment EM&V Methods: Field measurement, desk review, impact modeling, decision maker surveys

CPUC 2015 IALC STUDIES Study Title: Energy Use Profile Study – NRNC Whole-Buildings Budget: $100,000 (subject to revision) Completion Date: Q4 2016Study Manager: CPUC staff Description: Billing data-based assessment of typical building energy use profiles following completion of construction Objective: Inform ex ante and ex post modeling efforts and assumptions regarding stable energy use levels and implications for M&V and associated program design features Key Research Questions:  Propose impact modeling solutions and program design features that address building usage profiles following construction and expected longer-term energy savings EM&V Methods: Billing data-based load profile development for whole-building new construction, assess implications for modeling and program design

2015 CPUC IALC STUDIES Study Title: Incentive Study -- Custom MeasuresBudget: $100,000 (subject to revision) Completion Date: Q3 2016Study Manager: CPUC staff Description: Ex post assessment of customer incentive payments, given differences in ex ante and ex post conclusions for key impact estimation components, and appropriateness of ex ante cost data Objective: Examine and report on ex post conclusions regarding discrepancy factors that lead to over- or under- payment of incentives Key Research Questions:  What can and should be done to correct incentive over- and under-payment EM&V Methods: Mine previous ex post M&V data and reports, assess quality and accuracy of ex ante data and conclusions

2015 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Benefits of Continuous Energy Improvement Practices – Under Review Budget: Under Review Expected Completion Date: TBDStudy Manager: SDG&E Description: Study mid-size manufacturing companies who have a strong commitment to CEI to: 1) Understand the characteristics of the management’s values and goals 2) Understand the types of barriers when implementing CEI 3) Collect information on a company’s approach to CEI (in practices/in monitoring equipment) and whether the goal is realized (energy savings as well as any other non-energy benefits for the company). Objective:  Behavior studies in the residential market have demonstrated significant savings through messaging and continual feedback on usage. This study will look into the possibility that a similar approach through continuous improvement practices in mid-size manufacturing companies can yield measureable benefits. Key Research Questions:  What motivates companies to engage in CEI?  How do companies engage in CEI?  Are companies’ goals achieved? Potential EM&V Methods: Literature review (within US) to identify the companies currently engaging in CEI and identify similarities in characteristics/values. Conduct a survey to measure a company’s satisfaction with CEI (more qualitative than quantitative).

2015 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Data Center Market Characterization: Phase 2Budget: $131,000 - Completed Expected Completion Date: Q4 2015Study Manager: PG&E Description: Market characterization of the embedded data center space of telecom closets and rooms 5,000 sq-ft or less. Objective:  Estimate the savings potential of the embedded data center space by examining the end-user needs and energy savings potential of various measures. Key Research Questions:  How many embedded data centers exist in PG&E territory?  What data are necessary to conduct EDC audits for IT, power and HVAC?  What qualifications are necessary to conduct audits?  What is the calculation methodology for estimating energy savings in the EDC space? Potential EM&V Methods: Interview and tracking data.

2015 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Industry Standard PracticeBudget: $89,000 – in progress Expected Completion Date: OngoingStudy Manager: IOUs Description: Continuation of Cycle of Industry Standard Practice Objective:  To review and understand what is Industry Standard Practice in specific situations, providing guidance to EE program implementers. Key Research Questions:  What is considered industry standard practice in various sectors? Potential EM&V Methods: Interviews and secondary research.

2015 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Measure Migration Study – Not startedBudget: Under Review Expected Completion Date: Not startedStudy Manager: IOU Description: The study will review the current process for identifying and transitioning measures from one portfolio area to another or to remove measures based on technical or policy drivers. Some examples include transitioning ET measures to core, transitioning ISP measures out of the portfolio or to C&S or even transitioning measures from one delivery method to another such as from custom to deemed or to some hybrid designation. Implications for Potential Studies and goals addressed. Objective: Identify improvements to current processes for emerging technology and industry standard practice implementation. Key Research Questions: How strong is the knowledge transfer between emerging technology results and programmatic changes including codes and standards? Potential EM&V Methods: Data tracking and interviews.

2015 IOU STUDIES Study Title: 2015 Measure, Application, Segments, Industry (MASI) Budget: $750,000 - Completed Expected Completion Date: TBDStudy Manager: IOU Description: This research supports defining measure opportunities for nonresidential programs and will extend the MASI research. Objective: The MASI reports are intended should provide strong market research with facts based on real world research, not a summary of existing knowledge aggregated from existing studies. The reports should provide broad market perspectives, major trends, and roadmaps for the MASI’s.  The research should provide a forward looking perspective (2016 and beyond), distinguishing immediate and emerging needs while keeping in mind CPUC’s directions.  The IOUs would view the MASI reports as the most definitive, up to date information on the selected MASIs to inform program design.  The research will also inform the next wave of industrial opportunity as CPUC is updating the industrial chapter of the strategic plan, with a focus on energy management. The CPUC is also planning to update the agriculture chapter which this study may inform. Key Research Questions:  What are the current industry practices, current California initiatives, trends and impact of codes and standards, barriers and key success factors and effective market strategies for the non- residential sector? Potential EM&V Methods: Industry Standard Practice studies, secondary research and interviews.

2015 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Market Based Incentives for Nonresidential Programs Budget: $300,000 – (Scoped and carried over into 2016) Expected Completion Date: TBDStudy Manager: SCE Description: The CPUC approached the IOUs to explore varying incentive rates. One example is by using locational DSM efforts which are based on varying avoided cost mechanisms. An examination of varying incentives to match varying avoided costs is therefore required. Objective:  Examine various scenarios for varying incentive rates. Key Research Questions:  How would using a locational Demand Side Management (DSM) method affect incentive rates? Potential EM&V Methods: Data tracking and interviews.

2016 IALC STUDIES » 2016 Evaluation and Information Needs » 2016 EM&V Research Studies » Research studies related to and evaluation of the 2016 Industrial, Agriculture and Large Commercial programs are being developed as of this update of the Research Roadmap. Descriptions of studies and budget allocations are preliminary and subject to change. Details will be made available in the next update of the Joint EM&V Plan.

2016 CPUC STUDIES Study Title: Impact Study -- Custom Measures Budget: TBD Completion Date: Q1 2018Study Manager: CPUC staff Description: Ex post measurement and verification of program and measure impacts Objective:  Produce ex post gross and net savings estimates (kWh, kW and therms) for custom measure Claims Key Research Questions:  What are the realized energy savings, load reductions and factors in driving the decision to install energy efficient equipment EM&V Methods: Field measurement, desk review, impact modeling, decision maker surveys

2016 CPUC STUDIES Study Title: Impact Study – Water Energy Programs Budget: TBD Completion Date: Q1 2018Study Manager: CPUC staff Description: Ex post measurement and verification of program and measure impacts Objective:  Produce ex post gross and net savings estimates (kWh, kW and therms) for water energy projects and programs Key Research Questions:  What are the realized direct and embedded energy savings from water/energy projects and programs EM&V Methods: Field measurement, desk review, impact modeling, decision maker surveys

2016 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Market Based Incentives (MBI) For Nonresidential Programs Study Budget: $200,000 – Scoped (carryover from 2015) Completion Date: Q2 2016Study Manager: SCE Description: Policymakers and leadership of the ED and IOUs have asked various questions about how we take Demand Side Management (DSM) to the market. On the one hand, Energy Division has approached the IOUs to explore varying nonresidential incentive rates for custom EE projects as a mechanism to improve custom portfolio resource value. On the other hand, the integration of locational programs into current EE DSM portfolios has led procurement leaders on the IOU side to ask how and if market locations should influence the determination of incentive rates. The SONGS mitigation efforts is one case where generation reductions/constraints in a particular physical market may require varying incentive rates or alternative incentive structures. Objective: Understand and estimate the locational impact or requirements of variable incentives on customer program participation.  Key Research Questions: How do the IOUs and the CPUC-ED take Demand-Side Management (DSM) to the market?  Do market locations influence the determination of incentive rates? If so, how?  How should incentive regimes respond to market or measure conditions? EM&V Methods: Interviews, market studies

2016 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Market Characterization Study (Food Processing, Hotel, and Restaurants) Budget: $100,000 – early scoping Completion Date: Q1 2017Study Manager: IOUs Description: Estimate the market potential for the new energy efficient technologies and standards in food processing, hotels, and restaurants. Objective:  Obtain market data that identified new opportunities for energy savings in the food processing, hotel, restaurant sectors. Key Research Questions:  What % of hotels are using Networked Energy Management Systems (NEMS)?  What were the phases hotels took to deploy NEMS, which technologies were networked first and in which order?  What are the realized energy savings, load reductions and factors in driving the decision to install energy efficient equipment?  What if any types of software, SAAS, or data visualization tools are used to manage energy and why?  What are the features and key benefits? EM&V Methods: Decision maker surveys, market sector surveys

2016 IOU STUDIES Study Title: Embedded Data Center Market Characterization: Phase 3 Budget: $100,000 - Scoped Completion Date:Study Manager: PG&E Description: Measurement and verification requirements for IT task scheduling and reservations in an embedded data center environment. The focus will be on engineering test labs, biotech and software Objective: Calculate the potential for energy savings in embedded data centers in PG&E territory using reservations/task schedulers. Phase 3 is complementary to Phases 1 and 2 in that it identifies specific IT opportunities to save energy. Key Research Questions:  How many embedded data centers exist in PG&E territory? · What data are necessary to conduct EDC audits for IT, power and HVAC? · What qualifications are necessary to conduct audits? · What is the calculation methodology for estimating energy savings in the EDC space? EM&V Methods: Field studies, IT monitoring via software

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