José Miguel Cruz Florida International University
The most violent region of the world One of the poorest regions in Latin America Massive emigration to the United States In 2014, 76% children in the Mexico-U.S. border came from Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras
CountryRate Honduras82 El Salvador66 Venezuela49 Guatemala42 Colombia33 Brazil23 Dominican Republic25 Panama22 Ecuador18 Mexico18 Nicaragua11 Paraguay12 Costa Rica9 Bolivia9 Uruguay6.1 Argentina5.5 Peru5.2 United States4.5 Chile3.7 Canada1.8 World Homicide Rate: 6.9 Homicide Rates in Latin America, Source: UNODC, 2013 Global Study on Homicide Rates per 100,000 inhabitants
Source: Cruz, 2011
Many actors, few data “Social violence” (senseless acts of violence) Youth gangs Criminal organizations
Most explanations about current violence and the crisis focus on: Poverty and inequality Legacies of Civil War Migration and deportation (Gangs were imported from the United States) Penetration of drug cartels in Central America from Mexico
CountryGDP per capita (US$) (2013) GDP Growth (Average % ) Pop. Living with $2/day (%) Income inequality index) Mexico8, Guatemala3, El Salvador3, Honduras2, Nicaragua1, Costa Rica10, LAC region7, USA53, Source: World Bank Economic Indicators and UNDP Human Development Report
CountryRanking (1-182)Life expectancy females (years) Literacy rate (%) Guatemala122 (Medium)7573 El Salvador106 (Medium)7782 Honduras112 (Medium)7683 Nicaragua124 (Medium)78 Costa Rica54 (High)8296 LAC region7985 USA13 (Very high)8299 Source: UNDP Human Development Report
GuatemalaEl Salvador HondurasNicaraguaCosta Rica Indicators of economic performance GDP per capita (2007)3,3413,7822,3891,7779,443 Gini Index Average Growth of GDP ( ) Indicators of war-legacies Demobilized soldiers (n)14,00024,500n/a72,720n/a Guerrillas/Contras (n)50012,362n/a19,000n/a Paramilitaries (n)279,42130,000n/a0 Total (n)293,92166,862n/a91,726n/a Source: PNUD 2009
Indicators of institutional infrastructure GuatemalaEl Salvador HondurasNicaraguaCosta Rica Police officers per 100,000 pop Judges per 100,000 pop Public attorneys per 100,000 pop Average percentage of public spending on security in national budget ( ) Average police officer monthly wage (in US$) Source: PNUD 2009; Cruz 2010
Usually blamed for the problem of violence The prevailing narratives are: They are the result of migration MS-13 and 18 th Street Gangs are a imported problem They took over and control the streets in Central America
The problem is more complex than that No more than 15% Central American gangs have been outside their countries Not the only actors of violence, even when they contribute significantly
Mara Salvatrucha and 18 th Street Gang members celebrating their peace agreement in San Martin, San Salvador, 1996.
…To Organized Crime: Gang members in Salvadoran prisons, 2006 (Photographs by Isabel Muñoz)
Gangs are not the cause but the symptom of a myriad of structural causes But the decisive factor in their evolution is: Public Security Policy
Chalatenango 18 th Street National Prison “The heart of the Eighteenth was there…” Country/City “A” Country/City “B” Country/City “C”
Deployment of Mano Dura in El Salvador, July 2003
Zero Tolerance Crackdown in Honduras, 2003
StagePeriodRespnse Street corner gangs1980s-1994Indifference Constitution of maras Swing between crackdowns and indifference Organizational incubation Mano Dura Territorial consolidation2009-Swing between mano dura, prevention, and negotiartion
Source: Policia Nacional Civil
Source: Instituto de Medicina Legal, 2008
Gangs have developed into organized crime organizations in contexts in which State institutions, via draconian policies and illegal violence, have provided them with incentives, opportunities and legitimacy.
José Miguel Cruz Florida International University