Chapter 19 Global Population Projections

Predicting the Future Many attempts using economic forecasting, political forecasting, and forecasting using social science have been made to look ahead – Few are very accurate All we can do is look at the current trends and predict how they will shape the near future Demographic trends – Birth rate – Mortality rate – Other population trends

Frequently Asked Questions What are the demographic projections and what social classes are affected? What political groups are affected by these trends? What cultures are impacted? How is the environment affected? Can we provide for these trends in terms of resource availability?

How Many People Will There Be? Currently, the world’s population is growing at a rate of 1.2% In 2013 the world’s population was 7.1 billion The Population Reference Bureau estimates total global population will be 9.7 billion by the year 2050

Where DO The People Reside? Currently, the top five countries in terms of population are: 1.China (1.36 billion) 2.India (1.28 billion) 3.United States (316 million) 4.Indonesia (249 million) 5.Brazil (196 million)

Where WILL The People Reside? According to current trends, in 2050, the top five countries in terms of population will be: 1.India (1.65 billion) 2.China (1.31 billion) 3.Nigeria (440 million) 4.United States (400 million) 5.Indonesia (366 million)

By Region (Now) Population World: 7.1 billion More Developed: 1.25 billion Less Developed: 5.89 billion Africa: 1100 million North America: 352 million Latin America: 606 million Asia: 4302 million Europe: 740 million Middle East: 536 million Oceana: 38 million

By Region (2050) Population World: 9.7 billion More Developed: 1.31 billion Less Developed: 8.42 billion Africa: 2431 million North America: 448 million Latin America: 780 million Asia: 5284 million Europe: 820 million Middle East: 721 million Oceana: 58 million