Climate Change Modeling How Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions is Shaping Great Communities in Oregon 15 th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications.

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TRB Planning Applications Conference

Climate Change & Health

Community Resilience & Comprehensive Planning

Presentation transcript:

Climate Change Modeling How Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions is Shaping Great Communities in Oregon 15 th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference Air Quality and Climate Change Cloud City - Air Quality and Climate Change Wednesday, May 20, :30 PM - 5:00 PM Thaya Patton Portland Metro Transportation Researcher and Modeler

Oregon Project Partners Kim Ellis, Portland Metro Josh Roll, Lane Council of Governments Ali Bonakdar, Corvallis Area MPO Tara Weidner, Oregon DOT Bob Cortright, Oregon DLCD Andrea Hamberg, Eric Main and Nicole Iroz-Elardo, Oregon Health Authority

State policy direction to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 2007Legislature adopts House Bill 3543 (Global Warming Actions) 2009 Legislature adopts House Bill 2001 (Jobs and Transportation Act) 2011LCDC adopts greenhouse gas reduction targets for our region (OAR ) 2012LCDC adopts Dec. 31, 2014 deadline for adopting Climate Smart Strategy (OAR )

Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) Members appointed by the Governor Adopts state land-use goals and implement rules Assures local plan compliance with the goals Coordinate state and local planning

Nearly half the population of Oregon resides in the Portland metro area

GreenSTEP and Metropolitan GreenSTEP GreenSTEP = Greenhouse gas Strategic Transportation Energy Planning Model Requested by Oregon Global Warming Commission Development Started in Versions – Statewide and Metropolitan GreenSTEP -> Rebranded as Regional Strategic Planning Model (RPMS) Adapted by FHWA as EERPAT Adapted by SHRP C16 as SmartGAP

LCOG Process

CAMPO Strategies

Portland Metro Process

Metro Strategy Inputs

Climate Smart Strategy – Portland Metro Past leadership and adopted plans exceed the target and support other goals Source: GreenSTEP

Climate Smart Strategy – Portland Metro The return on investment is significant Source: GreenSTEP and ITHIM

Climate Smart Strategy – Portland Metro Source: GreenSTEP and ITHIM

Climate Smart Strategy – Portland Metro Source: GreenSTEP and ITHIM

Climate Smart Strategy – Portland Metro Source: GreenSTEP and ITHIM

Next steps Tomorrow LCDC considers approval Development of New Transportation and Health Model Further refinements to GreenSTEP tool (RPSM) Develop Regional Transit Plan Incorporate Climate Smart Strategy into the next Regional Transportation Plan

More Information Oregon Strategic Assessments and Scenario Planning Portland Metro MPO Climate Smart Strategy Central Lane MPO Scenario Planning Corvallis Area MPO Scenario Planning - Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Project Oregon Health Authority - Climate Smart Communities Scenarios HIA nt/HealthImpactAssessment/Pages/CSCHIA.aspx

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