2015 Mid Year Chart Update. US Cyclical Bull Market Continues.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Strategies for Managing your Agency’s Investments
Advertisements

April 2015 Charts of Interest. 2 Soaring Valuations, Stalling Momentum? Since its post-financial crisis nadir in March 2009, the S&P 500 Index has soared,
TM. Tactical Asset Management How it could work for you… TM.
CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the written approval of Standard & Poor’s.
 This and/or the accompanying statistical information was prepared by or obtained from sources that Magellan Financial, Inc (Magellan Financial, Inc.
1 International Securities Exchange. 2 Steve Meizinger Director of Education ISE Steve Meizinger & Jeff Soule ISEoptions.com
1 CHAPTER FOURTEEN FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF COMMON STOCKS.
City of Hartford Debt Service Profile March 23, 2015.
13 September 2007] Vurdering af grunnfondsbeviset og grunnfondsbevisbankerne set fra London.
Investors’ Seminar November 2014 “How Risky Are Our Investments?”
A NexGen Tax Primer: Life Insurance & Tax Efficient Wealth Planning With Dale Durand, VP, Estate & Tax Planning.
Copyright ©2004 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Stock Analysis and Valuation.
The search for income in a low interest rate world J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series Accessible investment education from a trusted source FOR INSTITUTIONAL.
Asset Allocation and the Efficient Frontier: Optimizing a portfolio’s risk/return profile J.P. Morgan Investment Academy SM FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY.
TM. Step 1 Selecting your Benchmark Asset Allocation Step 1 Selecting your Benchmark Asset Allocation.
Introduction to investing in Small Caps Shaun van den Berg PSG Online.
TM. Buy low, Sell high… here’s how we try to do it. Mark Riefer President TM.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION A guide to economic indicators and their impact on investing J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series.
SMB’s Options Training Program Presents:
John Locke Locke In Your Success, LLC
Stocks, Bonds, and Futures Why Buy Stock? Gain a Profit Limit the Risk on their investment Become a part of a corporation Profit Potential Capital gain-
Institute of Directors Strategic Planning for Company Exit Wealth Management Paul Cannons Mike Lenhoff 28 May 2012.
A Case for Waiting Out the Storm INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT FDIC INSURED  NO BANK GUARANTEE  MAY LOSE VALUE Date Name.
Kevin M. Wilson, ChFC, PhD President/CEO/CIO Dheenu Sivalingam, MBA AVP/CCO/Senior Analyst 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN.
Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free: Fax:
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
Business in Action 7e Bovée/Thill. Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Chapter 19.
September 18, Portfolio Strategy In a Rising Interest Rate Environment.
6225 Lusk Boulevard | San Diego, CA | Phone | Fax | Estimating Future Investment Earnings Today Martin.
Stock Market Volatility and Your Plan. 1 It is important that you understand the ways in which we conduct business and the applicable laws and regulations.
 Financial Instruments © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
Discussion Document: EnerVest Diversified Income Trust Exchange Offer November 10, 1999 The contents of this presentation are not to be reproduced or distributed.
Equity income: a niche asset class Neil Margolis, Portfolio Manager May 2007.
ETF Trading Strategy Bigfoot, Whiddon Wealth Management, LLC and LPL Financial are separate unaffiliated entities. Whiddon Wealth Management, LLC 2410.
The Start of a New Cycle in Real Estate? Ian Goltra Portfolio Manager, Forward.
Kevin M. Wilson, ChFC, PhD President/CEO/CIO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free:
Kuwait Financial Centre ‘Markaz’ Sukuk Presentation - Update June 2009
Correlation matters: Understanding how asset classes behave J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series SM FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY | NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION.
Overview Background of Ford Equity Research Market Outlook
Introduction to investing on the JSE Simon Brown JustOneLap.com.
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
Investment Insights from CI Investment Consulting
Kevin M. Wilson, ChFC, PhD President/CEO/CIO Dheenu Sivalingam, MBA AVP/CCO/Senior Analyst 1314 E. Superior Street Suite 2 Duluth, MN Office:
Overview Sept BHP Billiton Ltd  BHP is the largest resource company in the world  Primarily involved in the extraction of essential resources.
Arihant Financial Services Tejas Shah
Preparing SSG Using ToolKit 4.0 Features By Felicia Ware-Joyner.
Business in Action 6e Bovée/Thill Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Chapter 19.
Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free: Fax:
Place Client Logo Here Oil Market Outlook Paul Horsnell Head of Commodities Research, Barclays Capital Intertanko Singapore Tanker Event 30 March 2006.
Copyright © 2014 Pearson Canada Inc. Chapter 7 THE STOCK MARKET, THE THEORY OF RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS, AND THE EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS Mishkin/Serletis.
Q2 Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter Quarterly Market Review Second Quarter 2015 Overview: Market Summary World Stock Market Performance World.
Kevin M. Wilson, PhD Chairman/CEO 1405 Medical Arts Building 324 W. Superior Street Duluth, MN Office: Toll Free: Fax:
February 2016 Outlook for Financial Markets Jack Ablin, CFA Chief Investment Officer (312) What to do Now? – Navigating Wall Street Volatility.
Market Review February 29, 2016 INTEREST RATES Month-End 2/29/16 Month-End 1/31/16 Year End 12/31/15 Fed Funds Rate Yr Treasury DJ.
Module #3: Mutual Funds. What is it? O A pool of funds collected from many investors for the purpose of investing in diversified holdings. O This pool.
Presenter Name Title MFS Investment Management ® Keep more of what you earn Tax-efficient MFS municipal bond funds © 2009 MFS Investment Management.
Chapter 11 Charles P. Jones, Investments: Analysis and Management, Twelfth Edition, John Wiley & Sons 11-1.
2016 Market Update and Outlook April 27, 2016 J.P. King Advisors, Inc. is an SEC registered investment advisor. Past performance is no guarantee of future.
Presented by: David Cox, CFA, CMT, FCSI, FMA, BMath Portfolio Manager October 26th, 2011 Cutten Club, Guelph, ON How To Stop Losing Money: In Bear Markets.
Fundamental Analysis Workshop Series Session Seven – Bottom Up Analysis.
TIAA-CREF Lifecycle Funds: A Simple Choice Participant Presentation.
Period Ending 3/31/03 Total Assets $8,279,356
Technology Investment Overview: Trends and Cycles
Personal Finance Stocks (Equities)
Market linked debentures
School District 97 (Oak Park), Cook County, Illinois
Cambria Armor Dividend Strategy Cambria Armor Growth Strategy
TITLE PRESENTATIONDATE AUTHOR JOBTITLE.
State of the Market Slide 1: 2019 Market Outlook
Financial Markets Update
Presentation transcript:

2015 Mid Year Chart Update

US Cyclical Bull Market Continues

S&P 500 Index at Key Inflection Points

Are Investors Complacent? VIX – Market Volatility Index: The Market Volatility Index (VIX) is an index designed to track market volatility as an independent entity. The index is calculated based on option activity and is used as an indicator of investor sentiment, with high values implying pessimism and low values implying optimism.

Margin Debt at Higher Levels Source: Dshort.com

Interest Rates and Inflation

Interest Rates in a Multi-Decade Downtrend Source: Bloomberg/Wells Fargo Investment Institute, as of April 3, 2015

Average US Valuations

Dividends are Important

What Inflation?

Reasonable Valuations in Developed International Markets

What is a financial advisor for? One view is that advisors have unique insights into market direction that give their clients an advantage. But of the many roles a professional advisor should play, soothsayer is not one of them. The truth is that no one knows what will happen next in investment markets. And if anyone really did have a working crystal ball, it is unlikely they would be plying their trade as an advisor, broker, analyst, or financial journalist. Some folks may still think an advisor’s role is to deliver market-beating returns year after year. Generally, those are the same people who believe good advice equates to making accurate forecasts. But in reality, the value a professional advisor brings is not dependent on the state of markets. Indeed, their value can be even more evident when volatility and emotions are running high. The best of this new breed play multiple and nuanced roles with their clients. None of these roles involve making forecasts about markets or economies. Indeed, there are at least seven hats an advisor can wear to help clients without ever once having to look into a crystal ball: 1. The Expert: Investors need advisors who can provide client-centered expertise in assessing the state of their finances and developing risk- aware strategies to help them meet their goals. 2. The Independent Voice: The global financial turmoil of recent years demonstrated the value of an independent and objective voice in a world full of product pushers and salespeople. 3. The Listener: A good advisor will listen to clients’ fears, tease out the issues driving those feelings, and provide practical, long-term answers. 4. The Teacher: Getting beyond the fear-and- flight phase often is just a matter of teaching investors about risk and return, diversification, the role of asset allocation, and the virtue of discipline. 5. The Architect: Once these lessons are understood, the advisor becomes an architect, building a long-term wealth management strategy that matches each person’s risk appetites and lifetime goals. 6. The Coach: Even when the strategy is in place, doubts and fears inevitably arise. At this point, the advisor becomes a coach, reinforcing first principles and keeping the client on track. 7. The Guardian: Beyond these experiences is a long-term role for the advisor as a kind of lighthouse keeper, scanning the horizon for issues that may affect the client and keeping them informed. These are just seven valuable roles an advisor can play in understanding and responding to clients’ whole-of-life needs, which are a world away from the old notions of selling product off the shelf or making forecasts. Knowing the advisor is independent—and not plugging product—can lead the client to trust the advisor as a listener or sounding board. From this point, the listener can become the teacher, architect, coach, and, ultimately, the guardian. Just as people’s needs and circumstances change over time, the nature of the advice service evolves. However you characterize these various roles, good financial advice ultimately is defined by the patient building of a long-term relationship founded on the values of trust and independence and knowledge of each individual. Now, how can you put a price on that? The Seven Roles of an Advisor Adapted from “The Seven Roles of an Advisor” by Jim Parker, Outside the Flags column, May Dimensional Fund Advisors LP ("Dimensional") is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. There is no guarantee investment strategies will be successful. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. This content is provided for informational purposes, and it is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, recommendation, or endorsement of any particular security, products, or services. Summer 2015

1 New Hampshire Avenue, Suite 100 Portsmouth, New Hampshire Price/Earnings to Growth Ratio is calculated as NTM P/E divided by NTM earnings growth. Price to Book Ratio is the price divided by book value per share. Price to Cash Flow is price divided by NTM cash flow. EY Minus Baa Yield is the forward earnings yield (consensus analyst estimates of EPS over the next 12 months, divided by price) minus the Moody’s Baa seasoned corporate bond yield. “P/CF is a 20 year avg. due to cash flow data availability. Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Inc. (“WFII”) is a registered investment adviser and wholly-owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo & Company and provides investment advice to Wells Fargo Advisors and other Wells Fargo affiliates. Wells Fargo Advisors is the trade name used by two separate registered broker-dealers: Wells Fargo Advisors, LLC and Wells Fargo Advisors Financial Network, LLC, Members SIPC, non-bank affiliates of Wells Fargo & Company The indices are presented to provide you with an understanding of their historic long-term performance and are not presented to illustrate the performance of any security. Investors cannot directly purchase any index. The report herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact in respect to any company, industry or security. The opinions expressed here reflect the judgment of the author as of the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. Statistical information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Any market prices are only indications of market values and are subject to change. The material has been prepared or is distributed solely for information purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Additional information is available upon request.