Richard J. Strasser, Jr. Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 October 27, 2004
FISCAL YEAR 2004 HIGHLIGHTS FISCAL YEAR 2004 HIGHLIGHTS
FY 2004 HIGHLIGHTS Income Statement – September 2004 Numbers may not add due to rounding [ ] = Unfavorable variance to plan ($ Millions)* Unaudited Results Actual Var %PlanPlan 2003 Revenue $5, $5, % Expense 5,868 [+156][+2.7] 5, % Net Loss$ -60 [ -13] $ -47
FY 2004 HIGHLIGHTS Actual Volume Compared to FY 2003 Jul Aug Sep
FY 2004 HIGHLIGHTS Revenue Compared to SPLY – Sep YTD Actual
FY 2004 HIGHLIGHTS Workhours – September YTD Change to 2003 September YTD Career Complement Reduction = 21,609 Actual
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 FY 2005 Capital Investment Plan FY 2005 Capital Investment Plan FY 2005 Operating Plan FY 2005 Operating Plan FY 2005 Financing Plan FY 2005 Financing Plan Topics of Discussion
FISCAL YEAR 2005 OPERATING PLAN FISCAL YEAR 2005 OPERATING PLAN
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 FY 2005 IFP Summary FY 2005 – October 1, 2004 to September 30, 2005 Transformation Plan – FY 2002 to FY 2006 Take out $5 Billion in annual spending Over 5 years – $14 Billion in costs FY 2005 – Third year without a postage rate increase Strong volume growth – Advertising Mail Less First-Class volume
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Assumptions – FY 2005 Economy Inflation Rate = 1.9%
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Assumptions – FY 2005 Economy Inflation Rate = 1.9% Continued Job Growth 2004 Est Est.
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Assumptions – FY 2005 Economy Inflation Rate = 1.9% Continued Job Growth Slowing Retail Sales Economy-Wide Retail Sales-Percent Change 2004 Est Est.
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Assumptions – FY 2005 Economy Inflation Rate = 1.9% Continued Job Growth Slowing Retail Sales No Extraordinary Events Continued Electronic Diversion No Cost for Postal Reform Included in 2005
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 $68.3B 2005 % Chg -0.3% $68.5B 3.9% ($ 0.2B) Revenue $68.5B 2004 Est. Expense $65.9B Net Income (Loss) $ 2.6B Income Statement
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Volume (Volume in Billions) Est. Forecast
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Volume Change 208B207B Down 14.1% Down 7.9% Up 9.8% First- Class First- Class Standard Other Similar volume, $4.9B less revenue (at constant rates)
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Volume Change 205B207B Down 1.7% Down 2.2% Up 4.0% First- Class First- Class Standard Other
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Expense Growth – FY 2005 $4.0B Total Before Cost Reductions $1.4B $2.6B Net Increase Cost Reductions
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Salaries and Other Benefits Health Benefits COLAs Expense Growth – FY 2005 Total Personnel Compensation $2.8B $ 0.7B $0.8B $1.3B
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 COLA – Annualized Dollar Impact ($ Millions)
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Salaries and Other Benefits Health Benefits COLAs Transportation HQ Program Increase Expense Growth – FY 2005 Workload Total Personnel Compensation $2.8B $ 0.7B $0.8B $1.3B $0.4B $0.3B $0.2B Non-Personnel
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Expense Growth – FY 2005 $4.0B Total Before Cost Reductions $1.4B $2.6B Net Increase
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Est. FY 2004 Cumulative Workhour Reductions Cumulative Reduction 728M Workhours Cumulative Reduction 728M Workhours Proj. FY 2005
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Cost Reductions $245M Equipment Savings $1,121M Operation Strategies n n Flat Automation n n Letters (Recognition, PARS) n n Retail Ops (APCs, POS ONE) n n BPI – Standardization n n Local Management Initiatives n n Non-Personnel Reductions
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Percent Growth Total Factor Productivity Cumulative 1972 – 2005 *Projection * * * * FY
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Operating Plan Summary Net Loss -$0.2B Volume 0.7% TFP (Estimate) 0.9% Deliveries 1.6M Work Hours 23M
Recommendation: Approve FY 2005 Operating Plan INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005
FISCAL YEAR 2005 CAPITAL PLAN
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Protects ROI Projects Capital Investment Plan Summary Allows Crucial Customer Service Facility Replacements and Repairs Promotes Safe Working Environment for Employees Includes Improved Management Information Systems
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Capital Commitments FY 04 Est. 05 Proj ($ Billions) FY 04 Carryover Projects
Capital Commitments INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 FY 2005 Plan 1852 FY 2004 Est ($ Millions) Retail Vehicles Support Equip Facilities Auto Mech Equip
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 FY 2005 – Financing Plan ($ Billions) Plan Est. 2.6Net Income 5.7+ Cash Flow from Ops 1.5- Capital Cash Outlays 4.2Net Cash Flow 1.3+ Cash Decrease 5.5= Debt Repayment 1.8 Debt Outstanding (9/30)
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Year-End Debt Outstanding FY ($ Billions) Est. 04 Proj. 05
INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 Recommendation: Approve Capital Investment Plan INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005
Richard J. Strasser, Jr. Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 INTEGRATED FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2005 October 27, 2004