Indicator Development and Use in the LISC Sustainable Communities Assessment Research National Neighborhood Indicators Partnership Minneapolis, MN May 14, 2009 Chris Walker Francisca Winston Sarah Rankin

Contents 1.Policy Purposes 2.Analysis Purposes 3.Analysis Comparisons 4.Indicator Advancement 5.Indicator Selection and Treatment 6.Criteria for Selection 7.Common Core and Site-Specific Indicators 8.Comparison Neighborhoods 9.Public Presentation Research

Policy Purposes 1.Support Cooperative CD Relationships 2.Promote Comprehensiveness 3.Influence Agenda 4.Shape Policies and Programs 5.Assess Effectiveness At Local and National Levels Research

Housing Increased diversity of housing options across tenure, income, and affordability groups Increased residential opportunities for those who work locally Economy and Workforce Increased export of goods, services, and labor Increased opportunities to work in accessible, upwardly mobile jobs Improved access to high-quality shopping Improved transportation access Community Quality and Safety More attractive physical amenities Safer places for residents and visitors Improved public urban services Improved overall quality of life Education and Culture Higher quality educational opportunities for children and adults Improved access to connective technologies Widened access to arts and cultural opportunities Characteristics of Sustainable Communities Community Institutions and Relationships Strengthened community-based institutions and local anchors Increased bridging and bonding capital Increased idea and resource contributions from local institutions Increased resident willingness and ability to contribute to the community Social and Health Services Broadened opportunities for childcare, youth development, health, and social services for special needs populations

1.Neighborhood/Community engagement. 2.A comprehensive array of development activities. 3.Geographic targeting. 4.Neighborhood/community lead agency. 5.Strong civic partnership among funders, local government, CDCs, LISC staff and LAC and others. 6.Creation of a strong resource base. 7.Measuring progress & impact at the community level. 8.Intensive, on-going communications activities. 9.Accountability. 10.Brokering & negotiating skills. Ten Principles of Sustainable Communities Research

Analysis Purposes 1.Monitor Neighborhood Change 2.Assess Policy Contributions to Change 3.Understand Change Dynamics 4.Advance Indicators Practice Research

Impact Analysis Results: Five Points Neighborhood, Denver CO

Indicator Advancement 1.Assess Indicator Behavior 2.Develop Proxy Indicators 3.Analyze Indicators Across Domains 4.Understand Spatial Similarities Research

IRS and Census Estimates of Household Change Research

IRS v. Census Estimates of Income Change Research

Indicator Selection and Treatment 1.Criteria for Selection 2.Common Core and Site-Specific Indicators 3.Comparison Neighborhoods 4.Public Presentation Research

Comparison Neighborhoods 1.National Cluster Analysis 2.Local Criteria for Selection 3.Bracketed Matching 4.Neighborhoods and Sub-Neighborhoods Research

HMDA median SF home purchase amount 2000 – 2006 Change in Census vacancy rates from 1990 to 2000 Census population change between 1990 and 2000 Census percent change from 1990 to 2000 for White, Black and Hispanic Census percent Poverty, Census percent African-American (or Other Minority Majority) Census percent renter-occupied from Census 2000 Variables Used to Construct Comparisons – National Research

Variables Used in Providence Comparison Tract Identification VariableDefinition Range for Tract 19 (+/- %) Single-Unit Property Median Sales Price, Average Tract median sales prices for single-family owner- or renter-occupied properties sold in 2005, 2006, and % Trend in Single-Unit Property Median Sales Price Two-to-Five Family Property Median Sales Price, Average Tract median sales prices for 2-5 family owner- or renter-occupied properties sold in 2005, 2006, and % Trend in Two-to-Five Family Property Median Sales Price Robberies per Thousand Population, 2005 – 2007 Average Number of reported robberies / Census 2000 tract population 80 % Trend in Robberies per Thousand Population Racial and ethnic minorities as percent of total population, 2000 Census 2000 total Hispanic and African-American population /Total tract population. 50 % Percent housing units that are owner- occupied, 2006 Number of owner-occupied parcels, 2006 / Total number of residential parcels, from city parcel-level data. 40 % Median Family Income, 1999Census 2000 tract median family income, % Crude Birth Rate, 2007 Department of Health total number of live births in 2007 / Census 2000 total tract population 50 % Research

Providence Comparison Tract Selection TractSingle FamSF Trend2-5 Fam2-5 TrendRobberyRob TrendRaceOwner OccIncomeBirths 07 Leve lTrendTotal NA Research

Public Presentation 1.Target Areas relative to national comparisons 2.Adaptation of format for local public presentation 3.Performance relative to comparison area values 4.Summary of site performance 5.Summary of national performance Research