The Energy Community C hrissa Argyriou – European Commission – DG Transport and Energy Electricity and Gas

The Energy Community Treaty was signed on October 25 Key issues included in the Treaty: acquis on electricity and gas, renewable, environment, competition

EU Diversity of Supply Management? (could this be a 2020 aspiration?) 10-20% 10% Russia Caspian/Middle East EU Nth. African LNG Norway/Netherlands 4 th Supply Corridor from 80 to 100 bcma requires about bcma lines (incl. LNG), 10-15% Existing infrastructure 4 th Corridor requirement LNG requirement LNG to bcma 27.5% Blue Stream 16 bcma Russia West 1&2 15 bcma Ukraine 5 lines Total 140 bcma EuroPol 20 bcma CAC 80 bcma - 5 lines Norway lines 93 bcma plus 50 Bcma Netherlands supply 10-15% 2 lines total 31 bcma expansion +10 bcma 27.5%

Table below summarised infrastructure required as Europe gas market growth from 520 bcma in 2003 to 830 bcma in 2025 Given supply diversity indicated

Gas Realities in South East Europe Market in region too small SECI Gas Study: develop market as ancillary market to supplying EU market World Bank ECN Study: Delivered gas prices in SEE competitive So, TPA reservation for provision of EU market and contestable local market using TPA on exiting and new local infrastructure

Mechanism for Operation of Network Energy Markets Outputs for 2005 Protocol on Gas Transmission and Investments Guidelines for Gas Infrastructure Investment Regulation (GIIR) in Energy Community

Protocol on Gas Transmission and Investments Protocol to Athens Memorandum 2003 Title III Measure when Treaty comes into force Principles: –Harmonisation between Regulators and TSOs of Guidelines for Gas Infrastructure Investment Regulation (GIIR) in Energy Community –Limited possibility for revision and not subject to regulatory policy change –Concerted Application of Art 22 exemptions –Favour new sources of supply

Regulated Asset Base Minimum harmonised principles Risk-Return Relationship Risk on investors not on local market

Guidelines for Gas Infrastructure Investment Regulation (GIIR) in Energy Community Stability and single regulatory process Discrimination between existing and new? Respect of the position of small shippers and new entrants Unbundled regime Use it or lose it TPA on existing bulk transition lines – relationship with dominant flows Level playing fields for new investments

Activation of Gas Regulatory Group Agreed at last Ministerial Meet at early stage under aegis of Commission First Draft of Guidelines for Gas Infrastructure Investment Regulation (GIIR) in Energy Community Chairman: Michael Caramanis, RAE

Next steps (1) Updated Gas Transition Strategy WB launch of Gas economics study and APL gas fund, based on country action plans and transit potential Gas Forum in 2006

Next steps (2) Adoption of the gas transition strategy paper by PHLG in 2006 Consensus on Guidelines for Gas Infrastructure Investment Regulation (GIIR) in Energy Community at Forum and then PHLG