Low-carbon growth in Brazil? Gilberto Câmara National Institute for Space Research

~230 scenes Landsat/year Yearly detailed estimates of clear-cut areas PRODES: Clear-cut deforestation mapping

15-day alerts of newly deforested large areas DETER: Real -time Deforestation Monitoring

International credibility helps… TerraAmazon “Today, Brazil’s monitoring system is the envy of the world. INPE has its own remote sensing satellite, a joint effort with China, that allows it to publish yearly totals of deforested land that scientists regard as reliable.”

Transparency builds governance

registrations 46 million protests

Myth 1: The impact of deforestation Deforestation is responsible for 20% of global carbon emissions (Sir David King) How does he know?

Myth 1: The impact of deforestation Brazil (1990s): km 2 average - about 8% of CO2 emissions Brazil ( est): km 2 - about 5% of CO2 emissions

Myth 2: High cost of avoiding deforestation Avoided deforestation costs 30 € per tCO 2 Does it really?

Myth 2: The high cost of avoiding deforestation km 2 of avoided deforestation from How much did it cost?

Myth 2: High cost of avoiding deforestation cost of monitoring and enforcement (US$ 100 M-year) Brazil grew on at 3.5% average

Myth 2: High cost of avoiding deforestation source: Imazon graphics: Mongabay Avoiding deforestation in Amazonia has a negative cost

Myth 3: REDD is necessary and beneficial Money to whom? migrant workers? big farmers? I need my SUV

REDD may induce leakages: counterproductive ALAP BR 319 Estradas pavimentadas em 2010 Estradas não pavimentadas Rios principais Less: More: Differences: Protection areas Sustainable areas

Myth 4: Developed countries are willing to do technology transfer E2V CCD deviceCBERS-3 satellite “E2V will no longer sell CCDs to Brazil because we are committed to ITAR regime” (2008)

Achieving targets = good governance + market incentives Action Item 2: Brazil´s targets for deforestation

Action Item 2: Biofuels need fair markets

Action Item 3: Markets have a positive rôle

Open Globes OpenForestMap WikiForest Scientists, Citizens, Markets National, int´l agencies Angola Congo DR Action Item 4: Global Forest Information System

Data: INPE´s vision for the future A constellation of satellites and sensors will provide free earth observation data for all countries on Earth

CBERS as a global satellite CBERS ground stations will cover most of the Earth’s land mass between 30 0 N and 30 0 S

“A few satellites can cover the entire globe, but there needs to be a system in place to ensure their images are readily available to everyone who needs them. Brazil has set an important precedent by making its Earth-observation data available, and the rest of the world should follow suit.”