ESPON UK Network Workshop TARGETING ANALYSIS ON MIGRATION AND ECONOMY Cliff Hague (UK ESPON Contact Point)

Aims of the workshop To develop knowledge and understanding of recent and on- going ESPON research on demography and migration; To provide peer and practitioner feedback; To develop ideas for proposals for new targeted analysis.

ESPON : Inception reports for the first round of projects Cities and urban agglomerations: their functionality and potentials for European competitiveness and cooperation Development opportunities in different types of rural areas Demographic and migratory flows affecting European regions and cities Climate change and territorial effects on regions and local economies Effects of rising energy prices on regional competitiveness Territorial Impact Assessment of policies. ESPON Database

The first “Targeted Analysis” projects The case for agglomeration economies in Europe The development of the islands – European islands and cohesion policy Cross-border polycentric metropolitan regions Success for convergence regions’ economies Spatial scenarios: new tools for local-regional territories Territorial Diversity.

Next round Priority 1 topics – tendering late summer Attractiveness of regions and cities European patterns of land use Territorial cooperation in transnational areas and across internal/external borders Accessibility at regional/local scale and patterns in Europe Secondary growth poles European perspective on specific types of territories The territorial dimension of innovation and the knowledge economy Continental territorial structures and flows (globalisation) Consumer public services Maritime inter-linkages and sea use

Criteria for Priority 2 Proposals A European perspective Transferable results bringing added value for a broader user- group Concrete plan for implementation of findings

Migration East to west migration is boosting EU economy by Euros50 Billion a year, says a report by the European Commission (FT 8 May 09). 3.8M moved : 80% from Poland and Romania: could be 8.4M by % from 2004 accession to UK and Ireland. The economic crisis is slowing migration but that will change. 50% of migration potential currently realised.

Trends in Population Development – ESPON countries up to 2005, with a combination of NUTS 2 and NUTS 3 regions. Europe is getting older – problems of labour and services in some mainly rural regions.

Net migration development

Population growth is higher in neighbourhood

CLG Research Report 2009 Main driver of migration is economic. UK likely to be hit harder by downturn than migrant source countries. Hence international migration into UK is likely to slow. No regional breakdown within the UK or source countries in this report. Need better knowledge at regional scale of drivers and impacts.