2014 Federal Political Outlook Can Republicans take the Senate? 6 seats needed Can Democrats take the House? 17 seats needed 8/25/14.

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Presentation transcript:

2014 Federal Political Outlook Can Republicans take the Senate? 6 seats needed Can Democrats take the House? 17 seats needed 8/25/14

US Senate Outlook

Can Republicans Take the Senate? 7 Democrat Seats in States Won by Romney – AK, AR, LA, MT, NC, SD, WV – 3 of these are open seats –MT, SD, WV – Rest are vulnerable – AK, AR, LA, NC 2 Additional Democratic Open Seats in States Won by Obama – IA, MI

Can Republicans Take the Senate?

Competitive Seats: South Dakota (Tim Johnson retiring. Romney by 19) GOP: Mike Rounds, former Governor Dem: Rick Weiland, Daschle aide and FEMA reg. dir. West Virginia (Jay Rockefeller retiring. Romney by 27) GOP: Shelley Moore Capito, Congresswoman Dem: Natalie Tennant, Secretary of State Can Republicans Take the Senate?

Montana (Romney by 13) GOP: Steve Daines, Congressman Dem: Amanda Curtis, State Rep. Alaska: (Romney by 14) GOP: Dan Sullivan, fmr. DNR commissioner Dem: Mark Begich, incumbent

Louisiana (Romney by 17) GOP: Bill Cassidy, Congressman Rob Maness, Retired Air Force Col. Dem: Mary Landrieu, incumbent Iowa : (Obama by 5) GOP: Joni Ernst, State Senator Dem: Bruce Braley, Congressman

Arkansas (Romney by 24) GOP: Tom Cotton, Congressman Dem: Mark Pryor, incumbent North Carolina (Romney by 2) GOP: Thom Tillis, State House Speaker Dem: Kay Hagan, incumbent Michigan (Obama by 9) GOP: Terri Lynn Land, fmr. Sec. of State Dem: Gary Peters, Congressman

Colorado (Obama by 5) GOP: Cory Gardner, Congressman Dem: Mark Udall, incumbent Virginia (Obama by 4) GOP: Ed Gillispie Dem: Mark Warner, incumbent New Hampshire (Obama by 6) GOP: Scott Brown, former MA Senator Dem: Jeanne Shaheen, incumbent

Seats to Defend: Kentucky (Romney by 23) GOP: Mitch McConnell, incumbent Dem: Alison Lundergan Grimes, Sec. of State Can Republicans Take the Senate?

Georgia (Romney by 7) GOP: David Perdue, businessman Dem : Michelle Nunn, non-profit director, daughter of fmr. Senator Sam Nunn

US House Outlook Current Makeup: 233 GOP, 199 Dem 218 Needed for Majority Democrats Need 17 Seats for Takeover Currently approximately 46 competitive seats.