Ryan King Iurii Bugai

What factors influence the support of right- wing parties in Scandinavia?

 Immigration refugee vs. non refugees  Economic Distress Control for economic crisis? Unemployment, GDP growth, inflation, etc.  Institutional factors Similar across all 3 nations Changes in party system. Move to the centre?

 Welfare state Increasing vs. decreasing expenditure per capita Does high welfare reduce support for right wing parties?  Charismatic Leader

 Higher immigration (esp. higher refugee immigration) = more support. Does immigration only matter when the economy is bad?  Higher economic distress = higher support  Institutional Factors = More movement to political centre creates a political space at the extremes. Take advantage of people dissatisfied with current parties.  Welfare = Compare welfare in Norway vs. Sweden/Denmark. Does Norwegian welfare have less cuts but equal support?

 ERW = β 0 + β 1 (Immigr) + β 2 (EconDistr) + β 3 (PartSyst) + β 4 (Welf) + β 5 (Charism) + ε Where  ERW – Extreme Right-wing parties  Immigr – Relative increase in immigration  EconDist – Economic Distress  PartSyst – Relative weakening of established party systems  Welf – Relative Change in Welfare Policies  Charism – Presence of a Charismatic Leader (dummy)

 Election results  Social Surveys  WVS  Luxembourg Income Study  Pippa Norris