Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy Northeastern University School of Public Policy & Urban Affairs A “Think and Do” Tank Meeting the Commonwealth’s Workforce Needs: Occupational Projections and Vocational Education Mass Business Roundtable Barry Bluestone November 19, 2015

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  Sources Projections of employment and job openings, , statewide and by Workforce Investment Area (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) (675 detailed occupations, 16 WIA’s) Educational attainment by occupation, (American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau) (479 occupations) Senior enrollment by school and vocational education program ( ) (Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education) (96 schools and 79 programs) The search tool of O*NET (onetonline.org) to build the alignment of vocational education programs to occupations. (U.S. Department of Labor, Employment & Training Administration) Higher education attendance of seniors, by school district ( ) (Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education) 6-year completion rates for Massachusetts community and 4-year colleges (Massachusetts Board of Higher Education)

Major Group Occupational Employment Change:

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  Net Employment Growth Title Employment 2012 Employment Year Change in Employment Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 280,707327,05046, Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 225,025265,51440, Business and Financial Operations Occupations 201,823230,93329, Computer and Mathematical Occupations 143,366171,40028, Personal Care and Service Occupations 108,631136,66328, Office and Administrative Support Occupations 497,406524,10126, Management Occupations 222,774248,02025, Construction and Extraction Occupations 116,411139,93123, Sales and Related Occupations 341,489364,63223, Healthcare Support Occupations 104,853127,46722, Education, Training, and Library Occupations 205,501227,17321, Community and Social Service Occupations 74,91989,04614, Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 159,535173,19813, Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 112,240123,33311, Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 102,082110,9388, Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 49,41256,0526, Protective Service Occupations 74,43579,5855, Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 60,37965,3574, Architecture and Engineering Occupations 73,17976,7443, Legal Occupations 31,25434,4253, Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 1,1541, Production Occupations 160,645156,051-4,594 Total All Occupations3,347,2203,728,830381,610

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  Replacement Workers

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy 

Education Demand by Occupation: High School or Less - Projected 2022 SOCTitle High School or Less Some College or Associates DegreeBA or More Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations68.9%22.9%8.2% Production Occupations65.6%25.0%9.3% Construction and Extraction Occupations65.6%25.8%8.6% Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations63.5%23.3%13.2% Transportation and Material Moving Occupations62.5%27.9%9.6% Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations58.0%32.9%9.0% Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations55.0%33.7%11.3% Personal Care and Service Occupations47.1%36.6%16.3% Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations40.3%46.0%13.7% Protective Service Occupations40.2%33.7%11.3% Sales and Related Occupations36.4%33.8%29.8% Office and Administrative Support Occupations36.0%40.6%23.4% Healthcare Support Occupations28.5%40.9%33.8% Community and Social Service Occupations12.7%23.1%64.2% Management Occupations12.0%20.9%67.1% Education, Training, and Library Occupations11.1%24.5%61.5% Architecture and Engineering Occupations8.5%21.7%69.8% Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations7.6%35.2%57.7% Business and Financial Operations Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% Computer and Mathematical Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations4.1%9.3%86.7% Legal Occupations3.6%10.8%85.6% TotalAll Occupations33.2%29.8%36.9%

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  Education Demand by Occupation: Some College/Associates Degree – Projected 2022 SOCTitle High School or Less Some College or Associates DegreeBA or More Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations40.3%46.0%13.7% Healthcare Support Occupations28.5%40.9%33.8% Office and Administrative Support Occupations36.0%40.6%23.4% Personal Care and Service Occupations47.1%36.6%16.3% Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations7.6%35.2%57.7% Sales and Related Occupations36.4%33.8%29.8% Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations55.0%33.7%11.3% Protective Service Occupations40.2%33.7%11.3% Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations58.0%32.9%9.0% TotalAll Occupations33.2%29.8%36.9% Transportation and Material Moving Occupations62.5%27.9%9.6% Construction and Extraction Occupations65.6%25.8%8.6% Production Occupations65.6%25.0%9.3% Education, Training, and Library Occupations11.1%24.5%61.5% Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations63.5%23.3%13.2% Community and Social Service Occupations12.7%23.1%64.2% Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations68.9%22.9%8.2% Architecture and Engineering Occupations8.5%21.7%69.8% Management Occupations12.0%20.9%67.1% Business and Financial Operations Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% Computer and Mathematical Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% Legal Occupations3.6%10.8%85.6% Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations4.1%9.3%86.7%

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  Education Demand by Occupation: B.A. or More – Projected 2022 SOCTitle High School or Less Some College or Associates DegreeBA or More Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations4.1%9.3%86.7% Legal Occupations3.6%10.8%85.6% Business and Financial Operations Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% Computer and Mathematical Occupations5.8%19.4%74.9% Architecture and Engineering Occupations8.5%21.7%69.8% Management Occupations12.0%20.9%67.1% Community and Social Service Occupations12.7%23.1%64.2% Education, Training, and Library Occupations11.1%24.5%61.5% Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations7.6%35.2%57.7% Healthcare Support Occupations28.5%40.9%33.8% Sales and Related Occupations36.4%33.8%29.8% Office and Administrative Support Occupations36.0%40.6%23.4% Personal Care and Service Occupations47.1%36.6%16.3% Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations40.3%46.0%13.7% Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations63.5%23.3%13.2% Protective Service Occupations40.2%33.7%11.3% Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations55.0%33.7%11.3% Transportation and Material Moving Occupations62.5%27.9%9.6% Production Occupations65.6%25.0%9.3% Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations58.0%32.9%9.0% Construction and Extraction Occupations65.6%25.8%8.6% Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations68.9%22.9%8.2%

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy Northeastern University School of Public Policy & Urban Affairs A “Think and Do” Tank Massachusetts Vocational Technical Education: A Survey of Employer Attitudes Cathy Tumber Barry Bluestone November 2015

Employer Survey N= 352

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy  Key Findings

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy 

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy Northeastern University School of Public Policy & Urban Affairs A “Think and Do” Tank Thank You