EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system.

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Presentation transcript:

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Growth of a system in which the amount being added to the system is proportional to the amount already present. The bigger the system is, the greater the increase.

Once you take a domain or industry and power it with information technology and information properties its price/performance starts doubling. Once that starts it doesn’t stop, you get exponential growth. Dr Ray Kurzweil EXPONENTIAL GROWTH Source: kurzweilai.net

COMPUTING TRANSFORMATION 1 st Platform – Mainframe  Thousands of apps  Millions of users 2 nd Platform – PC  Tens of thousand apps  Hundreds of millions of users 3 rd Platform – Mobile/Cloud  Millions of apps  Billions of users  Trillions of “Things” Source: idc.com

AI Robotics Biotech Nanotech Medicine Neuroscience Energy Space Computing EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

AI Robotics Biotech Nanotech Medicine Neuroscience Energy Space Computing EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

9% global penetration (2011) 25% global penetration (2015) Exponential Growth of Smart Mobile Devices (Global unit sales, millions) Source: eMarketer MOBILE DEVICES EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Global Internet Users Growing Fast (Global internet users, billions) Source: ITU MOBILE INTERNET EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

From $30 /KWh (1980) To $0.16 /KWh (2014) 200x in 34 years Cost of Solar Plummeting (Price per KWh) Sources: DOE NREL Solar Market Report, SolarBuzz Retail Price Environment SOLAR ENERGY EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES Coal/Natural Gas Price Band

From $10,000,000 (2007) To $1,000 (2014) 10,000x in 7 years Cost to Sequence Human Genome (Logarithmic scale) Source: Lilly Clinical BIOTECH EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

From $500,000 (2008) To $135,000 (2010) To $22,000 (2012) 23x in 5 years Industrial Robot Advances (Indexed) Sources: htetechnologies.com INDUSTRIAL ROBOTS Source: UNECE EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Do you think you will need a Drivers License? Source: Google AUTONOMOUS VEHICALS EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES From $350,000 of sensors (2011) To $1,000 (2015) 300x in 4 years

AI Robotics Biotech Nanotech Medicine Neuroscience Energy Space Computing EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES

Source: Economist UNICORNS - $1B VALUATIONS EXPONENTIAL ORGANISATIONS

PLATFORMS & ECOSYSTEMS EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY

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