Donald W. Burgess Hazardous Weather Forecasts & Warnings Hazardous Weather Warnings.

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Presentation transcript:

Donald W. Burgess Hazardous Weather Forecasts & Warnings Hazardous Weather Warnings

2 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009 DAY3 OUTLOOK DAY2 OUTLOOK DAY1 OUTLOOK TORNADO WATCH WARNINGS Save forecasts for tomorrow

3 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009 Relevance NOAA Mission Goal Weather and Water “Serve society’s needs for weather and water information” Objectives: Increase lead-time and accuracy for weather and water warnings and forecasts Increase development, application, and transition of advanced science and technology to operations and services

4 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009 Spotter Reports

5 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009

6

7

8 New ways to integrate, assess, disseminate

9 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009

Quality  Over 30 peer reviewed publications in last 5 years  Roberts, R. D., D. W. Burgess, M. Meister, 2006: Developing Tools for Nowcasting Storm Severity. Weather and Forecasting, 21,  Brown, R. A., R. M. Steadham, B. A. Flickinger, R. R. Lee, D. Sirmans, V. T. Wood, 2005: New WSR-88D volume coverage pattern 12: Results of field tests. Weather and Forecasting, 20,  Kelleher, K. E., K. K. Droegemeier, J. J. Levit, C. S. Sinclair, D. E. Jahn, S. D. Hill, L. Mueller, G. Qualley, T. D. Crum, S. D. Smith, S. A. Del Greco, S. Lakshmivarahan, L. Miller, M. Ramamurthy, B. Domenico, D. W. Fulker, 2007: Project CRAFT: A Real-Time Delivery System for NEXRAD Level II Data Via the Internet. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88,  DEPARMENT OF COMMERCE GOLD MEDAL, Vincent Wood and J. Purpura for instituting a program of disseminating NWS hazardous weather warnings to the Oklahoma deaf and hard-of hearing community through alphanumeric pagers (2004)  ~$1M in external funding from several sources spent during NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009 University/NCAROther NOAAPrivate SectorNSSL and CIMMS

11 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009 Performance: Tornado Lead Time Success Story ? DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE GOLD MEDAL, NSSL Unit Citation “for achieving scientific and technical breakthroughs leading to the continuous improvements in the national network of Doppler radars (WSR-88D)” (1995) NSSL contributions

It’s All About the People 12 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009

13 NSSL Laboratory Review February 17-19, 2009 Talks: Advanced Storm Visualization Techniques (Greg Stumpf) Nowcasting Applications (Travis Smith) Probabilistic Hazard Information (Kristin Kuhlman) Electronic Posters (tomorrow morning): Hail Verification and Analysis Research (Kiel Ortega) Circulation Detection and Analysis (Kim Elmore) Talks: Warn on Forecast and VORTEX2 (Louis Wicker – tomorrow morning) Hazardous Weather Warnings Session