1st Exam on 10/8 at 11am Covers G&P, chapters 1-5, plus class notes. For the exams, you must know both your section # and your student id #. There will be no make-up exams offered for sickness/medical reasons/personal reasons including a death in the family unless you are able to: 1) provide documentation and 2) give me advance notice that you will miss the exam on the scheduled date. Exam has 2 parts: 1) 20 multiple choice (MC) questions and 2) 1 essay question. MC questions come from G&P, especially end of chapter terms and from US foreign policy lecture (bureaucracies and leaders). All the possible essay questions will be posted on my website by Sunday night: http://spot.colorado.edu/~dabe1889/teaching.html For the essay question, you have only 1 side of an 8x11 page (no more!). You must write neatly and use paragraphs with topic sentences. No re-dos and no extra credit offered.

Outline for 9/26: Interstate Conflict and War Conflicts of Interest Extended focus on territorial conflict Conflicts of Ideas Clash of Civilizations Theories of War

2 Questions about International Conflict/War Why is there conflict between/among nation-states? Why do some of these conflicts lead to war, while others do not? Conflict War Conflict ≠ War Definition of Conflict – a difference in preferred outcomes in a bargaining situation Definition of War – the use of military force to resolve differences in preferred outcomes Examples of major conflict that did not lead to war?

1st Question: Why is there conflict between/among nation-states? Conflicts of Interest Governmental Economic Territorial Irredentism Secession Disputed borders

Arab Irredentist Claims on Israel http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/israel/maps-evolution.htm

Secession from Yugoslavia Bosnia Croatia Macedonia Montenegro Serbia 5a Kosovo 5b Vojvodina 6 Slovenia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yugoslavia

India-Pakistan Disputed Border in Kashmir http://warnewsupdates.blogspot.com/2010/06/violence-in-kashmir-on-upswing-again.html

China-Japan Conflict over Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands http://www.japanfocus.org/-gavan-mccormack/3464

Conflicts of Ideas Ethnic Religious Ideological

Samuel Huntington’s Clash of Civilizations (1993) Major Civilizations: Western (red) Latin American (green) African (blue) Islamic (yellow) Hindu (lime) Orthodox (brown) Sinic (pink) Japanese (tan)

2nd Question: Why do some of these conflicts lead to war, while others do not? Theories of war – must explain both war and peace must also explain multiple wars (not just a single war) Dependent variable is war and peace Could be many independent variables at different levels of analysis Individual level Leaders are sometimes irrational (miscalculate costs and benefits) or risk-acceptant

Domestic level 1) Institutional explanation for the democratic peace 2) Diversionary war hypothesis

Interstate level 1) Normative explanation for the democratic peace 2) Incomplete information about relative military capabilities and resolve

Global level Shifts in the offense/defense advantage Mobility technology favors the offense Does this make war more or less likely? Firepower technology favors the defense