Meteorologisk institutt met.no Bosnia and Herzegovina METEO B&H Federal Hydrometeorological Institute Sarajevo www.fhmzbih.gov.ba Željko Majstorovicwww.fhmzbih.gov.ba.

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Presentation transcript:

Meteorologisk institutt met.no Bosnia and Herzegovina METEO B&H Federal Hydrometeorological Institute Sarajevo Željko Majstorovicwww.fhmzbih.gov.ba

Meteorologisk institutt met.no Seasonal Forecast Federal Hydrometeorological Institute B&H make monthly and sesonal forecast by statistical method. Seasonal forecast is given only in verbal form for ex.: - Winter 2009/2010 will be warmer than multi-year average. Precipitation sum will be will be greater than the multi-year average. Veather vill be very variability with distinct cold and warm periods. Per month: January...etc. This method proved to be quite reliable for Sarajevo region, but...

Meteorologisk institutt met.no Seasonal Forecast Forecast is still not provided in the form of maps because we have problem: Besides MS Sarajevo, all other meteorological stations have more or less interruptions during the wars of the twentieth century -this precludes complete statistical analysis – we do not have enough points reliable for map. Therefore, we the last few years – we strive to consult with other models. Of course, forecast for winter 2009/2010 (accuracy of about 90 %) we worked in consultation CPT model – after the meeting SEECOF in Budapest last year.

Meteorologisk institutt met.no Winter 2009/2010 – analysis- FBiH Temperature Mean air temperature during winter 2009/2010 ranged from -6,7 oC on Bjelasnica to 6,4 oC Mostaru. Temperature anomalies in relation of were positive at all meteorological stations except Bjelasnica ( -0,3 oC on Bjelasnica to 1,7 oC in Zenica)

Meteorologisk institutt met.no Winter 2009/2010 – analysis- FBiH Precipitation Total sum of precipitation for winter ranged from 232,1/m2 in Jajce to 948,3 l/m2 in Mostar. Anomalies in relation of ranged from 114,7 % in Jajce to 331,3 % in Ivan Sedlo. Total sum of precipitation are the greatest since the last official measurement in B&H, except in the central and northern parts of B & H, where in just one seaso(1969/1970), registered a larger amount of precipitation !

Meteorologisk institutt met.no Weather variability Veather was very variability with distinct cold and warm periods.

Meteorologisk institutt met.no THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION