The Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Presented by Jamie Kibler Operational Meteorologist/User Services Lead June 7, 2010 Soufriere Hills Volcano.

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Presentation transcript:

The Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Presented by Jamie Kibler Operational Meteorologist/User Services Lead June 7, 2010 Soufriere Hills Volcano February 10, 2010 Eruption

Washington VAAC Volcano Program History The volcanic ash monitoring program at the Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB) became official in 1987 although volcano monitoring began in the 1970s for the entire world. The volcanic ash monitoring program at the Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB) became official in 1987 although volcano monitoring began in the 1970s for the entire world. The Washington VAAC was established in The United States, in agreement with the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), has designated the National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Services (NESDIS), Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB), and the National Weather Service (NWS) National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) as the regional Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC). The Washington VAAC was established in The United States, in agreement with the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), has designated the National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Services (NESDIS), Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB), and the National Weather Service (NWS) National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) as the regional Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC). Washington VAAC began using the NCEP – Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (N-AWIPS) in 2003 for the issuance of Volcanic Ash Advisories (VAAs) and Volcanic Ash Graphics (VAGs). Washington VAAC began using the NCEP – Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (N-AWIPS) in 2003 for the issuance of Volcanic Ash Advisories (VAAs) and Volcanic Ash Graphics (VAGs).

Washington VAAC Volcano Program Washington VAAC area of responsibility includes the continental US, southward through Central America, the Caribbean, to 10S in South America and the US controlled oceanic Flight Information Region (FIR). Washington VAAC area of responsibility includes the continental US, southward through Central America, the Caribbean, to 10S in South America and the US controlled oceanic Flight Information Region (FIR). Washington is 1 of 9 VAACs that cover the globe. Other VAAC’s include Anchorage, Buenos Aires, Darwin, London, Montreal, Tokyo, Toulouse and the Wellington. Washington is 1 of 9 VAACs that cover the globe. Other VAAC’s include Anchorage, Buenos Aires, Darwin, London, Montreal, Tokyo, Toulouse and the Wellington. Monitoring volcano’s 24 hours a day 365 days a year Monitoring volcano’s 24 hours a day 365 days a year

Washington VAAC Volcano Products Volcanic Ash Advisory (VAA) which contains satellite information, reports of volcanic ash and a possible ash forecast. Volcanic Ash Advisory (VAA) which contains satellite information, reports of volcanic ash and a possible ash forecast. Volcanic Ash Graphic (VAG) – A graphic depiction of ash over an 18 hour period showing extent, movement and size. Graphic is only provided when ash is seen in satellite imagery. Volcanic Ash Graphic (VAG) – A graphic depiction of ash over an 18 hour period showing extent, movement and size. Graphic is only provided when ash is seen in satellite imagery. hour period. Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model: We provide volcanic ash parameters and data for the HYSPLIT model showing ash dispersion over a 48 hour period. HYSPLIT runs are usually needed with multiple plumes, high ash heights or ash expected to last beyond +06 hours.

Wellington Darwin Tokyo Washington Montreal London Anchorage Buenos Aires Toulouse VAAC Boundaries

Washington VAAC Airlines Cable TV Phone News reports , variety of Internet sites SIGMETs, MWOs GTS, FOS, phone, FAA AFTN PIREPs Weather Observations GTS, FOS AFTN=Aeronautical Fixed Telecommunications Network ATC=Air Traffic Control other VAACs Phone GTS, Phone to GTS, FOS Phone, fax FOS=Family of Services GTS=Global Telecommunication System USGS=U.S. Geological Survey Abbreviations: Volcanologists (Observatories, USGS, Smithsonian) Incoming Information Used (non-satellite) Volcano cameras Infrasound data Numerical Weather & Dispersion Models

Washington VAAC ACCs, FAA Pacific NW WFOs MWOs other VAACs VAAC = Volcanic Ash Advisory Center MWO = Meteorological Watch Office WFO = Weather Forecast Office AWC = Aviation Weather Center FAA = Federal Aviation Administration Other U.S. government agencies including AWC, DoD (AFWA), FEMA DoD = Department of Defense AFWA = Air Force Weather Agency FEMA = Federal Emergency Management Agency ACC = Area Control Center Abbreviations: Airlines, Aviation community Washington VAAC Customers

Volcanic Ash Advisory FVXX21 KNES FVXX21 KNES VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED: /1614Z VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED: /1614Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS LOCATION: N1642 W06210 AREA: W_INDIES LOCATION: N1642 W06210 AREA: W_INDIES SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M) SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M) ADVISORY NUMBER: 2007/091 ADVISORY NUMBER: 2007/091 INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. GFS WINDS. RADIOSONDE. MONTSERRAT OBSERVATORY. PILOT REPORT. INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. GFS WINDS. RADIOSONDE. MONTSERRAT OBSERVATORY. PILOT REPORT. ERUPTION DETAILS: REPORTED ASH AT 31/1540Z ERUPTION DETAILS: REPORTED ASH AT 31/1540Z OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 31/1545Z OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL060 N1701 W N1643 W N1653 W N1700 W N1701 W06247 MOVING W KNOTS. OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 31/1545Z OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL060 N1701 W N1643 W N1653 W N1700 W N1701 W06247 MOVING W KNOTS. FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 31/2200Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 W N1642 W FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 31/2200Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 W N1642 W FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 01/0400Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 W N1642 W FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 01/0400Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 W N1642 W FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 01/1000Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1641 W N1643 W FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 01/1000Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1641 W N1643 W REMARKS: AIRCRAFT REPORT OF ASH FROM FL MVO REPORTS LOW ACTIVITY OVER PAST 24 HOURS. A THIN PLUME CAN BE SEEN EXTENDING 50 NMI MOVING TO THE WNW AT KTS. CONTENTS OF PLUME MAY CONTAIN ASH. NO HOTSPOT CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR....SPAMPATA REMARKS: AIRCRAFT REPORT OF ASH FROM FL MVO REPORTS LOW ACTIVITY OVER PAST 24 HOURS. A THIN PLUME CAN BE SEEN EXTENDING 50 NMI MOVING TO THE WNW AT KTS. CONTENTS OF PLUME MAY CONTAIN ASH. NO HOTSPOT CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR....SPAMPATA NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY /2215Z NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY /2215Z

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