AROME/ALADIN: M-F’s view of various links between the projects a multi-face problem: from ‘spirit’ to ‘phasing-merging’ new challenges for science, on.

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Presentation transcript:

AROME/ALADIN: M-F’s view of various links between the projects a multi-face problem: from ‘spirit’ to ‘phasing-merging’ new challenges for science, on a wide front technical requirements for the NWP project the human aspect: generations inside the ALADIN project the technical transition from ALADIN to AROME a ‘win-win’ deal => separation between common aims and specific means

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions The challenge: keep the spirit, … Paradox: the basic choices for AROME are a tribute to the ALADIN collaboration, but in future the aims of the two sides of the partnership will remain different: code convergence will be slow (but steady) while the meteorological and computational goals will only converge on the timescale of a decade or so. A brutal trial to enforce scientific or computational convergence can only be counterproductive on both sides: good/expensive versus bad/cheap dilemmas … In the ALADIN spirit, the common scientific goals (to M.-F. and to Partners) and the need for a common computational software (for reasons of manpower) have lead up to now to the strong constraint of a tight and systematic phasing with the ARPEGE/IFS backbone, assured equally by M.-F. and the Partners.

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions The challenge: … but for ‘something completely different’ The « phasing constraint » has produced the (partially) illusionary impression that the scientific innovation must be heavily bound to the ARPEGE/IFS compatibility. To allow for a continuation of the proposed collaboration in the frame of AROME, the « phasing constraint » implication must be relaxed and a new scientific and technical cooperation must be invented (scientific because of the 2.5 versus 10 km divergences and technical because of computational resources, at least). With the necessary end of the constraint comes however the risk of too dispersed interests

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions Scientific challenges: a new science Compared to the ALADIN « way of thinking », AROME applications call for a renewed scientific (and mental) approach ( for progress elsewhere without slowing down AROME-2.5km ): –For many fields, the logic for Aladinists should be: how can I upscale a development or an idea from the 2.5 km scale to the 10 km scale ? Can I generalize my problem to any scale from 2.5 to 10 km ? –Innovation is more than ever demanded ! –Specific field: the physics « grey zone »

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions Technical requirements The amount and variety of technical skills has increased steadily in ALADIN, since the beginning of the project: –Forecast hydrostatic and NHS, TL & AD models –Initialisation, changes of geometry (Full-Pos) –Optimal analyses: CANARI, 3d-var –Data: databases, pre-processing, quality control The bet of a high-standard system with limited manpower only works thanks to the very specific exercise of « phasing with ARPEGE/IFS » Any NWP system must undergo regular code refreshments AROME should not be less demanding in technical skill and manpower than ALADIN is. For instance, an ALADIN phasing requires: 9 to 12 person.months + Météo-France local support (about 3 to 6 person.months)

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions Generations in the ALADIN project The « pioneers »: those who developed the original ALADIN code starting by learning ARPEGE (91-95) – scientific recognition and detailed technical knowledge The « settlers »: those who installed or helped installing local ALADIN versions, participated in new challenges (D.A., NHS) and to regular phasing – more specialized scientific knowledge and approximate technical skills (96-00) The « natives »: those who learned ALADIN at home, making less travels to Toulouse, got more remote supervision ( s) or advices. They participated partially in the new NHS or blending / 3d-Var work (01-).

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions Next generation ? The necessity to form and train a fourth generation around the anticipated AROME/ALADIN connections is striking (the « born-again » ?). However, different ways to create this next generation are possible (and can be used in parallel): –Re-train the Aladinists to Arome according to possibilities and willingness (the « recycling » approach) –Organise a drastic participation of Aladinists to the first steps of Arome, so that they need to learn the new system from scratch (and hopefully repeat under new conditions the « pioneer » approach)

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions The transition from ALADIN to AROME In Toulouse, the software for AROME will first converge softly to ALADIN (and vice versa) At the time when AROME applications will be mature, there will be a sudden change from ALADIN to AROME at Météo-France ALADIN partners who will join the AROME project must then also switch to AROME without delay (~3 months): –They must have installed the last ALADIN cycle long enough in advance (~3 months) to avoid a too drastic shock in their NWP system (better to be prepared on a yearly time-scale) –They need at home the required experience and skill on the new system (idem)

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions The path to a new ‘win-win’ target The ‘initial’ ARPEGE/ALADIN project was (and still is) successful because relying on a scientifico-political opportunity and on a transversal need More alike IFS/ARPEGE, the proposed convergence of ALADIN & AROME builds on a long term challenge and on complementarity of various paths to reach it Preserving the mutually beneficial spirit thus does not mean enforcing an impossible uniformity but keeping a community of efforts around (temporarily) diverging implementation strategies => need for new cooperative ‘tools and forces’, with guarantees on each side Obvious link with a somewhat more networked approach

Prague, 11-12th April, 2003Arome/Aladin discussions Conclusion One aim of the Prague discussions : will there be an « Arome Limited Area Decentralised International Network » ?