Changing Political Tide Unit 1: History or Memory Lesson 1 Part II Big Idea: Reagan’s rise to the Presidency reflected popularity of conservative beliefs among many Americans.

Objectives:  Distinguish between liberal and conservative viewpoints.  Explain how groups w/conservative economic, social, and religious views were able to take over national politics in the 1980s.  Determine if Clinton’s election in 1992 really was a liberal backlash or moderate victory.  Examine how the political process failed in 2000.

Warm Up and Review  Why was the Conservative Coalition able to win support n the late 70’s?  What was their goal?

Who to Sell?  Had the means, but who could represent/ appeal to the varied people?  Why Reagan?

Campaign Promises  Lower taxes  Increase defense spending  Reduce budget deficit  Restore values

1980 Election Reagan (R) defeats Carter (D):

1984 Election Reagan (R) defeats Mondale (D):

1988 Election Bush (R) Defeats Dukakis (D):

1992 Election Bush (R) Clinton (D) Perot (I) Bush (R) Clinton (D) Perot (I) 168 EV 370 EV 0 EV 168 EV 370 EV 0 EV 37% 43% 19% 37% 43% 19%

Evaluate  Why was Clinton able to end this reign of conservative rule in 1992?

1996 Election Clinton (D) defeats Dole (R):

Major Candidates 2000 Election  Dem Al Gore Joseph Lieberman  Rep George Bush Dick Cheney  Reform Pat Buchanan  Green Ralph Nader

What Went Wrong?

Election Night Issues  Projections 246 Bush Gore 270 needed, 3 states too close…  Florida Gov Jeb Bush, Sec of State Katherine Harris Peninsula v Panhandle Recount

Florida Irregularities  Balloting Punch Cards Chads Butterfly Ballots Palm Beach Buchanan  Voter Rolls Purging Felons Voter “Black Out” Absentee votes

Butterfly Ballot

Bush v Gore  12/12/2000  7-2 End recount Violated equal protection clause  5-4 No new count Not precedent, but present

2000 Election Results  Popular Vote Tied 48% (Gore +544K)  Electoral Vote  4-6 million votes “lost” (6% error rate)  Election Reform Help America Vote Act

Think-Pair-Share  In your evaluation, did our Democratic process fail?

2004 Election Bush (R) defeats Kerry (D):

2008 Election  1 st time since 1928 no sitting P or VP running!  58% age following races (35% in 2004)  Open and competitive primaries  “Rock-star” candidates  Diverse demographics  Compressed primary schedule  Dissatisfaction w/ current administration  Is extra long campaign good for Amer Democracy?

2008 Election Obama (D) def McCain (R):

HW  Define key economic terms  Highlight goals, actions, and outcomes of the following economic plans: Reaganomics Bush’s No New Taxes Clinton’s Fiscal Discipline GW Bush