1By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul CHAPTER_NO : 04 INDEX NUMBERS.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
These allow us to reduce complicated statistical changes down to one single number. Example: CPI Takes prices for a large bundle of goods and calculates.
Advertisements

Second Part Macroeconomics Lecture 7 Macroeconomic Aggregates
The Hungarian experience in implementing European Regulation about seasonal products 26 May 2014, Geneva Workshop: Treatment of seasonal products Borbála.
1 1 Slide © 2008 Thomson South-Western. All Rights Reserved Chapter 17 Index Numbers n Price Relatives n Aggregate Price Indexes n Computing an Aggregate.
UNECE Workshop on Consumer Price Indices Session 1: The Concept, Scope and Coverage of the CPI Presentation by Cengiz Erdoğan, TurkStat October Istanbul,
United Nations Statistics Division Two main approaches to calculate the IIP.
Measuring Macroeconomic Variables
Chapter 2: A Tour of the BookBlanchard: Macroeconomics Slide #1 Chapter Topics Aggregate Output The Other Major Macroeconomic Variables.
Introduction The macroeconomic approach National accounting.
Sébastien FAIVRE INSEE Workshop on scanner data, Stockholm, /06/2012 Would scanner data improve the French CPI?
1 Price index of pharmaceutical products, other medical products and appliances in the HICP/CPI Pia Skare Rønnevik.
Measuring Macroeconomics. Aggregate Output National income accounts An accounting system used to measure aggregate economic activity. The typical measure.
CHAPTER 18 Models for Time Series and Forecasting
Value Added Tax (VAT). Definition of VAT - One of the indirect taxes, which are easily receivable, and achieve high productivity, and do not cause reactions.
Constructing the Welfare Aggregate Part 2: Adjusting for Differences Across Individuals Bosnia and Herzegovina Poverty Analysis Workshop September 17-21,
Economic Indexes Indexes in statistics Indexes are indicators of size comparison of any socio-economic process. Index number measures how much a variable.
The marketing concept THE CUSTOMER PROMOTION Market analysis
Index Numbers Chapter 17.
Index Numbers. Fro measuring changes in a variable or a group of related variables with respect to time, geographical location, or other characteristics.
Index Numbers Chapter 15 McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Slide 1 © 2002 McGraw-Hill Australia, PPTs t/a Introductory Mathematics & Statistics for Business 4e by John S. Croucher 1 Index numbers n Learning Objectives.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Numbers in the Real World.
Nobel Prize - Economics Three Amigos Eugene Fama - U. Chicago Lars Peter Hansen - U. Chicago Robert Shiller - Yale Financial Economics American.
Statistics for Business and Economics Chapter 13 Time Series: Descriptive Analyses, Models, & Forecasting Lyn Noble Revisions by Peter Jurkat.
Forecasting supply chain requirements
CHAPTER 17: Index Numbers to accompany Introduction to Business Statistics third edition, by Ronald M. Weiers Presentation by Priscilla Chaffe-Stengel.
Composite Price Index  Unweighted Aggregative method  Unweighted Average of Relatives method  Weighted Aggregative Method  Paasche Index  Laspeyres.
Chapter 17 Time Series Analysis and Forecasting ©.
1 1 Slide Slides Prepared by JOHN S. LOUCKS St. Edward’s University © 2002 South-Western/Thomson Learning 
18- 1 Chapter Eighteen McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Chapter 6 Index numbers. Index Numbers Index numbers allow relative comparisons over time It measures the percentage change in the value of some economic.
INDEX NUMBERS Definition of Index Number l A summary measure that states a relative comparison between groups of related items l Price Relative or Percentage.
Ka-fu Wong © 2003 Chap Dr. Ka-fu Wong ECON1003 Analysis of Economic Data.
Workshop on Price Index Compilation Issues February 23-27, 2015 Market Basket Items and Weights Gefinor Rotana Hotel, Beirut, Lebanon.
Time series Decomposition Farideh Dehkordi-Vakil.
Consumer Price Index (CPI). CPI Measure of the average rate of price change for a fixed group of goods and services bought by Canadian consumers. Measures.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Index Numbers Chapter 15.
Chapter 13, Section 2 Price Indexes. Constructing a Price Index Used to measure changes in P. over time Created by selecting a base year and a representative.
Index numbers Value-, price-, quantity indices. Measuring changes in time Indices: relative change in price, quantity and value of products or services.
Ecological Economics Lecture 10 20th May 2010 Tiago Domingos Assistant Professor Environment and Energy Section Department of Mechanical Engineering Collaboration:
 Definition  Unweighted and Weighted Index Numbers ( Simple Index Numbers, Laspeyre’s, Paasche’s Index, Fisher’s “Ideal” Index)  CPI ( Consumer Price.
UNIT - 3 DEMAND FORECASTING. MEANING Demand forecasting refers to an estimation of most likely future demand for a product under given conditions.
Constructing the Welfare Aggregate Part 2: Adjusting for Differences Across Individuals Salman Zaidi Washington DC, January 19th,
Index Numbers Chapter 15 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Sampling Design and Analysis MTH 494 Lecture-21 Ossam Chohan Assistant Professor CIIT Abbottabad.
INDEX NUMBERS An index number measures the relative change in price, quantity, value, or some other items of interest from one time period to another.
€£$¥ Understanding Economics, © Richard Delaney, 2008, Edco CPI and Inflation The Consumer Price Index and Measurement of Inflation.
Microeconomics and Macroeconomics FCS 3450 Spring 2015 Unit 2.
Copyright © 2004 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Sales Forecasting Sunday 17th, 2016.
Economics 173 Business Statistics Lecture 28 © Fall 2001, Professor J. Petry
INDEX NUMBERS. Index Number 2  An index number is a statistical measure designed to show changes in variables or a group of related variables with respect.
 Most common weighted price index used to calculate inflation.  The CPI is calculated four times per year (quarterly) and results from household surveys.
©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 2008McGraw-Hill/Irwin Index Numbers.
Measuring Macroeconomic Variables Marek Szczepański.
Lecture 3:Elasticities. 2 This lecture covers: Why elasticities are useful Estimating elasticities Arc formula Deriving elasticities from demand functions.
Index Numbers By Rahul Jain (FCS, MBA). 2 GOALS Describe the term index. Understand the difference between a weighted and an unweighted index. Construct.
Definition According to Morris Hamburg defined, an index number is nothing more than a relative number, which expresses are relationship between two.
ECON 201 Indices Week
Value-, price-, quantity indices
Index Numbers Chapter 15.
Indexes and Standardization
Index Numbers Chapter 15.
Inflation and The Consumer Price Index
Index Numbers Chapter 15.
Index Numbers Chapter 15.
Index Numbers Chapter 15.
INFLATION IN INDIA.
INDEX NUMBERS.
CTC 475 Review Replacement Analysis Insider View
Presentation transcript:

1By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul CHAPTER_NO : 04 INDEX NUMBERS

Index Numbers Def: ”Index numbers are statistical measures designed to show changes in a variable or group of related variables with respect to time, geographic location or other characteristics such as income, profession, etc.” A collection of index numbers for different years, locations, etc., is sometimes called an index series. 2By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

Kinds of Index Numbers Simple Index Number: A simple index number is a number that measures a relative change in a single variable with respect to a base. Composite Index Number: A composite index number is a number that measures an average relative changes in a group of relative variables with respect to a base. 3By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

Types of Index Numbers: Following types of index numbers are usually used: Price index Numbers: Price index numbers measure the relative changes in prices of a commodities between two periods. Prices can be either retail or wholesale. Quantity Index Numbers: These index numbers are considered to measure changes in the physical quantity of goods produced, consumed or sold of an item or a group of items. 4By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

Construction of Price Index Numbers The following steps are considered for the construction of price index numbers: 1.Object 2.Selection of Commodities 3.Collection of Price Data 4.Selection of Base Period 5By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

1.) Object The first and the most important step in the construction of index numbers is to decide the object for making the index numbers of prices. The prices may be retail or whole-sale. 1)The index numbers of retail prices are called the consumer price index (CPI) numbers and 2)if the whole-sale prices are taken into consideration, the index numbers are called the whole-sale price index numbers. 6By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

7

2.) Selection of Commodities The second in the construction of index numbers is the Selection of Commodities. A list of important commodities is prepared. Those commodities are taken into account which is commonly consumed by the consumers. There is no hard and fast rule about the number of commodities (20 commodities is a small number and 50 commodities is a reasonable number). Sometimes the index numbers of very important commodities like wheat, rice, oil, ghee etc. are calculated. The second in the construction of index numbers is the Selection of Commodities. A list of important commodities is prepared. Those commodities are taken into account which is commonly consumed by the consumers. There is no hard and fast rule about the number of commodities (20 commodities is a small number and 50 commodities is a reasonable number). Sometimes the index numbers of very important commodities like wheat, rice, oil, ghee etc. are calculated. 8By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

3.) Collection of Price Data The most important and difficult step is the collection of prices. The prices are to be taken from the field. For retail price index numbers, retail prices are needed. The prices change from place to place and from time to time. The prices are taken on daily basis and then weekly and monthly averages are calculated. Finally quarterly or yearly averages are calculated. 9By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

4.) Selection of Base Period The prices of the commodities in the current period are to be compared with the prices of some period in the past. This period in the past is called the base period or the reference period. This period should not be in the remote past. The period which is economically stable and is free of disturbances and strikes is taken as the base period. 10By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

Methods for finding Index Numbers Different methods are used for to find the index numbers. Following four methods are used mostly… 1)Fixed Base Method 2)Chain Base Method 3)Un-weighted Index Numbers 4)Weighted Index Numbers 11By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

1.) Fixed Base Method In fixed base method, a particular year is generally chosen randomly and the prices of the subsequent years are expressed as relatives of the prices of the base year. Sometimes instead of choosing a single year as the base, a period of a few years is chosen and the average price of this period is taken as the base year’s price. The fixed base method is used by the Government in the calculation of national index numbers. 12By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul

In Fixed Base 13By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul Price relative for current year or

Fixed Base Example: Find index numbers for the following data taking 1980 as base year. By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul14 Years Price

` By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul15

2.) Chain Base Method In this method, there is no fixed base period. The year immediately preceding the one for which price index have to be calculated is assumed as the base year. Thus, for the year1994 the base year would be 1993, for 1993 it would be 1992 for 1992 it would be 1991 and so on. By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul16

2.) Chain Base Method By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul17

2.) Chain Base Method By ILTAF MEHDI, IT Lecturer, MIHE, Kabul18

19 Solution: