JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 1 TF HTAP, Washington DC, 29.01.2006 JRC Brussels1 ACCENT-PhotoCom

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Emissions in GEMS Data on emissions are needed for the 4 sub-systems GHG, GRG, AER and RAQ GEMS Project has dedicated tasks for emissions and surface fluxes.
Advertisements

N emissions and the changing landscape of air quality Rob Pinder US EPA Office of Research and Development Atmospheric Modeling & Analysis Division.
Michael Gauss, UiODe Bilt, 8-9 November 2005Quantify A3 workshop WP Future chemical composition changes from different modes of transport Set-up.
Science questions How will source-receptor relations change due to expected changes in emissions? How should future emission scenarios be constructed?
Reverberating Beyond the Region in Addressing Air Pollution in North- East Asia Sangmin NAM and Heejoo LEE UNESCAP Subregional Office for East and North-East.
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Review June 30 - July 2, 2009.
PREV ’AIR : An operational system for large scale air quality monitoring and forecasting over Europe
Title EMEP Unified model Importance of observations for model evaluation Svetlana Tsyro MSC-W / EMEP TFMM workshop, Lillestrøm, 19 October 2010.
Christian Seigneur AER San Ramon, CA
1 Non-linear effects in modelling PM 10 and PM 2,5 contributions from anthropogenic sources Clemens Mensink, Felix Deutsch, Jean Vankerkom and Liliane.
RAINS review 2004 The RAINS model: Health impacts of PM.
Atmospheric modelling activities inside the Danish AMAP program Jesper H. Christensen NERI-ATMI, Frederiksborgvej Roskilde.
REFERENCES Maria Val Martin 1 C. L. Heald 1, J.-F. Lamarque 2, S. Tilmes 2 and L. Emmons 2 1 Colorado State University 2 NCAR.
TNO experience M. Schaap, R. Timmermans, H. Denier van der Gon, H. Eskes, D. Swart, P. Builtjes On the estimation of emissions from earth observation data.
PREV ’AIR : An operational system for air quality monitoring and forecasting Laurence ROUÏL.
The robustness of the source receptor relationships used in GAINS Hilde Fagerli, EMEP/MSC-W EMEP/MSC-W.
Effects of Siberian forest fires on regional air quality and meteorology in May 2003 Rokjin J. Park with Daeok Youn, Jaein Jeong, Byung-Kwon Moon Seoul.
Developments in EMEP monitoring strategy and recommendations from AirMonTech Kjetil Tørseth, NILU/EMEP-CCC.
LINKAGES AND SYNERGIES OF REGIONAL AND GLOBAL EMISSION CONTROL Workshop of the UN/ECE Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling January 27-29, 2003.
1 1 Model studies of some atmospheric aerosols and comparisons with measurements K. G e o r g i e v I P P – B A S, S o f i a, B u l g a r i a.
INTERCONTINENTAL TRANSPORT OF AIR POLLUTION WITH GMI AND PLANS FOR THE NEW HEMISPHERIC TRANSPORT OF AIR POLLUTANTS (HTAP) MODEL INTERCOMPARISON STUDY ROKJIN.
Xuexi Tie Xu Tang,Fuhai Geng, and Chunsheng Zhao Shanghai Meteorological Bureau Atmospheric Chemistry Division/NCAR Peking University Understand.
Page 1GMES - ENSEMBLES 2008 ENSEMBLES. Page 2GMES - ENSEMBLES 2008 The ENSEMBLES Project  Began 4 years ago, will end in December 2009  Supported by.
AERONET in the context of aerosol remote sensing from space and aerosol global modeling Stefan Kinne MPI-Meteorology, Hamburg Germany.
TFMM & TFEIP Workshop, Dublin, 2007 Uncertainties of heavy metal pollution assessment Oleg Travnikov EMEP/MSC-E.
Aerosol Microphysics: Plans for GEOS-CHEM
Title Progress in the development and results of the UNIFIED EMEP model Presented by Leonor Tarrason EMEP/MSC-W 29 th TFIAM meeting, Amiens, France,
Modelled results vs. emission estimates S.Dutchak, I.Ilyin, O.Travnikov, O.Rozovskaya, M.Varygina EMEP/MSC-East Modelled results vs. emission estimates.
Contribution from Natural Sources of Aerosol Particles to PM in Canada Sunling Gong Scientific Team: Tianliang Zhao, David Lavoue, Richard Leaitch,
O. Russell Bullock, Jr. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Atmospheric Sciences Modeling Division (in partnership with the U.S. Environmental.
The Euro- and City-Delta model intercomparison exercises P. Thunis, K. Cuvelier Joint Research Centre, Ispra.
Dentener JRC Ispra TEMIS Frank Dentener, Arlene Fiore, Michael Schulz, Martin Schultz, Oliver Wild, HTAP modellers + observations.
Nicola Pirrone GMOS Project Coordinator & Director CNR - Institute of Atmospheric Pollution Research Rome, Italy Global Mercury Observation System - GMOS.
Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications: Introduction to NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective-analysis for Research and Applications:
Report available from Workshop held in Washington, DC, April 27-29, 2005 Daniel J. Jacob (chair),
Work Group Meeting on IT Techniques, Tools and Philosophies for Model Intercomparison Ispra, JRC, March 14, 2004 Data handling approaches, software tools,
A real-time forecast system for air pollution concentrations - Contribution to subproject GLOREAM - GLO-6 Hermann J. Jakobs, Elmar Friese, Michael Memmesheimer,
TEMIS user workshop, Frascati, 8-9 October 2007 TEMIS – VITO activities Felix Deutsch Koen De Ridder Jean Vankerkom VITO – Flemish Institute for Technological.
OVERVIEW OF ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES: Daniel J. Jacob Ozone and particulate matter (PM) with a global change perspective.
11 September 2015 On the role of measurements and modelling in Dutch air quality policies Guus Velders The Netherlands (RIVM)
AeroCom organisation Core team : Christiane Textor, Sarah Guibert, Stefan Kinne, Joyce Penner, Michael Schulz, Frank Dentener (LSCE-MPIM-JRC-UMI) Initial.
TF HTAP, TF IAM, Vienna, February HTAP-GAINS scenario analysis: preliminary exploration of emission scenarios with regard to the benefits of global.
Eskes, TROPOMI workshop, Mar 2008 Air Quality Forecasting in Europe Henk Eskes European ensemble forecasts: GEMS and PROMOTE Air Quality forecasts for.
HYMN Hydrogen, Methane and Nitrous oxide: Trend variability, budgets and interactions with the biosphere GOCE-CT Status of TM model Michiel.
04/12/011 The contribution of Earth degassing to the atmospheric sulfur budget By Hans-F. Graf, Baerbel Langmann, Johann Feichter From Chemical Geology.
Georgia Institute of Technology SUPPORTING INTEX THROUGH INTEGRATED ANALYSIS OF SATELLITE AND SUB-ORBITAL MEASUREMENTS WITH GLOBAL AND REGIONAL 3-D MODELS:
1 Dentener, IGAC, Guangzhou, China, October 2004, PRD Campaign Emissions and transport of aerosol and ozone in South Asia and China: the GAINS-Asia.
Air Quality trend analyses under EMEP/TFMM and link to EEA work Augustin COLETTE (INERIS), Chair of the TFMM/CLRTAP TFMM National Experts, CCC, MSC-E,
Hemispheric transport – Why is EMEP interested? Peringe Grennfelt, Jurgen Schneider.
Breakout Session 1 Air Quality Jack Fishman, Randy Kawa August 18.
JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 1 Dentener, Royal Society, December, Global Modelling of Atmospheric Reactive reduced Nitrogen Frank Dentener JRC-
Markus Amann International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Cost-effectiveness Analysis in CAFE and the Need for Information about Urban Air Quality.
Air pollutants, such as aerosols and various trace gases, are transported on a hemispheric or global scale. The Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of.
EMEP WGSR, EMEP Progress on HMs, 2006  Review and evaluation of the MSCE-HM model (TFMM)  Atmospheric pollution in 2004 (emissions, monitoring.
BACKGROUND AEROSOL IN THE UNITED STATES: NATURAL SOURCES AND TRANSBOUNDARY POLLUTION Daniel J. Jacob and Rokjin J. Park with support from EPRI, EPA/OAQPS.
TF HTAP Workshop, Potsdam, 2016 GMOS: Multi-model assessment of mercury pollution and processes Environment Canada Oleg Travnikov, Johannes Bieser, Ashu.
Atmospheric modelling of the Laki eruption
Preliminary Ozone Results from the TF HTAP Model Intercomparison
10th TFMM meeting, June, 2009, France, Paris
CMAQ model as a tool for generating input data for HM and POP modeling
Status of development of the MSC-E Hemispheric/global model
Uncertainties of heavy metal pollution assessment
The EuroDelta inter-comparison, Phase I Variability of model responses
Summary: TFMM trends analysis
Co-operation with TF on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution
Oleg Travnikov EMEP/MSC-E
Ilyin I., Travnikov O., Varygina M.
The chemistry-transport model CHIMERE (IPSL/LMD)‏
Atmospheric modelling of HMs Sensitivity study
Presentation transcript:

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 1 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels1 ACCENT-PhotoCom Aim: CTMs and CCMs calculation of atmospheric chemistry changes 2000 and In support IPCC AR4 report. Synergy air quality and climate gas emission reduction. Focus on human health and vegetation exposure Simulations: 1. year 2000; Current Legislation Maximum Feasible Reduction SRES A Current Legislation in a changed climate. Emissions: Global annual anthropogenic emission/scenarios IIASA, JRC, SRES, and RIVM on a 1°x1° grid. Fire emissions on monthly basis. NetCDF. Recommendations for natural emissions. Meteorology: ECMWF, NCEP, GEOS-DAO, several GCMs Participation: 25 models; 15 model families. Output : Model information (grid spacing, vertical information, surface pressure, surface area). Hourly ozone. Daily (10:30) NO2, CH2O and O3 vertical columns. Monthly deposition NOy, HNO3, NO3p, SO2, SO4, NH3, NH4, O3. Monthly mean O3, CO, CH4, NO, NO2, OH. CH4+OH destruction. 3D O3 chemical production and destruction. O3 flux through chemical tropopause.

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 2 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels2 2.1 ACCENT-PhotoComp (II) Analysis: Output requested as NetCDF; NCO; Matlab, IDL. Data storage on SRB server, ca. 1 Tb. 5 analysis groups; Estimated analysis time 4 persons half a year. Main results: Estimates of changes in surface and free tropospheric ozone, air quality indices, model variability, some process understanding. Remarks: Despite stringent specification of output; still rather heterogeneous submissions. Several iterations were necessary. Publications: Stevenson et al. [2005] ; 4 manuscripts submitted

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 3 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels3 Some IT Aspects: Used SRB server The SDSC Storage Resource Broker (SRB) is client-server middleware that provides a uniform interface for connecting to heterogeneous data resources over a network and accessing replicated data sets. In practice we used UNIX based access; there was not a good way for common access to all data from ‘other users’ Data were processed by ‘authors’; using own software. e.g. IDL regridding tools from Martin Schultz (not entirely bug-free). i.e. regridding: oldgrid = Obj_New('MGS_RGrid', gridname='GEOS') newgrid = Obj_New('MGS_RGrid', gridname='1x1a')

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 4 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels4 2. Eurodelta Aim: European scale regional atmospheric dispersion models. Chemical nonlinearities in response to emission changes (i.e. SR relationships). Evaluation of the performance of different regional models against set of observations Quantify their performance in terms of agreed quality criteria. Policy relevant input to the RAINS model and the Clean Air for Europe. Simulations: 26 simulations using 2 meteorological years 1999 and Scenarios for 2020 considered current legislation. Component reductions of anthropogenic emissions by 25 or 50 % for Italy, Germany France and North-Mediterranean Sea. Emissions: European emission/scenarios by EMEP-West (50kmx50km grid) Regridding by participant to desired grid. ASCII input files; Recommendation on hourly, daily and monthly patterns 11 sectors. Meteorology: MM5, ECMWF, HIRLAM Participation: 6 models. Output : One year, hourly surface concentrations of O3, NO2,HNO3, H2O2,NO,HCHO; Daily surface concentrations of PPM2.5, PPM10, PM2.5,PM10, NH4, SO4, NO3,OC,BC daily and monthly depositions of Sox, NOx, NHx (separated for forests).

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 5 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels5 2. Eurodelta (II) Central pre-processing of data; and redistributed to participants of a selected set. Common visualization tool (IDL based) Analysis during workshops- and further analysis in small working groups, work load ). 4 persons ca. half a year. Main Results: Estimate of model variability and of sensitivity to emission reduction in 2020 (CLE/MFR). Remarks: More stringent harmonization of boundary conditions and of natural emissions would be desirable; better description/and knowledge of what is included in each model; source code + documentation. Publications: 3 manuscripts in preparation

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 6 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels6 AEROCOM Aim: Improvement of aerosol modeling capacity. Emphasis on climate; quantitative process understanding of aerosol formation and removal processes. Systematic use of current satellite measurement programmes surface based network data. Participation from CTMs and GCMs meteorological data for Simulations : 3 experiments: 1) AEROCOM-A models as they are, meteorology for 1996/1997/2000/2001; 2) AEROCOM-B using year 2000 prescribed sources 2000 meteorological fields or climatological mode 3) AEROCOM PRE using pre-industrial prescribed sources (y 1750) meteo year 2000 and/or in climatological mode Emissions : 1°x1° emission datasets from various groups: OC-BC (Tami Bond); SO2 (IIASA) (annual average); SO2 volcanoes (GEIA/update); Simplified SOA source function.Recommendations on height distributions; no temporal distribution, except biomass burning. Meteorology: ECMWF, GCMs (??)

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 7 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels7 AEROCOM (II) Meteorology: ECMWF, GCMs (??) Participation: 14 global GLOBAL CTMs and GCMs AND CLIMATOLOGICAL MEAN MODELS Output: Components Dust, seasalt, BC, POM, SO4, Aerosol mass and number. Daily and monthly output of wet and dry deposition (turbulent+sedimentation); emission flux, size segregrated mass (e.g. <0.5 μm and 1.25 μm), aerosol water, RH, cloud fraction, monthly statistics of meteorology, AOD. Analysis: Centralized analysis team; NCO scripts, and IDL software; continuous update of model results on public web address Several updates of models during the intercomparison. Full time 4 person for 1.5 year. Remarks: Large variations in models’ removal processes were established; still relatively good agreement with various remote sensed products (e.g. AERONET, MISR, MODIS) of the ‘average’ model. Publications: [Kinne et al., 2005; Textor et al., 2005]

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 8 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels8 4. MICS-Asia Aim: The MICS-Asia model intercomparison Phase II understanding transport and deposition of sulfur, nitrogen compounds, ozone and aerosols in East Asia Simulations: Four specified months in 2001 representative different chemical/meteorological conditions. Emissions: Provided on request (no details given) Meteorology: ?? Participation: 15 groups (?) Output: monthly averaged concentrationss of SO2, NO, NO2, HNO3, PAN, NH3, O3 sulfate, nitrate, and ammonium (air,precipitation). Dry and wet deposition and rain fluxes. Daily average SO2, NO, NO2, HNO3, O3 sulfate, nitrate + some vertical profiles. ASCII format. Analysis: Remarks: Publications:

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 9 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels9 “Intercomparison Study of Numerical Models for Long-Range Atmospheric Transport of Mercury” Aim: EMEPs MSC-E intercomparison study of atmospheric long-range transport models for heavy metals. Evaluation of parameterizations of the main physical-chemical processes of mercury transformations in the gaseous and the liquid phase; main features of long-range transport of different mercury forms Comparison of modelling results with measurements obtained from short- term campaigns and from the EMEP monitoring network Simulations: one Emissions: Single emission data set provided by EMEP-E. Meteorology: Participation: 7 models of atmospheric mercury transport and deposition of regional and global levels. Output: Gaseous Elemental Mercury in air, Hg concentration in precipitation, precipitation amount, Hg wet, dry and total deposition (per grid and per country). Mostly as Excel spreadsheet Analysis: One person, xx years. Remarks: The main purpose was to demonstrate that the EMEP operational model did not differ significantly from the most advanced scientific model and can be used for the tasks of the CLTAP Publications:[Ryaboshapko et al., 2005; Ryaboshapko et al., 2003]

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 10 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels10 Experiment Experiment 1: Delta Emission experiment 1.1 Define experiment, prepare input/output 1.2 Run experiments 1.3 Analyse experiment for Interim report in 2007 INTERIM REPORT Experiment 2: Artificial Tracer experiment 2.1 Define experiment, prepare input/output 2.2 Run experiments 2.3 Analyse experiment for publication together with exp. 1 Experiment 3: Parallel detailed experiments for Mercury, Ozone, Aerosols, linkage to campaigns asdaf 3.1 Define experiment, prepare input/output 3.2 Run experiments 3.3 Analyse experiment for publication Experiment 4: Further assessment of uncertainties in source receptor relationships asdaf 4.1 Define experiment, prepare input/output 4.2 Run experiments 4.3 Analyse experiment for Assessment report 4.4 Publish scientific results TF HTAP ASSESSMENT REPORT

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 11 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels11 Program: 09:00 Start meeting (building 28) 09:00-09:15 Welcome/Background Dentener 09:15-10:00 Thunis/Cuvelier City Delta/Euro Delta 10:00-10:45 Michael Schulz/Stefan Kinne Aerocom 10:45-11:00 Coffee 11:00-11:45 Charles Doutrioux (Ocean modelling) 11:45-12:30 Rudolf Husar American Aerosol intercomparisons 12:30-14:00 Lunch + discussion 14:00-14:30 Christiane Textor (GEMS) 14:30-15:15 Stefano Galmarini Radioactivity Alert system 15:15-15:30 Tea 15:30-17:00 Discussion+ summarizing recommendations 17:15 adjourn

JRC- Brussels- PF JRC Brussels 12 TF HTAP, Washington DC, JRC Brussels12