Doha Development Round – the current challenges Liz Stuart, Oxfam, May 24 th 2006.

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Presentation transcript:

Doha Development Round – the current challenges Liz Stuart, Oxfam, May 24 th 2006

State of the round Long way from the developmental objectives US and EU still driven by mercantilism, ‘tit- for-tat’ Bad offers on the table in both market access and domestic support Time pressures. Oxfam still wants a good deal, but dcs shouldn’t sign a bad one

The answer…… US and EU need to improve their offers on agriculture….but not at the price of aggressive position in Nama

The policy solutions what developed countries must do Domestic support - Real cuts, not just water - Caps and product-specific caps - Ban on updating - Box-shifting needs to stop - Green Box review - No peace clause Market access - Real market access – not just overhang - Cutting tariff escalation - Sensitive products must not hurt dcs

What developing countries need 2/3ds cuts in agricultural tariffs Special products Operational SSM Aid for trade

And LDCs? 50 LDCs but only account for 1% of world trade Offensive interests - they benefit from elimination of trade-distorting support too (eg Zambia) And need additional market access - Dfqf 100% (looking at volumes) - Better Roos Defensive interests – SSM and special products … and cotton, food aid, IF, adjustment costs, trade facilitation

The politics US – won’t move until EU gives better market access EU – won’t more until US improves domestic support offer G20 – no move until they get what they want in ag G33 – SP/SSM deal breaker G90 – dfqf, cotton, food aid EU and US need to move. But if they don’t …..

……. there’s always the legal route 11 new potential panel cases – $13bn dollars of illegal subsidies

Potential panel cases EU -tomatoes -canned peaches - canned pears - citrus fruit juice - wines and spirits - tobacco - butter - skim milk US - corn - rice - sorghum