10° General Meeting Adriano Raspanti - WG5 – VERSUS PL.

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Presentation transcript:

10° General Meeting Adriano Raspanti - WG5 – VERSUS PL

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project Versus (ex CV project) started just after the end of GM 2005 and it was planned to last 3 years for implementation The project will be set as „complete“ in mid-december and will be offically released at the end of January 2009 An „ad hoc“ workshop /tutorial will be held in Italy (where TBD) and at least one participants from any COSMO member should attend (ALMOST) Final Report

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project The development of a complete Conditional Verification Tool has been the first priority and outcome of the VERSUS project. The typical approach to Conditional Verification consist of the selection of one or several forecast products and one or several mask variables or conditions, which can be used to define for example thresholds for the product verification The more flexible way to perform a selection of forecasts and observations using conditions, is to use an “ad hoc database”, planned and designed for this purpose, where the mask or filter could be simple or complex SQL statements. (ALMOST) Final Report

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project VERSUS was planned (with some changes during its life) on 10 tasks (form 0 to 9) All the tasks have been completed except task 8 and task 9 Task 8: test phase is ongoing just in these days Task 9: “plug and play” installation of the package providing all the software and modules it’s also ongoing, but at the same time is “pending” waiting for the final version f the package (ALMOST) Final Report

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project Final Version? Some cosmetics changes…. Some „last minute“ updates Some „last minute“ requirements from WG5 Waiting for the end of the test phase searching for bugs…. …and also some time to organise the workshop… (ALMOST) Final Report

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project (ALMOST) Final Report OBS data Configuration data for verification Verification results (Scores and images) Verification R Web GUI FCS data Loa der File syste m DB User management Versus-DB

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project OPEN POINTS: VERSUS has not been planned to cover all the existing verification methods, as well as all the possible products from a NWP and not all types of observation implementation of probabilistic and ensemble forecasts verification; implementation of obj-based and fuzzy verification methods applied to precipitation; New scores for extreme events (e.g. extreme dependency score); Statistical features like Confidence intervals and Bootstrap method; Use of non conventional obs (e.g. radar, satellite, raingauges) and gridded observations (precipitation analysis); and so on-----  VERSUS2!!! (ALMOST) Final Report

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project Lessons learned The lack of a Reference Document made the development more difficult and not clear the direction and the solutions adopted. VERSUS2 will have, as TASK0,the redaction of such a Reference Document (System Architecture Design and Overview), (ALMOST) Final Report

10° General MeetingCracow eptember VERSUS Priority Project CONTRIBUTING SCIENTISTS Adriano Raspanti as PL (USAM); Ulrich Damrath (DWD); Pirmin Kaufmann (MCH); David Palella (USAM); Angela Celozzi (USAM); Flora Gofa (HNMS); Joanna Linkowska (IMGW), Marek Lazanowicz (IMGW); Katarzyna Starosta (IMGW); Aurelia Lupascu (NMA); Rodica Dumitrache (NMA). (ALMOST) Final Report