Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost Kevin Schaefer Ted Schuur Dave McGuire Breakout Report: The Permafrost Carbon Feedback and Global Policy

Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost Impact on Climate Change Treaty 2°C warming target AR5 Projections don’t include permafrost emissions Temperatures higher with feedback Emissions targets may be too high Risk overshooting 2°C warming target Temperature Projections 4 th Assessment Report

Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost Report: The Permafrost Carbon Feedback and Global Policy UNEP report: Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost – Recommendations: 1) IPCC assessment 2) Nationalize CALM and TSP 3) Adaptation Plans Objective: How to implement recommendations?

Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost IPCC Special Assessment Understand the IPCC process Look at past assessments –IPCC special assessments –SWIPA, ACIA, etc. Create outline Identify science gaps Write synthesis papers

Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost IPCC Special Assessment Hone a simple message Contact people and groups –International Arctic Science Commission, etc. –Government representatives to IPCC

Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost Permafrost Monitoring Networks List of US/Canadian agencies –Environment Canada, USGS, etc. Need standards and Protocols Need International cooperation International Permafrost Association will discuss Coordinate with networks that monitor carbon –NEON, Ameriflux, flask network, etc.

Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost Open Question to NACP Can existing/planned networks detect large emissions from thawing permafrost?